URUGUAY PRIMERA DIVISIóN - APERTURA
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: E. Ostojich
Wanderers
Match Timeline
Deportivo Maldonado
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
41'
C. Tabo
Deportivo Maldonado
🟨
45+2'
Adriano Freitas
Deportivo Maldonado
45'
J. Zeballos
Wanderers
🔄
46'
F. Labandeira ↔ R. Rivero
Wanderers
🔄
46'
A. Freitas ↔ V. F. Ortiz Ferreira
Deportivo Maldonado
🔄
62'
S. Ramirez ↔ S. Gonzalez
Deportivo Maldonado
🔄
62'
G. Lopez ↔ G. Larrazabal
Deportivo Maldonado
🔄
74'
J. Urretaviscaya ↔ R. Roque
Wanderers
🔄
77'
J. Ramos ↔ S. Tormo
Deportivo Maldonado
🔄
77'
A. M. Noble Sequeira ↔ E. de Leon
Deportivo Maldonado
🔄
79'
J. Alberti ↔ A. Garcia
Wanderers
🔄
79'
J. Zeballos ↔ M. Levato
Wanderers
🟨
80'
Darlin Mencía
Wanderers
🟨
84'
Nicolás Fuica
Deportivo Maldonado
🟨
85'
Hernán Menosse
Deportivo Maldonado
🔄
89'
N. Queiroz ↔ G. Freitas
Wanderers

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
35.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Wanderers Win 53.8%
Draw 0%
Deportivo Maldonado Win 46.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Wanderers1.02
Deportivo Maldonado1.54
Recent Form (Last 5)
Wanderers Wanderers
WWDLW
16 GF / 21 GA
Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado
WLDWL
27 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.69
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
8
BTTS Yes
10
9
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Wanderers Wanderers 16 matches
Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 16 matches
Wanderers Statistic Deportivo Maldonado
6 Wins 10
3 Draws 2
7 Losses 4
16 Goals For 27
21 Goals Against 17
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.69
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
8 BTTS Yes 10
11 Over 1.5 12
9 Over 2.5 9
2 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 6
4 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Deportivo Maldonado's more proactive style and Wanderers's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Deportivo Maldonado carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 29 points while Wanderers sit 10 on 20, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Wanderers have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Deportivo Maldonado. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Deportivo Maldonado having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Wanderers Analysis

Wanderers sit 10 with 20 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 16:21, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through F. Labandeira (3 goals), J. Luna (3 goals), L. Cosentino (2 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportivo Maldonado Analysis

Deportivo Maldonado approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 29 points after 15 outings. With 9 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 24:16, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by A. M. Noble Sequeira (6 goals), Christian Tabó (5 goals), R. Cesar (3 goals), with creative support from Christian Tabó (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Wanderers won 4 times, Deportivo Maldonado won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:13 from Wanderers's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.86 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Wanderers 4-3-1-2 / Deportivo Maldonado 4-3-3
H2H summary: Wanderers wins 4, draws 6, Deportivo Maldonado wins 4

