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01.10.2026 18:45
Cardiff City Stadium
Referee: Alejandro Hernandez, Spain
Wales
Match Timeline
Norway
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
11'
Oscar Bobb · Assist: Martin Ødegaard
Norway
🔄
16'
Julian Ryerson ↔ Marcus Pedersen
Norway
🟨
37'
Jordan James
Wales
⚽
38'
Daniel James · Assist: Sorba Thomas
Wales
🟥
46'
Torbjørn Heggem
Norway
🔄
46'
Fredrik Aursnes ↔ Thelo Aasgaard
Norway
⚽
48'
Neco Williams
Wales
🔄
49'
Oscar Bobb ↔ Leo Østigård
Norway
🔄
75'
Jordan James ↔ Josh Sheehan
Wales
🔄
75'
Andreas Schjelderup ↔ Antonio Nusa
Norway
🔄
75'
David Møller Wolfe ↔ Jørgen Strand Larsen
Norway
🔄
76'
Daniel James ↔ Brennan Johnson
Wales
🔄
76'
Liam Cullen ↔ Joel Colwill
Wales
🔄
85'
Lewis Koumas ↔ Mark Harris
Wales
🟨
90+3'
Ethan Ampadu
Wales
🟨
90+3'
Sorba Thomas
Wales
🟨
90+3'
Martin Ødegaard
Norway

Wales vs Norway Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 52.2%
Odds 1.46
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds 1.67
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.51
1 agree / 0 disagree
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
52.2%
1.46 ▥
BTTS Yes
88%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.51 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.47 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.33 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Wales Win 37.9%
Draw 10%
Norway Win 52.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Wales0.99
Norway1.66
Recent Form (Last 5)
Wales Wales
WWDLW
3 GF / 7 GA
Norway Norway
WLDWL
22 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
0.6
Average Goals Scored
1.83
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.58
3
BTTS Yes
11
1
Over 2.5
10
3.8
Shots on Goal
4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Wales Wales 5 matches
Norway Norway 12 matches
Wales Statistic Norway
0 Wins 6
2 Draws 2
3 Losses 4
3 Goals For 22
7 Goals Against 19
0.6 Avg Goals Scored 1.83
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.58
3 BTTS Yes 11
4 Over 1.5 11
1 Over 2.5 10
0 Over 3.5 5
0 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 1
3.8 Shots On Goal 4.5
13.2 Total Shots 11.83
5.6 Corners 5.25
53.2% Ball Possession 52.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90%)
Predicted formations: Wales 4-2-3-1 / Norway 4-3-3

Standings

League A - Group D
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 4 0 0 9:4 5 12
W W W W
2 4 2 0 2 7:7 0 6
W L W L
3
Wales Home
4 1 0 3 2:5 -3 3
L W L L
4 4 1 0 3 6:8 -2 3
L L L W
Play Offs: Quarter-finals
Possible Play-off