CANADA CANADIAN PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
York Lions Stadium
Referee: Y. Rudolf
York United
Match Timeline
Cavalry FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
10'
T. Warschewski
Cavalry FC
44'
S. Camargo · Assist: G. Ntignee
Cavalry FC
52'
N. Edwards
Cavalry FC
🔄
56'
A. Almagro ↔ K. Kibato
York United
🔄
56'
R. Lopez ↔ O. Bassett
York United
🟨
60'
L. Singh
York United
🔄
66'
L. Accettola ↔ B. Badibanga
York United
🔄
66'
M. Baldisimo ↔ E. Kobza
Cavalry FC
🔄
66'
S. Camargo ↔ N. Myroniuk
Cavalry FC
68'
L. Laing
York United
🟨
73'
D. Klomp
Cavalry FC
🔄
78'
L. Singh ↔ J. Cordova
York United
🔄
78'
N. Edwards ↔ A. Musse
Cavalry FC
🔄
78'
T. Warschewski ↔ C. Elva
Cavalry FC
🔄
83'
L. Laing ↔ Fewo
Cavalry FC
87'
C. Elva · Assist: E. Kobza
Cavalry FC
🟨
90+1'
M. Ferrari
York United
90'
N. Myroniuk · Assist: G. Ntignee
Cavalry FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 87%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
87%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
-
Corners O/U Under 8.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
York United Win 44.3%
Draw 13%
Cavalry FC Win 42.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
York United1.04
Cavalry FC1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
York United York United
WWDLW
13 GF / 12 GA
Cavalry FC Cavalry FC
WLDWL
14 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
1.56
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
0.44
6
BTTS Yes
3
4
Over 2.5
3
1.88
Shots on Goal
2.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

York United York United 9 matches
Cavalry FC Cavalry FC 9 matches
York United Statistic Cavalry FC
4 Wins 6
3 Draws 2
2 Losses 1
13 Goals For 14
12 Goals Against 4
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 1.56
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 0.44
6 BTTS Yes 3
6 Over 1.5 6
4 Over 2.5 3
4 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 5
0 Failed To Score 2
1.88 Shots On Goal 2.67
3.25 Total Shots 8.11
0.88 Corners 3.44
11.6% Ball Possession 29.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Cavalry FC having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Cavalry FC. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

York United Analysis

York United come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 12 points from 7 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, while the 11:8 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on J. Altobelli (4 goals), T. Skublak (4 goals), L. Cloutier (2 goals), with creative support from A. Almagro (1 assists), B. Badibanga (1 assists), Juan Córdova (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Cavalry FC Analysis

Placed 2 with 17 points from 8 outings, Cavalry FC continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 12:4 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through T. Warschewski (4 goals), D. Klomp (3 goals), Goteh Ntignee (2 goals), with creative support from T. Warschewski (2 assists), D. Klomp (1 assists), Goteh Ntignee (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, York United won 4 times, Cavalry FC won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:27 from York United's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87%)
Predicted formations: York United - / Cavalry FC 4-4-2
H2H summary: York United wins 4, draws 2, Cavalry FC wins 9

