Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
95.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
30.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
71.9%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Vitoria
Coritiba
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Vitoria
12 matches
Coritiba
13 matches
| Vitoria | Statistic | Coritiba |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 5 |
| 3 | Draws | 4 |
| 5 | Losses | 4 |
| 12 | Goals For | 15 |
| 17 | Goals Against | 13 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.15 |
| 1.42 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3.83 | Shots On Goal | 3.15 |
| 10.75 | Total Shots | 10.62 |
| 3.92 | Corners | 3.15 |
| 42.4% | Ball Possession | 38.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between Coritiba's more proactive style and Vitoria's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Coritiba. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Vitoria expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Coritiba in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Coritiba having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Vitoria are currently 13 in the standings with 15 points from 12 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, while the 12:17 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Gabriel Baralhas (2 goals), Matheuzinho (2 goals), Ramon (2 goals), with creative support from Gabriel Baralhas (3 assists), Erick (2 assists), Matheuzinho (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, Coritiba have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 19 points from 13 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 15:13 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Breno Lopes (5 goals), J. Lavega (3 goals), Pedro Rocha (3 goals), with creative support from Josué (4 assists), Lucas Ronier (2 assists), Breno Lopes (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Vitoria won 5 times, Coritiba won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:12 from Vitoria's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.08 goals per game.
Vitoria
7
1
2
2
2
2
Lineups
Vitoria
Santos
Vitoria
Internacional
Vitoria
RB Bragantino
Vitoria
Fluminense
Vitoria
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
Corinthians
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
Chapecoense-sc
Vitoria
Cruzeiro
Vitoria
Mirassol
Vitoria
Gremio
Vitoria
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
Bahia
Vitoria
Flamengo
Vitoria
Palmeiras
Vitoria
Remo
Coritiba
Flamengo
Coritiba
Bahia
Coritiba
Santos
Coritiba
Internacional
Coritiba
Gremio
Coritiba
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
Botafogo
Coritiba
Fluminense
Coritiba
Vasco DA Gama
Coritiba
Atletico Paranaense
Coritiba
Mirassol
Coritiba
Remo
Coritiba
Corinthians
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
Chapecoense-sc
Coritiba
Cruzeiro
Coritiba
RB Bragantino
Vitoria
Internacional
Vitoria
Corinthians
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
Mirassol
Vitoria
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
Flamengo
Vitoria
Remo
Coritiba
Flamengo
Coritiba
Santos
Coritiba
Gremio
Coritiba
Botafogo
Coritiba
Atletico Paranaense
Coritiba
Mirassol
Coritiba
Corinthians
Coritiba
Chapecoense-sc
Coritiba
Cruzeiro
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 31 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 7 |
Coritiba
Away
|
18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
?
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 22 |
?
|
|
| 13 |
Vitoria
Home
|
17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
?
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 26:29 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 16 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 17 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22:29 | -7 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
?
|
|
| 19 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
?
|
|
| 20 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17:33 | -16 | 9 |
?
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