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CHINA › SUPER LEAGUE
15.08.2026 12:00
Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium
Referee: Yuchen Mu, China
Yunnan Yukun
Match Timeline
Dalian Zhixing
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
13'
F. Acheampong · Assist: N. Stanciu
Dalian Zhixing
🟨
20'
Weijie Mao
Dalian Zhixing
🔄
28'
C. Malele ↔ P. Zhu
Dalian Zhixing
🟨
36'
Weijie Mao
Dalian Zhixing
🟥
36'
Weijie Mao
Dalian Zhixing
🟨
41'
Frank Acheampong
Dalian Zhixing
🔄
41'
Luo Jing ↔ Lu Zhuoyi
Dalian Zhixing
🔄
46'
J. Saeter ↔ Cleber
Yunnan Yukun
🔄
46'
↔ Yang Mingrui
Dalian Zhixing
🟨
50'
Zihao Yang
Yunnan Yukun
🔄
53'
Abdusalam Bunyamin ↔ Duan Liuyu
Yunnan Yukun
🔄
53'
Yang Zihao ↔ Huang Zichang
Yunnan Yukun
VAR
55'
Caio Vinícius
Yunnan Yukun
⚽
72'
Cleber
Yunnan Yukun
🔄
74'
Feng Boxuan ↔ Cao Haiqing
Dalian Zhixing
🔄
74'
F. Acheampong ↔ Lu Peng
Dalian Zhixing
⚽
81'
O. Taty Maritu · Assist: Duan Liuyu
Yunnan Yukun
🟨
84'
Isnik Alimi
Dalian Zhixing
🔄
89'
Tsui Wang-Kit ↔ Zhang Chenliang
Yunnan Yukun
🔄
89'
Xu Xin ↔ Zhao Yuhao
Yunnan Yukun
⚽
90'
O. Taty Maritu · Assist: Duan Liuyu
Yunnan Yukun

Yunnan Yukun vs Dalian Zhixing Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
88%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Yunnan Yukun Win 68%
Draw 13.2%
Dalian Zhixing Win 18.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Yunnan Yukun1.88
Dalian Zhixing1.66
Recent Form (Last 5)
Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun
WWDLW
48 GF / 48 GA
Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing
WLDWL
33 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.43
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.7
18
BTTS Yes
14
19
Over 2.5
14
5.09
Shots on Goal
5.05

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun 24 matches
Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing 23 matches
Yunnan Yukun Statistic Dalian Zhixing
9 Wins 10
5 Draws 2
10 Losses 11
48 Goals For 33
48 Goals Against 39
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.7
18 BTTS Yes 14
21 Over 1.5 17
19 Over 2.5 14
12 Over 3.5 9
4 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 3
5.09 Shots On Goal 5.05
15.18 Total Shots 14.33
5.05 Corners 6.1
50.8% Ball Possession 47.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Yunnan Yukun's more proactive style and Dalian Zhixing's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Dalian Zhixing. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Yunnan Yukun expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Dalian Zhixing in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Dalian Zhixing having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Yunnan Yukun Analysis

Yunnan Yukun are currently 6 in the standings with 28 points from 21 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 42:41 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Oscar Taty Maritu (3 goals), Caio Vinícius (2 goals), Bunyamin Abdusalam (2 goals), with creative support from Oscar Taty Maritu (2 assists), Caio Vinícius (1 assists), Bunyamin Abdusalam (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Dalian Zhixing Analysis

Placed 5 with 29 points from 20 outings, Dalian Zhixing continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, while the 31:36 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Yang Mingrui (1 goals), Isnik Alimi (1 goals), Weijie Mao (1 goals), with creative support from Yang Mingrui (1 assists), Nicolae Stanciu (1 assists), Cephas Malele (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Yunnan Yukun won 5 times, Dalian Zhixing won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:7 from Yunnan Yukun's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.88 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.8%)
Predicted formations: Yunnan Yukun 4-3-3 / Dalian Zhixing 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Yunnan Yukun wins 5, draws 2, Dalian Zhixing wins 1

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 15 7 6 51:34 17 52
L L D W L
2 28 14 4 10 45:43 2 46
W W W D W
3 28 13 10 5 53:33 20 44
W W D D D
4 28 14 5 9 52:44 8 41
W D D W L
5 28 12 8 8 47:35 12 39
W W D W W
6 28 11 6 11 56:59 -3 39
D L W L D
7 28 8 14 6 31:37 -6 38
L L D D W
8 28 14 5 9 62:48 14 37
W W W L W
9 28 7 12 9 29:34 -5 33
D D L D L
10 28 11 8 9 38:32 6 31
W W W W D
11 28 10 6 12 47:52 -5 31
L L W L W
12 28 8 5 15 37:50 -13 29
L D D L D
13 28 8 5 15 39:48 -9 29
W D L L L
14 28 8 10 10 35:38 -3 28
L D D D D
15 28 5 12 11 41:50 -9 22
L D L D D
16 28 6 3 19 34:60 -26 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation