FINLAND YKKöNEN
--.--.---- --:--
FT
2 - 1
Myyrmaen jalkapallostadion
VJS
Match Timeline
TPV
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
37'
T. Klen
VJS
52'
T. Toijala
TPV
🔄
52'
E. Bullock ↔ L. Jadama
TPV
🔄
63'
K. Koivunen ↔ V. Salo
VJS
🔄
64'
N. Kaijasilta ↔ A. Babiker
VJS
🔄
69'
R. Kostiainen ↔ E. Maentakanen
TPV
🔄
69'
J. Venemies ↔ J. Yli-Rajala
TPV
74'
E. Hannula
VJS
🔄
77'
O. Ojala ↔ J. Merinen
VJS
🔄
77'
D. Hvidberg ↔ J. Holopainen
VJS
🟥
80'
O. Rattari
TPV
🔄
85'
V. Veltti ↔ K. Manninen
TPV
🔄
85'
B. Ozcelik ↔ M. Akbal
TPV
🔄
88'
J. Rahja ↔ N. Kangasmaa
VJS

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82.1%
Odds 1.33
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.39
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82.1%
1.33
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.67
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.39
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.07
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
VJS Win 82.1%
Draw 7.2%
TPV Win 10.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
VJS1.79
TPV1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
VJS VJS
WWDLW
22 GF / 13 GA
TPV TPV
WLDWL
21 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.69
Average Goals Scored
1.31
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.94
6
BTTS Yes
10
6
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

VJS VJS 13 matches
TPV TPV 16 matches
VJS Statistic TPV
6 Wins 3
4 Draws 5
3 Losses 8
22 Goals For 21
13 Goals Against 31
1.69 Avg Goals Scored 1.31
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.94
6 BTTS Yes 10
10 Over 1.5 13
6 Over 2.5 11
5 Over 3.5 8
5 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around VJS's more proactive style and TPV's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring TPV. VJS arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 13 points compared to TPV in 11 on 7, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward TPV having the stronger overall control.

VJS Analysis

VJS are currently 8 in the standings with 13 points from 10 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, while the 17:12 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Babiker (4 goals), J. Rahja (4 goals), N. Kaijasilta (3 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

