Vitória SC
Match Timeline
Nacional
Vitória SC vs Nacional Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
60.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
61.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
74%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Vitória SC Win 60.5%
Draw 5.1%
Nacional Win 34.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vitória SC1.92
Nacional1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vitória SC
WWDLW
18 GF / 7 GA
Nacional
WLDWL
9 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
2.25
Average Goals Scored
1.29
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
4
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
3
3
Shots on Goal
3.5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Vitória SC
8 matches
Nacional
7 matches
| Vitória SC | Statistic | Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 1 |
| 1 | Draws | 4 |
| 2 | Losses | 2 |
| 18 | Goals For | 9 |
| 7 | Goals Against | 10 |
| 2.25 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 0.88 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.43 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 3 | Shots On Goal | 3.5 |
| 18 | Total Shots | 15 |
| 3 | Corners | 5.5 |
| 51% | Ball Possession | 53.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Vitória SC won 7 times, Nacional won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:19 from Vitória SC's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)
Predicted formations: Vitória SC 4-2-3-1 / Nacional 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Vitória SC wins 7, draws 3, Nacional wins 5
Standings
Primeira Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 20:4 | 16 | 24 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20:9 | 11 | 18 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 18 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22:7 | 15 | 16 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 14 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 11 |
W
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14:14 | 0 | 10 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 8 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 8 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 8 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 7 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 |
Vitória SC
Home
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
| 15 |
Nacional
Away
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
| 16 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | -10 | 4 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3:17 | -14 | 4 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4:12 | -8 | 2 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2