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ENGLAND › PREMIER LEAGUE
10.05.2026 15:30
London Stadium
Referee: C. Kavanagh
West Ham
Match Timeline
Arsenal
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
28'
B. White ↔ M. Zubimendi
Arsenal
🟨
34'
Valentín Castellanos
West Ham
🟨
38'
Crysencio Summerville
West Ham
🔄
46'
R. Calafiori ↔ C. Mosquera
Arsenal
🔄
67'
T. Castellanos ↔ Pablo
West Ham
🔄
67'
E. Eze ↔ M. Odegaard
Arsenal
🔄
67'
↔ K. Havertz
Arsenal
🟨
68'
Jean-Clair Todibo
West Ham
🟨
77'
Bukayo Saka
Arsenal
🟨
79'
Cristhian Mosquera
Arsenal
🔄
80'
B. Saka ↔ N. Madueke
Arsenal
⚽
83'
L. Trossard · Assist: M. Odegaard
Arsenal
🔄
85'
A. Disasi ↔ C. Wilson
West Ham
🟨
89'
William Saliba
Arsenal
VAR
90+8'
Callum Wilson
West Ham
🟨
90+1'
Leandro Trossard
Arsenal

West Ham vs Arsenal Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 56.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 64.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
56.4%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
64.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
74.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
West Ham Win 43.6%
Draw 0%
Arsenal Win 56.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
West Ham1.03
Arsenal1.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
West Ham West Ham
WWDLW
49 GF / 66 GA
Arsenal Arsenal
WLDWL
107 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.26
Average Goals Scored
2.02
1.69
Average Goals Conceded
0.68
22
BTTS Yes
25
24
Over 2.5
29
3.72
Shots on Goal
5.34

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

West Ham West Ham 39 matches
Arsenal Arsenal 53 matches
West Ham Statistic Arsenal
11 Wins 37
11 Draws 10
17 Losses 6
49 Goals For 107
66 Goals Against 36
1.26 Avg Goals Scored 2.02
1.69 Avg Goals Conceded 0.68
22 BTTS Yes 25
34 Over 1.5 41
24 Over 2.5 29
12 Over 3.5 15
7 Clean Sheets 27
12 Failed To Score 4
3.72 Shots On Goal 5.34
11.31 Total Shots 14.91
5.46 Corners 5.87
44.4% Ball Possession 55.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Arsenal's more proactive style and West Ham's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Arsenal. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with West Ham expected to line up in 4-4-1-1 and Arsenal in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Arsenal having the stronger overall control. Arsenal carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 76 points while West Ham sit 18 on 36, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

West Ham Analysis

With 36 points from 35 games and a place of 18, West Ham still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 9 wins, 9 draws, and 17 losses, together with goals at 42:61, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. Bowen (8 goals), C. Wilson (6 goals), C. Summerville (5 goals), with creative support from J. Bowen (10 assists), M. Diouf (5 assists), M. Fernandes (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Arsenal Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 76 points from 35 games, Arsenal bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 23 wins, 7 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 67:26, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by V. Gyokeres (14 goals), B. Saka (7 goals), E. Eze (7 goals), with creative support from L. Trossard (6 assists), D. Rice (5 assists), Jurriën Timber (5 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 9 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, West Ham won 3 times, Arsenal won 10 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:33 from West Ham's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: West Ham 4-4-1-1 / Arsenal 4-2-3-1
Missing players: West Ham 1, Arsenal 2
H2H summary: West Ham wins 3, draws 2, Arsenal wins 10

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 26 7 5 71:27 44 85
W W W W W
2 38 23 9 6 77:35 42 78
L D W W D
3 38 20 11 7 69:50 19 71
W W D W W
4 38 19 8 11 56:49 7 65
W W D L L
5 38 17 9 12 63:53 10 60
D L D L W
6 38 13 18 7 58:54 4 57
D D W W D
7 38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
W W D D L
8 38 14 11 13 52:46 6 53
L L W L W
9 38 14 11 13 55:52 3 53
D D L W L
10 38 14 10 14 58:52 6 52
L W D L L
11 38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
W D L L W
12 38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
L W D W L
13 38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
L L D D L
14 38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
L W D W D
15 38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
L D L D L
16 38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
D L D W W
17 38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
W L D W W
18 38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
W L L L W
19 38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
D L D L L
20 38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20
D D L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship