NETHERLANDS › EREDIVISIE

05.09.2026 19:00

Willem II

0 - 3

Excelsior

Koning Willem II Stadion

Referee: Robin Hensgens, Netherlands

Willem II

Match Timeline

Excelsior

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Willem II vs Excelsior Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Away Win

Probability 68.5%

Odds 2.27

BTTS

Yes

Probability 86%

Odds 1.53

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 87%

Odds 1.65

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Away Win	68.5%	2.27	▥
BTTS	Yes	86%	1.53	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	87%	1.65	▥
Corners O/U	Under 11.5 Corners	74%	1.32	▥
HT / FT	Draw / Away	-	6.00	▥
Correct Score	1-2	-	9.50	▥

Probability Distribution

Willem II Win 27.7%

Draw 3.8%

Excelsior Win 68.5%

Expected Goals (xG)

Willem II1.36

Excelsior2.73

Recent Form (Last 5)

Willem II

WWDLW

10 GF / 15 GA

Excelsior

WLDWL

25 GF / 10 GA

Key Stats

1.43

Average Goals Scored

3.13

2.14

Average Goals Conceded

1.25

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

2.67

Shots on Goal

5.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Willem II 7 matches

Excelsior 8 matches

Willem II	Statistic	Excelsior
2	Wins	7
2	Draws	0
3	Losses	1
10	Goals For	25
15	Goals Against	10
1.43	Avg Goals Scored	3.13
2.14	Avg Goals Conceded	1.25
6	BTTS Yes	6
6	Over 1.5	8
6	Over 2.5	7
4	Over 3.5	5
1	Clean Sheets	2
0	Failed To Score	0
2.67	Shots On Goal	5.33
11.33	Total Shots	12.67
4	Corners	5
34%	Ball Possession	46.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Willem II won 4 times, Excelsior won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:20 from Willem II's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (96.3%)

Predicted formations: Willem II 4-2-3-1 / Excelsior 5-4-1

Missing players: Willem II 7, Excelsior 1

H2H summary: Willem II wins 4, draws 6, Excelsior wins 4

Standings

Eredivisie

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Feyenoord	8	6	2	0	27:7	20	20	W W W W D
2	PSV Eindhoven	8	6	1	1	26:10	16	19	W L W W W
3	AZ Alkmaar	8	6	1	1	18:8	10	19	L W D W W
4	Twente	8	5	2	1	16:8	8	17	D W W W D
5	Ajax	8	4	3	1	22:10	12	15	D D W W L
6	Fortuna Sittard	8	4	2	2	14:15	-1	14	D W L W W
7	Excelsior Away	7	3	2	2	15:9	6	11	D L D W W
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15:13	2	11	W D D L L
9	GO Ahead Eagles	8	2	5	1	19:17	2	11	D D D D L
10	Heerenveen	8	2	3	3	11:11	0	9	L W D L D
11	NEC Nijmegen	8	2	3	3	13:14	-1	9	D D L D L
12	Utrecht	8	2	2	4	14:25	-11	8	W L W D L
13	Sparta Rotterdam	8	1	3	4	13:20	-7	6	D L L D L
14	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5:12	-7	5	L D L D L
15	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10:19	-9	5	D W D L L
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6:20	-14	4	L L D L W
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7:17	-10	2	D L L D L
18	Willem II Home	8	0	2	6	7:23	-16	2	L L L D L