JAPAN J1 LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Nissan Stadium
Referee: A. Kamimura
Yokohama F. Marinos
Match Timeline
Kashiwa Reysol
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
41'
K. Yuruki · Assist: T. Kubo
Kashiwa Reysol
🔄
46'
K. Yuruki ↔ Y. Segawa
Kashiwa Reysol
🟨
47'
Ryotaro Tsunoda
Yokohama F. Marinos
🔄
56'
Yuri Araujo ↔ R. Miyaichi
Yokohama F. Marinos
🔄
60'
Y. Konishi ↔ R. Harakawa
Kashiwa Reysol
🔄
60'
Y. Kakita ↔ M. Hosoya
Kashiwa Reysol
🔄
66'
K. Tanimura ↔ D. David
Yokohama F. Marinos
🔄
67'
T. Kondo ↔ J. Croux
Yokohama F. Marinos
🟨
80'
Hiromu Mitsumaru
Kashiwa Reysol
🔄
80'
D. Sugioka ↔ S. Baba
Kashiwa Reysol
🔄
81'
R. Yamane ↔ T. Kimura
Yokohama F. Marinos
🔄
81'
J. Amano ↔ H. Asada
Yokohama F. Marinos
🔄
83'
T. Kubo ↔ Y. Yamanouchi
Kashiwa Reysol
🟨
84'
Ren Kato
Yokohama F. Marinos

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 47.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
47.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Yokohama F. Marinos Win 76.4%
Draw 17.2%
Kashiwa Reysol Win 6.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Yokohama F. Marinos1.31
Kashiwa Reysol1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos
WWDLW
22 GF / 29 GA
Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol
WLDWL
18 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.06
1.71
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
8
BTTS Yes
6
9
Over 2.5
7
3.13
Shots on Goal
3.63

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 17 matches
Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 17 matches
Yokohama F. Marinos Statistic Kashiwa Reysol
5 Wins 5
2 Draws 1
10 Losses 11
22 Goals For 18
29 Goals Against 23
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.06
1.71 Avg Goals Conceded 1.35
8 BTTS Yes 6
14 Over 1.5 11
9 Over 2.5 7
6 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 4
7 Failed To Score 7
3.13 Shots On Goal 3.63
10.94 Total Shots 13.06
4.31 Corners 5.44
45.8% Ball Possession 57.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Kashiwa Reysol having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Kashiwa Reysol.

Yokohama F. Marinos Analysis

Yokohama F. Marinos approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 17 points from 16 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 11 defeats with a 22:30 goal balance points toward mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on K. Tanimura (7 goals), J. Amano (4 goals), D. Tono (3 goals), with creative support from J. Croux (4 assists), K. Tanimura (2 assists), J. Amano (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Kashiwa Reysol Analysis

