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JAPAN › J1 LEAGUE
19.09.2026 10:30
Nissan Stadium
Referee: Koei Koya
Yokohama F. Marinos
Match Timeline
Mito Hollyhock
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
8'
J. Quinones · Assist: K. Matsumura
Yokohama F. Marinos
🟨
25'
Kei Chinen
Yokohama F. Marinos
🟨
25'
Yasuki Kimoto
Mito Hollyhock
🟨
46'
Jin Okumura
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
46'
K. Uchino ↔ J. Okumura
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
54'
K. Matsumura ↔ J. Amano
Yokohama F. Marinos
🔄
54'
T. Kondo ↔ S. Miidera
Yokohama F. Marinos
🔄
54'
Y. Kimoto ↔ A. Kawazura
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
66'
K. Taniguchi ↔ H. Yamamoto
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
66'
A. Watanabe ↔ R. Nemoto
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
76'
T. Suzuki ↔ K. Sekitomi
Yokohama F. Marinos
🔄
76'
K. Chinen ↔ T. Kida
Yokohama F. Marinos
🔄
76'
R. Miyaichi ↔ J. Croux
Yokohama F. Marinos
🟨
77'
Takuya Kida
Yokohama F. Marinos
🔄
81'
Y. Funabashi ↔ Hugo Leonardo
Mito Hollyhock
🟨
82'
Takumi Mase
Mito Hollyhock
⚽
83'
R. Yamane
Yokohama F. Marinos

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Mito Hollyhock Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.1%
Odds 2.08
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.75
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.4%
Odds 1.97
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.1%
2.08 ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.75 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.4%
1.97 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
84.8%
1.80 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.20 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Yokohama F. Marinos Win 65.1%
Draw 6.3%
Mito Hollyhock Win 28.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Yokohama F. Marinos1.46
Mito Hollyhock1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos
WWDLW
11 GF / 9 GA
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock
WLDWL
11 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
1.57
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
4
BTTS Yes
6
2
Over 2.5
3
3.29
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 7 matches
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 7 matches
Yokohama F. Marinos Statistic Mito Hollyhock
3 Wins 2
2 Draws 3
2 Losses 2
11 Goals For 11
9 Goals Against 9
1.57 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
4 BTTS Yes 6
5 Over 1.5 6
2 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 1
3.29 Shots On Goal 4
11.57 Total Shots 12.43
3.71 Corners 4.29
48.3% Ball Possession 42.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Mito Hollyhock. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Yokohama F. Marinos expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Mito Hollyhock in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mito Hollyhock having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Yokohama F. Marinos Analysis

Yokohama F. Marinos sit 7 with 10 points after 6 league matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 10:8 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by K. Tanimura (3 goals), T. Inoue (1 goals), S. Miidera (1 goals), with creative support from T. Kondo (2 assists), J. Amano (2 assists), K. Tanimura (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Mito Hollyhock Analysis

So far, Mito Hollyhock have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 9 points from 6 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, while the 11:8 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Watanabe (4 goals), Y. Kimoto (2 goals), Y. Torikai (1 goals), with creative support from Y. Torikai (2 assists), T. Semba (2 assists), Y. Funabashi (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Yokohama F. Marinos won 0 times, Mito Hollyhock won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:4 from Yokohama F. Marinos's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.7%)
Predicted formations: Yokohama F. Marinos 4-2-3-1 / Mito Hollyhock 4-4-2
H2H summary: Yokohama F. Marinos wins 0, draws 2, Mito Hollyhock wins 1

Standings

J-League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 1 1 12:5 7 19
W W W W W
2 8 6 0 2 17:12 5 18
W W L L W
3 8 5 2 1 20:6 14 17
W W L W D
4 8 5 2 1 21:10 11 17
L D W W D
5 8 5 2 1 14:8 6 17
W W W D W
6 8 4 2 2 13:9 4 14
W D W D L
7 8 3 4 1 16:12 4 13
D W W L W
8 8 4 1 3 17:16 1 13
D L L L W
9 8 4 1 3 11:10 1 13
L W W W L
10 8 4 0 4 16:18 -2 12
W L W W W
11 8 3 2 3 7:12 -5 11
D L D W L
12 8 3 1 4 6:8 -2 10
W W L D L
13 8 2 3 3 11:11 0 9
L L D W D
14 8 2 2 4 11:15 -4 8
W L L D W
15 8 2 2 4 10:15 -5 8
D W L D L
16 8 1 3 4 8:14 -6 6
L L L D D
17 8 2 0 6 7:14 -7 6
L L L L W
18 8 1 1 6 9:12 -3 4
L L D L L
19 8 0 4 4 4:12 -8 4
L D D L L
20 8 1 1 6 7:18 -11 4
L D W L L
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League