URUGUAY PRIMERA DIVISIóN - APERTURA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Alfredo Victor Viera
Referee: M. De Armas
Wanderers
Match Timeline
Liverpool Montevideo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
40'
Joaquín Zeballos
Wanderers
45'
J. Zeballos
Wanderers
🔄
66'
M. Rabunal ↔ M. Mir
Liverpool Montevideo
🔄
66'
D. Zabala ↔ R. M. Degregorio
Liverpool Montevideo
🔄
68'
J. Zeballos ↔ G. Freitas
Wanderers
🟨
73'
Santiago Strasorier
Liverpool Montevideo
🔄
80'
F. Martinez ↔ R. Machado
Liverpool Montevideo
🔄
80'
R. Bentancourt ↔ F. Barcelo
Liverpool Montevideo
🔄
83'
A. Garcia ↔ R. Rivero
Wanderers
🟨
87'
Jonathan Urretaviscaya
Wanderers
🟨
87'
Ramiro Matias Degregorio
Liverpool Montevideo
🔄
90'
D. J. Mencia Hernandez ↔ L. Zazpe
Wanderers
🔄
90'
F. Labandeira ↔ S. Guzman
Wanderers
🔄
90+1'
K. Amaro ↔ K. Lewis
Liverpool Montevideo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 17.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86%
-
BTTS BTTS No
17.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Wanderers Win 42.8%
Draw 14%
Liverpool Montevideo Win 43.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Wanderers1.12
Liverpool Montevideo1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Wanderers Wanderers
WWDLW
15 GF / 21 GA
Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool Montevideo
WLDWL
21 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.07
Average Goals Scored
1.31
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
8
BTTS Yes
8
9
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Wanderers Wanderers 14 matches
Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool Montevideo 16 matches
Wanderers Statistic Liverpool Montevideo
5 Wins 5
2 Draws 6
7 Losses 5
15 Goals For 21
21 Goals Against 19
1.07 Avg Goals Scored 1.31
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.19
8 BTTS Yes 8
11 Over 1.5 12
9 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 3.5
0 Total Shots 11.5
0 Corners 4
0% Ball Possession 56%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Liverpool Montevideo's more proactive style and Wanderers's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Liverpool Montevideo. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Wanderers have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Liverpool Montevideo having the stronger overall control.

Wanderers Analysis

With 17 points from 14 games and a place of 13, Wanderers still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 7 defeats with a 15:21 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on F. Labandeira (3 goals), J. Luna (3 goals), L. Cosentino (2 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Liverpool Montevideo Analysis

Liverpool Montevideo sit 8 with 20 points after 14 league matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 20:17 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by F. Martinez (6 goals), D. Romero (3 goals), F. Barcelo (3 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Wanderers won 4 times, Liverpool Montevideo won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:20 from Wanderers's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86%)
Predicted formations: Wanderers 3-4-1-2 / Liverpool Montevideo 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Wanderers wins 4, draws 5, Liverpool Montevideo wins 6

