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GERMANY › 3. LIGA
14.10.2026 17:00
Carl-Benz Stadion

Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt 04 Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 63.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
63.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
76.3%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Waldhof Mannheim Win 41.6%
Draw 21.7%
FC Ingolstadt 04 Win 36.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Waldhof Mannheim1.68
FC Ingolstadt 041.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim
WWDLW
32 GF / 27 GA
FC Ingolstadt 04 FC Ingolstadt 04
WLDWL
21 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.68
Average Goals Scored
1.31
1.42
Average Goals Conceded
1.69
10
BTTS Yes
8
11
Over 2.5
9
3.38
Shots on Goal
2.13

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 19 matches
FC Ingolstadt 04 FC Ingolstadt 04 16 matches
Waldhof Mannheim Statistic FC Ingolstadt 04
9 Wins 6
1 Draws 2
9 Losses 8
32 Goals For 21
27 Goals Against 27
1.68 Avg Goals Scored 1.31
1.42 Avg Goals Conceded 1.69
10 BTTS Yes 8
15 Over 1.5 13
11 Over 2.5 9
6 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 3
3.38 Shots On Goal 2.13
9.75 Total Shots 7.5
3.38 Corners 2.63
35.8% Ball Possession 31%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Waldhof Mannheim's more proactive style and FC Ingolstadt 04's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Waldhof Mannheim expected to line up in 4-3-3 and FC Ingolstadt 04 in 3-3-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Ingolstadt 04 having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors FC Ingolstadt 04.

Waldhof Mannheim Analysis

Waldhof Mannheim approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 10 points from 7 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats with a 11:10 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

FC Ingolstadt 04 Analysis

With 8 points from 7 games and a place of 14, FC Ingolstadt 04 still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats with a 7:11 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Waldhof Mannheim won 2 times, FC Ingolstadt 04 won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:18 from Waldhof Mannheim's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.58 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.3%)
Predicted formations: Waldhof Mannheim 4-3-3 / FC Ingolstadt 04 3-3-3-1
H2H summary: Waldhof Mannheim wins 2, draws 5, FC Ingolstadt 04 wins 5

Standings

3 Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 0 1 22:9 13 21
W W W L W
2 7 5 0 2 19:9 10 15
W W W L W
3 8 4 3 1 16:12 4 15
D D W W W
4 8 4 3 1 17:15 2 15
W D W L D
5 8 4 2 2 19:12 7 14
D W D L W
6 8 4 1 3 16:11 5 13
W W L W L
7 8 4 1 3 16:11 5 13
L W W D L
8 8 3 3 2 15:16 -1 12
D L D W W
9 7 3 2 2 11:8 3 11
W L D W L
10 8 2 4 2 8:8 0 10
D W L D D
11 7 3 1 3 6:7 -1 10
L W W D W
12 7 3 1 3 10:13 -3 10
W D W W L
13 8 2 2 4 18:17 1 8
W D L D L
14 8 2 2 4 13:16 -3 8
D D L L W
15 8 2 2 4 9:15 -6 8
L L L W L
16 8 2 2 4 9:15 -6 8
W L W L D
17 8 2 2 4 7:14 -7 8
L L D D W
18 8 2 1 5 11:17 -6 7
L L W L L
19 8 2 1 5 9:16 -7 7
D L L L L
20 8 1 1 6 10:20 -10 4
L L L D L
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Promotion)
Relegation