TPV Analysis

TPV are currently 11 in the standings with 7 points from 11 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, while the 11:21 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Kujala (2 goals), O. Rattari (2 goals), B. Ozcelik (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, VJS won 2 times, TPV won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:13 from VJS's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 4.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.8%)
H2H summary: VJS wins 2, draws 2, TPV wins 2
Last matches: VJS
13.06.26
Ykk
VJS
Rops
0
2
L
06.06.26
Ykk
VJS
FC jazz
1
1
D
02.06.26
Ykk
VJS
JJK
2
2
D
23.05.26
Ykk
VJS
KPV-j
5
0
W
09.05.26
Ykk
VJS
Inter Turku II
3
2
W
02.05.26
Ykk
VJS
KuPS Akatemia
0
0
D
24.04.26
Ykk
VJS
Tampere United
4
0
W
18.04.26
Ykk
VJS
SalPa
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ykk
VJS
OLS
0
1
L
04.04.26
Ykk
VJS
TPV
1
3
L
24.03.26
Fri
VJS
JäPS
2
0
W
07.03.26
Fri
VJS
Klubi-04
2
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
VJS
KäPa
1
0
W
Last matches: TPV
14.06.26
Ykk
TPV
PKKU
2
2
D
06.06.26
Ykk
TPV
Inter Turku II
1
1
D
29.05.26
Ykk
TPV
Tampere United
0
3
L
23.05.26
Ykk
TPV
SalPa
2
4
L
16.05.26
Ykk
TPV
OLS
2
2
D
09.05.26
Ykk
TPV
Rops
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ykk
TPV
FC jazz
0
2
L
24.04.26
Ykk
TPV
KuPS Akatemia
0
3
L
18.04.26
Ykk
TPV
JJK
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ykk
TPV
KPV-j
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ykk
TPV
VJS
3
1
W
28.03.26
Fri
TPV
JäPS
0
1
L
22.03.26
Fri
TPV
Haka
1
3
L
22.02.26
Fri
TPV
Tampere United
4
2
W
25.01.26
Fri
TPV
Atlantis
3
2
W
18.01.26
Fri
TPV
JJK
2
2
D
H2H: VJS vs TPV
04.04.26
H2H
TPV
VJS
3
1
L
22.09.24
H2H
VJS
TPV
1
1
D
08.07.24
H2H
VJS
TPV
6
2
W
05.05.24
H2H
TPV
VJS
2
2
D
24.10.21
H2H
TPV
VJS
0
3
W
04.07.21
H2H
VJS
TPV
2
5
L
Last matches: VJS
13.06.26
Ykk
VJS
Rops
0
2
L
23.05.26
Ykk
VJS
KPV-j
5
0
W
09.05.26
Ykk
VJS
Inter Turku II
3
2
W
02.05.26
Ykk
VJS
KuPS Akatemia
0
0
D
18.04.26
Ykk
VJS
SalPa
1
1
D
H2H at home: VJS
22.09.24
H2H
VJS
TPV
1
1
D
08.07.24
H2H
VJS
TPV
6
2
W
04.07.21
H2H
VJS
TPV
2
5
L
Last matches: TPV
14.06.26
Ykk
TPV
PKKU
2
2
D
23.05.26
Ykk
TPV
SalPa
2
4
L
09.05.26
Ykk
TPV
Rops
0
1
L
24.04.26
Ykk
TPV
KuPS Akatemia
0
3
L
18.04.26
Ykk
TPV
JJK
1
2
L
28.03.26
Fri
TPV
JäPS
0
1
L
22.03.26
Fri
TPV
Haka
1
3
L
22.02.26
Fri
TPV
Tampere United
4
2
W
H2H away: TPV
22.09.24
H2H
VJS
TPV
1
1
D
08.07.24
H2H
VJS
TPV
6
2
L
04.07.21
H2H
VJS
TPV
2
5
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 7.46
Draw 5.28
Home 1.33
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.35
Draw 2.83
Home 1.72
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 1.39
Over 2.75 1.47
Over 3.0 1.60
Over 3.25 1.83
Over 3.5 2.03
Over 3.75 2.28
Over 4.0 2.72
Over 4.25 2.91
Under 2.5 2.85
Under 2.75 2.56
Under 3.0 2.29
Under 3.25 1.97
Under 3.5 1.76
Under 3.75 1.58
Under 4.0 1.42
Under 4.25 1.38
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 6.50
Draw 4.33
Home 1.36
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 7.00
Draw 2.88
Home 1.73
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 6.00
Draw 3.25
Home 1.57
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.5 1.12
Over 2.5 1.48
Over 3.5 2.10
Over 4.5 3.50
Over 5.5 6.50
Over 6.5 13.00
Over 7.5 26.00
Over 8.5 51.00
Under 0.5 19.00
Under 1.5 6.00
Under 2.5 2.60
Under 3.5 1.67
Under 4.5 1.28
Under 5.5 1.11
Under 6.5 1.04
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 8.10
Draw 5.30
Home 1.27
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.89
Draw 2.72
Home 1.69
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 6.55
Draw 3.34
Home 1.53
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.0 1.01
Over 1.5 1.07
Over 1.75 1.08
Over 2.0 1.10
Over 2.25 1.23
Over 2.5 1.34
Over 2.75 1.43
Over 3.0 1.53
Over 3.25 1.74
Over 3.5 1.95
Over 3.75 2.19
Over 4.0 2.52
Over 4.25 2.82
Over 4.5 3.05
Over 4.75 3.60
Over 5.0 4.75
Over 5.25 5.06
Over 5.5 5.35
Over 6.0 9.10
Over 6.5 13.00
Over 7.5 26.00
Over 8.5 50.00
Under 0.5 17.50
Under 1.0 12.50
Under 1.5 5.90
Under 1.75 5.45
Under 2.0 5.00
Under 2.25 3.43
Under 2.5 2.78
Under 2.75 2.51
Under 3.0 2.21
Under 3.25 1.93
Under 3.5 1.76
Under 3.75 1.60
Under 4.0 1.41
Under 4.25 1.36
Under 4.5 1.28
Under 4.75 1.22
Under 5.0 1.12
Under 5.25 1.11
Under 5.5 1.09
Under 6.0 1.00
Under 6.5 1.04
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 6.75
Draw 4.90
Home 1.33
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.75
Draw 2.80
Home 1.74
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.30
Draw 3.30
Home 1.62
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.10
Over 2.5 1.37
Over 3.5 1.95
Over 4.5 3.15
Over 5.5 5.20
Under 1.5 5.30
Under 2.5 2.70
Under 3.5 1.71
Under 4.5 1.28
Under 5.5 1.10

Standings

Ykkonen
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 9 1 2 25:6 19 28
W W W W W
2 13 7 3 3 35:21 14 24
W W L D W
3 12 6 4 2 24:12 12 22
D W L D W
4 13 6 4 3 25:15 10 22
D L W D L
5 12 5 4 3 26:22 4 19
D W L W W
6 11 5 3 3 21:13 8 18
W D W W L
7 12 5 2 5 14:19 -5 14
L D D L W
8
VJS Home
10 3 4 3 17:12 5 13
L D D W W
9 12 3 3 6 22:36 -14 12
L D D L W
10 12 2 2 8 18:27 -9 8
D L W L L
11
TPV Away
11 1 4 6 11:21 -10 7
D D L L D
12 12 1 2 9 10:44 -34 5
L L L W L
Promotion - Ykkonen (Championship Group)
Ykkonen (Relegation Group)