Kashiwa Reysol sit 9 with 14 points after 16 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 17:22, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Y. Segawa (4 goals), M. Hosoya (2 goals), Nobuteru Nakagawa (2 goals), with creative support from H. Mitsumaru (2 assists), Y. Segawa (1 assists), Y. Koizumi (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Yokohama F. Marinos won 4 times, Kashiwa Reysol won 10 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:24 from Yokohama F. Marinos's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (93.7%)
Predicted formations: Yokohama F. Marinos 3-4-2-1 / Kashiwa Reysol 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Yokohama F. Marinos wins 4, draws 1, Kashiwa Reysol wins 10
Stats
Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
1
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
1
7 Corner Kicks 3
12 Fouls 6
0 Offsides 3
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Goal 3
8 Shots off Goal 1
4 Blocked Shots 1
10 Shots insidebox 4
4 Shots outsidebox 1
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
453 Total passes 388
349 Passes accurate 274
1.11 expected_goals 0.66
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Kashiwa Reysol
Formation
Yokohama F. Marinos
R. Kojima
R. Kojima
W. Harada
W. Harada
T. Koga
T. Koga
D. Sugioka
D. Sugioka
T. Kubo
🎯
T. Kubo
Y. Konishi
Y. Konishi
N. Nakagawa
N. Nakagawa
H. Mitsumaru
H. Mitsumaru
Y. Koizumi
Y. Koizumi
K. Yuruki
K. Yuruki
Y. Kakita
Y. Kakita
Park Il-gyu
Park Il-gyu
T. Inoue
T. Inoue
J. Quinones
J. Quinones
R. Tsunoda
R. Tsunoda
R. Kato
R. Kato
R. Yamane
R. Yamane
K. Watanabe
K. Watanabe
T. Kondo
T. Kondo
J. Amano
J. Amano
Yuri Araujo
Yuri Araujo
K. Tanimura
K. Tanimura
Kashiwa Reysol 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
25
R. Kojima
G
42
W. Harada
D
4
T. Koga
D
26
D. Sugioka
↓ 80'
D
24
T. Kubo
🎯 41' ↓ 83'
M
21
Y. Konishi
↓ 60'
M
39
N. Nakagawa
M
2
H. Mitsumaru
🟨 80'
M
8
Y. Koizumi
F
16
K. Yuruki
⚽ 41' ↓ 46'
F
18
Y. Kakita
↓ 60'
F
Substitutes
29
K. Nagai
G
40
R. Harakawa
↑ 60'
M
20
Y. Segawa
↑ 46'
M
28
S. Toshima
M
88
S. Baba
↑ 80'
D
9
M. Hosoya
↑ 60'
F
19
H. Nakama
M
15
Y. Komi
F
32
Y. Yamanouchi
↑ 83'
D
Yokohama F. Marinos 4-5-1 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
Park Il-gyu
G
13
T. Inoue
D
17
J. Quinones
D
22
R. Tsunoda
🟨 47'
D
2
R. Kato
🟨 84'
D
28
R. Yamane
↓ 81'
M
6
K. Watanabe
M
24
T. Kondo
↓ 67'
M
40
J. Amano
↓ 81'
M
30
Yuri Araujo
↓ 56'
M
9
K. Tanimura
↓ 66'
F
Substitutes
21
H. Iikura
G
23
R. Miyaichi
↑ 56'
F
11
J. Croux
↑ 67'
F
33
K. Suwama
D
34
T. Kimura
↑ 81'
M
19
Tevis
F
8
T. Kida
M
26
D. David
↑ 66'
F
46
H. Asada
↑ 81'
F
Last matches: Yokohama F. Marinos
06.06.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Shimizu S-pulse
3
0
W
31.05.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Shimizu S-pulse
1
1
D
24.05.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Tokyo Verdy
6
0
W
10.05.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashima
1
1
D
06.05.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Machida Zelvia
0
2
L
02.05.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Mito Hollyhock
1
1
D
29.04.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
JEF United Chiba
3
2
W
25.04.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Urawa
3
2
W
18.04.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kawasaki Frontale
1
2
L
11.04.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
FC Tokyo
1
3
L
05.04.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashiwa Reysol
0
3
L
22.03.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kawasaki Frontale
5
0
W
18.03.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Mito Hollyhock
0
1
L
14.03.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
JEF United Chiba
2
0
W
07.03.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
FC Tokyo
0
3
L
28.02.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Tokyo Verdy
3
2
W
21.02.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Urawa
0
2
L
14.02.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashima
0
1
L
06.02.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Machida Zelvia
2
3
L
22.01.26
Fri
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kanazawa
0
1
L
Last matches: Kashiwa Reysol
06.06.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Kyoto Sanga
0
1
L
30.05.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Kyoto Sanga
6
2
W
23.05.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
JEF United Chiba
4
2
W
10.05.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Kawasaki Frontale
1
0
W
06.05.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Urawa
0
1
L
03.05.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Tokyo Verdy
0
1
L
29.04.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
FC Tokyo
1
3
L
24.04.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Kashima
0
1
L
19.04.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Mito Hollyhock
0
2
L
11.04.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Machida Zelvia
0
1
L
05.04.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Yokohama F. Marinos
3
0
W