Lineups

Deportivo Maldonado
Formation
Wanderers
A. Freitas
A. Freitas
J. M. Ginzo
J. M. Ginzo
H. Menosse
H. Menosse
N. Fuica
N. Fuica
J. Ramos
J. Ramos
J. Fernandez
J. Fernandez
M. Gonzalez
M. Gonzalez
S. Ramirez
S. Ramirez
A. M. Noble Sequeira
A. M. Noble Sequeira
G. Lopez
G. Lopez
C. Tabo
C. Tabo
A. Buffa
A. Buffa
N. Furtado
N. Furtado
S. Benitez
S. Benitez
F. Formiliano
F. Formiliano
L. N. Olivera Moreira
L. N. Olivera Moreira
D. J. Mencia Hernandez
D. J. Mencia Hernandez
J. Alberti
J. Alberti
N. Queiroz
N. Queiroz
J. Urretaviscaya
J. Urretaviscaya
J. Zeballos
J. Zeballos
F. Labandeira
F. Labandeira
Deportivo Maldonado 4-3-1-2
Starting XI
1
A. Freitas
↓ 46' 🟨 45+2'
G
4
J. M. Ginzo
D
3
H. Menosse
🟨 85'
D
33
N. Fuica
🟨 84'
D
22
J. Ramos
↓ 77'
D
42
J. Fernandez
D
8
M. Gonzalez
M
17
S. Ramirez
↓ 62'
M
10
A. M. Noble Sequeira
↓ 77'
11
G. Lopez
↓ 62'
M
14
C. Tabo
⚽ 41'
F
Substitutes
12
V. F. Ortiz Ferreira
↑ 46'
20
S. Tormo
↑ 77'
D
15
S. Gonzalez
↑ 62'
M
31
F. Marino
5
L. Nunez
M
28
S. Cartagena
M
7
G. Larrazabal
↑ 62'
23
A. Vila
M
32
H. Petryk
D
9
E. de Leon
↑ 77'
F
Wanderers 4-4-1 (estimated)
Starting XI
33
A. Buffa
G
31
N. Furtado
D
21
S. Benitez
13
F. Formiliano
D
23
L. N. Olivera Moreira
D
15
D. J. Mencia Hernandez
🟨 80'
D
16
J. Alberti
↓ 79'
M
5
N. Queiroz
↓ 89'
M
80
J. Urretaviscaya
↓ 74'
M
19
J. Zeballos
⚽ 45' ↓ 79'
F
30
F. Labandeira
↓ 46'
M
Substitutes
12
J. Rio
G
6
L. Zazpe
D
7
R. Rivero
↑ 46'
M
9
R. Roque
↑ 74'
F
14
M. Acosta
D
17
A. Garcia
↑ 79'
D
18
L. Baju
D
20
S. Guzman
M
25
G. Freitas
↑ 89'
M
70
M. Levato
↑ 79'
F
Last matches: Wanderers
05.06.26
Pri
Wanderers
Danubio
0
0
D
31.05.26
Pri
Wanderers
Juventud
5
2
W
17.05.26
Pri
Wanderers
Albion FC
0
0
D
08.05.26
Pri
Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
1
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
Wanderers
Juventud
1
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
Wanderers
Penarol
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Wanderers
Progreso
1
2
L
12.04.26
Pri
Wanderers
Racing Montevideo
1
2
L
03.04.26
Pri
Wanderers
Boston River
1
4
L
28.03.26
Pri
Wanderers
Cerro
3
0
W
25.03.26
Pri
Wanderers
Albion FC
1
2
L
21.03.26
Pri
Wanderers
Danubio
2
1
W
13.03.26
Pri
Wanderers
Club Nacional
0
2
L
06.03.26
Pri
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
0
0
D
28.02.26
Pri
Wanderers
Central Espanol
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pri
Wanderers
Atletico Torque
0
4
L
13.02.26
Pri
Wanderers
Cerro Largo
2
1
W
07.02.26
Pri
Wanderers
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
08.11.25
Pri
Wanderers
CA River Plate
0
4
L
31.10.25
Pri
Wanderers
Boston River
2
2
D
Last matches: Deportivo Maldonado
06.06.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Atletico Torque
4
2
W
31.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
3
0
W
18.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Danubio
3
1
W
11.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Boston River
2
1
W
02.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Cerro
1
0
W
25.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Albion FC
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Danubio
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
4
2
W
05.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Liverpool Montevideo
2
0
W
31.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Central Espanol
1
2
L
24.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Atletico Torque
1
0
W
20.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Cerro Largo
1
3
L
15.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Defensor Sporting
1
0
W
06.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Wanderers
0
0
D
02.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Juventud
2
1
W
22.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Penarol
1
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Progreso
2
0
W
08.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Racing Montevideo
4
2
W
H2H: Wanderers vs Deportivo Maldonado
24.05.26
H2H
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
1
1
D
06.03.26
H2H
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
0
0
D
20.09.24
H2H
Deportivo Maldonado
Wanderers
1
3
W
27.07.24
H2H
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
1
0
W
11.03.24
H2H
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
0
0
D
15.11.23
H2H
Deportivo Maldonado
Wanderers
3
0
L
07.04.23
H2H
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
13.09.22
H2H
Deportivo Maldonado
Wanderers
1
0
L
09.07.22
H2H
Deportivo Maldonado
Wanderers
1
2
W
11.04.22
H2H
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
20.09.21
H2H
Deportivo Maldonado
Wanderers
1
3
W
23.05.21
H2H
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
0
0
D
06.02.21
H2H
Deportivo Maldonado
Wanderers
1
1
D
15.08.20
H2H
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
2
2
D
Last matches: Wanderers
05.06.26
Pri
Wanderers
Danubio
0
0
D
08.05.26
Pri
Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Wanderers
Penarol
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Wanderers
Racing Montevideo
1
2
L
28.03.26
Pri
Wanderers
Cerro
3
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Wanderers
Danubio
2
1
W
06.03.26
Pri
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
0
0
D
22.02.26
Pri
Wanderers
Atletico Torque
0
4
L
07.02.26
Pri
Wanderers
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
08.11.25
Pri
Wanderers
CA River Plate
0
4
L
31.10.25
Pri
Wanderers
Boston River
2
2
D
26.10.25
Pri
Wanderers
Club Nacional
0
0
D
26.09.25
Pri
Wanderers
Cerro
0
1
L
06.09.25
Pri
Wanderers
Danubio
0
2
L
22.08.25
Pri
Wanderers
Juventud
0
1
L
10.08.25
Pri
Wanderers
Plaza Colonia
0
0
D
H2H at home: Wanderers
24.05.26
H2H
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
1
1
D
06.03.26
H2H
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
0
0
D
27.07.24
H2H
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
1
0
W
11.03.24
H2H
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
0
0
D
07.04.23
H2H
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
11.04.22
H2H
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
23.05.21
H2H
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
0
0
D
15.08.20
H2H
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
2
2
D
Last matches: Deportivo Maldonado
06.06.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Atletico Torque
4
2
W
02.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Cerro
1
0
W
19.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Danubio
1
1
D
05.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Liverpool Montevideo
2
0
W
31.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Central Espanol
1
2
L
20.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Cerro Largo
1
3
L
06.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Wanderers
0
0
D
22.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Penarol
1
2
L
08.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Racing Montevideo
4
2
W
H2H away: Deportivo Maldonado
24.05.26
H2H
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
1
1
D
06.03.26
H2H
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
0
0
D
27.07.24
H2H
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
1
0
L
11.03.24
H2H
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
0
0
D
07.04.23
H2H
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
W
11.04.22
H2H
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
W
23.05.21
H2H
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
0
0
D
15.08.20
H2H
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
2
2
D