Lineups

Liverpool Montevideo
Formation
Wanderers
M. Campana
M. Campana
E. Castillo
E. Castillo
S. Strasorier
S. Strasorier
S. Laquidain
S. Laquidain
K. Amaro
K. Amaro
N. Garayalde
N. Garayalde
M. Rabunal
M. Rabunal
D. Romero
D. Romero
D. Zabala
D. Zabala
R. Bentancourt
R. Bentancourt
F. Martinez
F. Martinez
A. Buffa
A. Buffa
S. Benitez
S. Benitez
F. Formiliano
F. Formiliano
L. N. Olivera Moreira
L. N. Olivera Moreira
A. Garcia
A. Garcia
J. Urretaviscaya
J. Urretaviscaya
J. Alberti
J. Alberti
N. Queiroz
N. Queiroz
D. J. Mencia Hernandez
D. J. Mencia Hernandez
F. Labandeira
F. Labandeira
J. Zeballos
J. Zeballos
Liverpool Montevideo 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
25
M. Campana
G
23
E. Castillo
D
3
S. Strasorier
🟨 73'
D
15
S. Laquidain
D
24
K. Amaro
↓ 90+1'
M
5
N. Garayalde
M
20
M. Rabunal
↓ 66'
M
27
D. Romero
D
22
D. Zabala
↓ 66'
M
11
R. Bentancourt
↓ 80'
F
7
F. Martinez
↓ 80'
F
Substitutes
1
M. Bernatene
G
6
S. Milano
M
18
A. Cayetano
D
34
K. Lewis
↑ 90+1'
D
4
F. Perdomo
D
8
M. Mir
↑ 66'
M
16
L. Acosta
M
9
R. Machado
↑ 80'
F
10
R. M. Degregorio
↑ 66' 🟨 87'
F
31
F. Barcelo
↑ 80'
F
Wanderers 4-4-1 (estimated)
Starting XI
33
A. Buffa
G
21
S. Benitez
13
F. Formiliano
D
23
L. N. Olivera Moreira
D
17
A. Garcia
↓ 83'
D
80
J. Urretaviscaya
🟨 87'
M
16
J. Alberti
M
5
N. Queiroz
M
15
D. J. Mencia Hernandez
↓ 90'
D
30
F. Labandeira
↓ 90'
M
19
J. Zeballos
⚽ 45' ↓ 68' 🟨 40'
F
Substitutes
12
J. Rio
G
6
L. Zazpe
↑ 90'
D
14
M. Acosta
D
18
L. Baju
D
11
J. Luna
F
25
G. Freitas
↑ 68'
M
7
R. Rivero
↑ 83'
M
9
R. Roque
F
20
S. Guzman
↑ 90'
M
Last matches: Wanderers
05.06.26
Pri
Wanderers
Danubio
0
0
D
31.05.26
Pri
Wanderers
Juventud
5
2
W
24.05.26
Pri
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
1
1
D
17.05.26
Pri
Wanderers
Albion FC
0
0
D
02.05.26
Pri
Wanderers
Juventud
1
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
Wanderers
Penarol
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Wanderers
Progreso
1
2
L
12.04.26
Pri
Wanderers
Racing Montevideo
1
2
L
03.04.26
Pri
Wanderers
Boston River
1
4
L
28.03.26
Pri
Wanderers
Cerro
3
0
W
25.03.26
Pri
Wanderers
Albion FC
1
2
L
21.03.26
Pri
Wanderers
Danubio
2
1
W
13.03.26
Pri
Wanderers
Club Nacional
0
2
L
06.03.26
Pri
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
0
0
D
28.02.26
Pri
Wanderers
Central Espanol
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pri
Wanderers
Atletico Torque
0
4
L
13.02.26
Pri
Wanderers
Cerro Largo
2
1
W
07.02.26
Pri
Wanderers
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
08.11.25
Pri
Wanderers
CA River Plate
0
4
L
31.10.25
Pri
Wanderers
Boston River
2
2
D
Last matches: Liverpool Montevideo
08.06.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
0
0
D
01.06.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
1
0
W
22.05.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
0
0
D
16.05.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
1
2
L
02.05.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
3
0
W
25.04.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Juventud
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
1
3
L
13.04.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
2
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado
0
2
L
31.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
3
3
D
24.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Central Espanol
3
3
D
21.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
0
1
L
16.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Atletico Torque
0
0
D
10.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
2
0
W
25.02.26
CON
Liverpool Montevideo
Independiente Medellin
0
0
D
20.02.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
1
1
D
18.02.26
CON
Liverpool Montevideo
Independiente Medellin
1
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
1
2
L
06.02.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Albion FC
2
1
W
H2H: Wanderers vs Liverpool Montevideo
08.05.26
H2H
Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
1
0
W
16.08.25
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Wanderers
2
1
L
28.06.25
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Wanderers
1
2
W
15.02.25
H2H
Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
1
1
D
15.10.24
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Wanderers
1
1
D
16.04.24
H2H
Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
2
3
L
07.10.23
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Wanderers
2
1
L
28.02.23
H2H
Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
1
1
D
27.09.22
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Wanderers
4
0
L
24.09.22
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Wanderers
1
1
D
12.06.22
H2H
Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
1
0
W
23.04.22
H2H
Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
0
0
D
29.10.21
H2H
Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
1
0
W
06.07.21
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Wanderers
2
1
L
17.02.21
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Wanderers
2
1
L
Last matches: Wanderers
05.06.26
Pri
Wanderers
Danubio
0
0
D
24.05.26
Pri
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pri
Wanderers
Penarol
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Wanderers
Racing Montevideo
1
2
L
28.03.26
Pri
Wanderers
Cerro
3
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Wanderers
Danubio
2
1
W
06.03.26
Pri
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
0
0
D
22.02.26
Pri
Wanderers
Atletico Torque
0
4
L
07.02.26
Pri
Wanderers
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
08.11.25
Pri
Wanderers
CA River Plate
0
4
L
31.10.25
Pri
Wanderers
Boston River
2
2
D
26.10.25
Pri
Wanderers
Club Nacional
0
0
D
26.09.25
Pri
Wanderers
Cerro
0
1
L
06.09.25
Pri
Wanderers
Danubio
0
2
L
22.08.25
Pri
Wanderers
Juventud
0
1
L
10.08.25
Pri
Wanderers
Plaza Colonia
0
0
D
H2H at home: Wanderers
08.05.26
H2H
Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
1
0
W
15.02.25
H2H
Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
1
1
D
16.04.24
H2H
Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
2
3
L
28.02.23
H2H
Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
1
1
D
12.06.22
H2H
Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
1
0
W
23.04.22
H2H
Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
0
0
D
29.10.21
H2H
Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
1
0
W
Last matches: Liverpool Montevideo
01.06.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
1
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Juventud
1
1
D
13.04.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
2
0
W
31.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
3
3
D
21.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
0
1
L
10.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
1
0
W
25.02.26
CON
Liverpool Montevideo
Independiente Medellin
0
0
D
20.02.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
1
1
D
06.02.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Albion FC
2
1
W
07.11.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
0
2
L
20.10.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Plaza Colonia
1
0
W
03.10.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
CA River Plate
1
0
W
20.09.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
1
3
L
07.09.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Atletico Torque
1
1
D
24.08.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
1
2
L
10.08.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Miramar
1
0
W
H2H away: Liverpool Montevideo
08.05.26
H2H
Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
1
0
L
15.02.25
H2H
Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
1
1
D
16.04.24
H2H
Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
2
3
W
28.02.23
H2H
Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
1
1
D
12.06.22
H2H
Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
1
0
L
23.04.22
H2H
Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
0
0
D
29.10.21
H2H
Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
1
0
L