22.03.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Mito Hollyhock
3
0
W
18.03.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Urawa
1
1
D
14.03.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Machida Zelvia
0
1
L
07.03.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
JEF United Chiba
1
2
L
28.02.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
FC Tokyo
2
0
W
21.02.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Kashima
0
2
L
15.02.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Tokyo Verdy
1
2
L
08.02.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Kawasaki Frontale
3
5
L
31.01.26
Fri
Kashiwa Reysol
JEF United Chiba
2
1
W
H2H: Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol
16.05.26
H2H
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashiwa Reysol
0
1
L
05.04.26
H2H
Kashiwa Reysol
Yokohama F. Marinos
3
0
L
04.10.25
H2H
Kashiwa Reysol
Yokohama F. Marinos
1
0
L
07.09.25
H2H
Kashiwa Reysol
Yokohama F. Marinos
1
0
L
03.09.25
H2H
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashiwa Reysol
1
4
L
14.05.25
H2H
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashiwa Reysol
0
2
L
05.10.24
H2H
Kashiwa Reysol
Yokohama F. Marinos
1
0
L
29.05.24
H2H
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashiwa Reysol
4
0
W
02.09.23
H2H
Kashiwa Reysol
Yokohama F. Marinos
2
0
L
10.06.23
H2H
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashiwa Reysol
4
3
W
25.06.22
H2H
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashiwa Reysol
4
0
W
27.02.22
H2H
Kashiwa Reysol
Yokohama F. Marinos
3
1
L
03.07.21
H2H
Kashiwa Reysol
Yokohama F. Marinos
1
2
W
22.05.21
H2H
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashiwa Reysol
1
1
D
07.10.20
H2H
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashiwa Reysol
0
1
L
Last matches: Yokohama F. Marinos
06.06.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Shimizu S-pulse
3
0
W
10.05.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashima
1
1
D
02.05.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Mito Hollyhock
1
1
D
18.04.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kawasaki Frontale
1
2
L
11.04.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
FC Tokyo
1
3
L
14.03.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
JEF United Chiba
2
0
W
28.02.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Tokyo Verdy
3
2
W
21.02.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Urawa
0
2
L
06.02.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Machida Zelvia
2
3
L
22.01.26
Fri
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kanazawa
0
1
L
H2H at home: Yokohama F. Marinos
16.05.26
H2H
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashiwa Reysol
0
1
L
03.09.25
H2H
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashiwa Reysol
1
4
L
14.05.25
H2H
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashiwa Reysol
0
2
L
29.05.24
H2H
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashiwa Reysol
4
0
W
10.06.23
H2H
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashiwa Reysol
4
3
W
25.06.22
H2H
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashiwa Reysol
4
0
W
22.05.21
H2H
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashiwa Reysol
1
1
D
07.10.20
H2H
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashiwa Reysol
0
1
L
Last matches: Kashiwa Reysol
30.05.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Kyoto Sanga
6
2
W
03.05.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Tokyo Verdy
0
1
L
19.04.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Mito Hollyhock
0
2
L
11.04.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Machida Zelvia
0
1
L
18.03.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Urawa
1
1
D
07.03.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
JEF United Chiba
1
2
L
28.02.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
FC Tokyo
2
0
W
21.02.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Kashima
0
2
L
08.02.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Kawasaki Frontale
3
5
L
H2H away: Kashiwa Reysol
16.05.26
H2H
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashiwa Reysol
0
1
W
03.09.25
H2H
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashiwa Reysol
1
4
W
14.05.25
H2H
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashiwa Reysol
0
2
W
29.05.24
H2H
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashiwa Reysol
4
0
L
10.06.23
H2H
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashiwa Reysol
4
3
L
25.06.22
H2H
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashiwa Reysol
4
0
L
22.05.21
H2H
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashiwa Reysol
1
1
D
07.10.20
H2H
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashiwa Reysol
0
1
W

Standings

East
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 15 0 3 31:11 20 45
?
2 18 13 0 5 32:18 14 37
?
3 18 13 0 5 28:22 6 37
?
4 18 10 0 8 26:28 -2 28
?
5 18 10 0 8 22:26 -4 28
?
6 18 7 0 11 25:22 3 25
?
7 18 6 0 12 28:31 -3 20
?
8 18 7 0 11 22:24 -2 20
?
9 18 6 0 12 23:39 -16 18
?
10 18 3 0 15 18:34 -16 12
?
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)