Lineups

York United
Formation
Cavalry FC
D. Urtiaga
D. Urtiaga
R. Lopez
R. Lopez
F. Sturing
F. Sturing
C. Guzman
C. Guzman
L. Singh
L. Singh
M. Ferrari
M. Ferrari
A. Almagro
A. Almagro
L. Accettola
L. Accettola
S. Yeates
S. Yeates
J. Altobelli
J. Altobelli
T. Skublak
T. Skublak
N. Ingham
N. Ingham
A. Pearlman
A. Pearlman
D. Klomp
D. Klomp
A. Didic
A. Didic
L. Laing
L. Laing
H. Paton
H. Paton
M. Baldisimo
M. Baldisimo
N. Edwards
N. Edwards
S. Camargo
S. Camargo
G. Ntignee
🎯
G. Ntignee
T. Warschewski
T. Warschewski
York United 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
D. Urtiaga
6
R. Lopez
↓ 56'
5
F. Sturing
8
C. Guzman
3
L. Singh
↓ 78' 🟨 60'
16
M. Ferrari
🟨 90+1'
11
A. Almagro
↓ 56'
13
L. Accettola
↓ 66'
7
S. Yeates
18
J. Altobelli
77
T. Skublak
Substitutes
12
I. Pavela
20
G. Bitar
21
K. Kibato
↑ 56'
39
B. Badibanga
↑ 66'
23
J. Cordova
↑ 78'
10
O. Bassett
↑ 56'
2
A. Bergman
Cavalry FC 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
29
N. Ingham
16
A. Pearlman
4
D. Klomp
🟨 73'
55
A. Didic
15
L. Laing
⚽ 68' ↓ 83'
8
H. Paton
6
M. Baldisimo
↓ 66'
17
N. Edwards
⚽ 52' ↓ 78'
10
S. Camargo
⚽ 44' ↓ 66'
20
G. Ntignee
🎯 44' 🎯 90'
9
T. Warschewski
⚽ 10' ↓ 78'
Substitutes
21
J. Holliday
5
Fewo
↑ 83'
7
A. Musse
↑ 78'
14
C. Elva
⚽ 87' ↑ 78'
24
E. Kobza
🎯 87' ↑ 66'
11
J. Herdman
28
N. Myroniuk
⚽ 90' ↑ 66'
Last matches: York United
07.06.26
Can
York United
Forge
1
4
L
29.05.26
Can
York United
Supra du Quebec
1
3
L
23.05.26
Can
York United
HFX Wanderers FC
1
1
D
17.05.26
Can
York United
Pacific FC
1
0
W
01.05.26
Can
York United
Atlético Ottawa
4
1
W
25.04.26
Can
York United
Cavalry FC
1
1
D
19.04.26
Can
York United
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
11.04.26
Can
York United
HFX Wanderers FC
2
2
D
27.02.26
Fri
York United
Las Vegas Lights
1
0
W
Last matches: Cavalry FC
06.06.26
Can
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
2
0
W
31.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Forge
0
1
L
24.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Pacific FC
3
0
W
18.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Vancouver FC
2
0
W
03.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Supra du Quebec
1
0
W
25.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
York United
1
1
D
18.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Forge
0
0
D
12.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Atlético Ottawa
3
1
W
05.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Pacific FC
2
1
W
H2H: York United vs Cavalry FC
10.06.26
H2H
York United
Cavalry FC
1
5
L
25.04.26
H2H
Cavalry FC
York United
1
1
D
26.10.25
H2H
Cavalry FC
York United
4
1
L
05.09.25
H2H
York United
Cavalry FC
3
1
W
26.07.25
H2H
Cavalry FC
York United
0
1
W
08.06.25
H2H
Cavalry FC
York United
2
1
L
03.05.25
H2H
York United
Cavalry FC
1
2
L
21.09.24
H2H
York United
Cavalry FC
0
2
L
17.08.24
H2H
York United
Cavalry FC
1
2
L
13.07.24
H2H
Cavalry FC
York United
1
2
W
18.05.24
H2H
Cavalry FC
York United
2
2
D
23.09.23
H2H
York United
Cavalry FC
0
1
L
20.08.23
H2H
Cavalry FC
York United
2
1
L
24.06.23
H2H
Cavalry FC
York United
2
1
L
28.05.23
H2H
York United
Cavalry FC
1
0
W
Last matches: York United
07.06.26
Can
York United
Forge
1
4
L
01.05.26
Can
York United
Atlético Ottawa
4
1
W
19.04.26
Can
York United
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
11.04.26
Can
York United
HFX Wanderers FC
2
2
D
27.02.26
Fri
York United
Las Vegas Lights
1
0
W
H2H at home: York United
10.06.26
H2H
York United
Cavalry FC
1
5
L
05.09.25
H2H
York United
Cavalry FC
3
1
W
03.05.25
H2H
York United
Cavalry FC
1
2
L
21.09.24
H2H
York United
Cavalry FC
0
2
L
17.08.24
H2H
York United
Cavalry FC
1
2
L
23.09.23
H2H
York United
Cavalry FC
0
1
L
28.05.23
H2H
York United
Cavalry FC
1
0
W
Last matches: Cavalry FC
31.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Forge
0
1
L
18.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Vancouver FC
2
0
W
03.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Supra du Quebec
1
0
W
18.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Forge
0
0
D
05.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Pacific FC
2
1
W
H2H away: Cavalry FC
10.06.26
H2H
York United
Cavalry FC
1
5
W
05.09.25
H2H
York United
Cavalry FC
3
1
L
03.05.25
H2H
York United
Cavalry FC
1
2
W
21.09.24
H2H
York United
Cavalry FC
0
2
W
17.08.24
H2H
York United
Cavalry FC
1
2
W
23.09.23
H2H
York United
Cavalry FC
0
1
W
28.05.23
H2H
York United
Cavalry FC
1
0
L

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 1 1 15:4 11 25
W W W L W
2 10 7 2 1 19:5 14 23
W W L W W
3 10 4 2 4 15:18 -3 14
W L D W W
4 9 3 3 3 13:17 -4 12
L L L D W
5 9 3 2 4 13:14 -1 11
L D W D L
6 10 3 2 5 9:11 -2 11
W W L D L
7 10 2 3 5 9:14 -5 9
L L W D L
8 10 0 3 7 10:20 -10 3
L D D L L
Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)