Login Register
NETHERLANDS › EERSTE DIVISIE
03.10.2026 14:30
GelreDome
Vitesse
Match Timeline
NAC Breda
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
14'
Naoufal Bannis · Assist: Filipe de Carvalho Ferreira
Vitesse
⚽
24'
Charles-Andreas Brym · Assist: Kamal Sowah
NAC Breda
⚽
32'
Kamal Sowah
NAC Breda
🔄
45'
Nathangelo Markelo ↔ Solomon Bonnah
Vitesse
🔄
45'
Jeredy Hilterman ↔ Pontus Dahbo
Vitesse
🔄
45'
Mathijs Marschalk ↔ Youssef Ouallil
Vitesse
🟨
49'
Charles-Andreas Brym
NAC Breda
🟨
51'
M. Steffen
Vitesse
🔄
67'
Kamal Sowah ↔ Fredrik Jensen
NAC Breda
🔄
71'
Filipe de Carvalho Ferreira ↔ Joâo Pinto
Vitesse
🔄
72'
Charles-Andreas Brym ↔ Gabriel Osei Misehouy
NAC Breda
🟨
73'
Moussa Soumano
NAC Breda
🟨
79'
Aymen·Sellouf
Vitesse
🟨
80'
Youssef Ouallil
Vitesse
🔄
81'
Moussa Soumano ↔ Mohamed Bouchouari
NAC Breda
🔄
81'
Jan Van den Bergh ↔ Mylan Brouwers
NAC Breda
🔄
83'
Xiamaro thenu ↔ Alexander Büttner
Vitesse
⚽
87'
Naoufal Bannis
Vitesse
🟨
90'
Alexander Büttner
Vitesse
🔄
90+4'
M. Steffen ↔ omar achouitar
Vitesse

Vitesse vs NAC Breda Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 64.3%
Odds 1.67
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.40
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds 1.49
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
64.3%
1.67 ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
1.40 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
1.49 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.19 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.50 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
12.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Vitesse Win 44.9%
Draw 19.4%
NAC Breda Win 35.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vitesse1.57
NAC Breda1.54
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vitesse Vitesse
WWDLW
16 GF / 14 GA
NAC Breda NAC Breda
WLDWL
25 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.79
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.93
7
BTTS Yes
11
6
Over 2.5
11
4.75
Shots on Goal
6.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vitesse Vitesse 12 matches
NAC Breda NAC Breda 14 matches
Vitesse Statistic NAC Breda
5 Wins 7
3 Draws 1
4 Losses 6
16 Goals For 25
14 Goals Against 27
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.79
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.93
7 BTTS Yes 11
9 Over 1.5 13
6 Over 2.5 11
3 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 0
4 Failed To Score 3
4.75 Shots On Goal 6.75
16.25 Total Shots 22.38
5 Corners 7.63
49.1% Ball Possession 57.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Vitesse's more proactive style and NAC Breda's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Vitesse expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and NAC Breda in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward NAC Breda having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors NAC Breda.

Vitesse Analysis

Vitesse approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 13 points after 7 outings. With 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 13:9, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by N. Bannis (7 goals), F. de Carvalho (2 goals), A. Sellouf (2 goals), with creative support from N. Bannis (3 assists), F. de Carvalho (2 assists), O. Achouitar (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

NAC Breda Analysis

So far, NAC Breda have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 10 points from 7 matches. The record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 13:15 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through P. Gladon (4 goals), M. Nassoh (2 goals), M. Soumano (2 goals), with creative support from B. Lucassen (2 assists), M. Nassoh (1 assists), M. Soumano (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Vitesse won 8 times, NAC Breda won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:12 from Vitesse's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.64 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.6%)
Predicted formations: Vitesse 4-2-3-1 / NAC Breda 4-4-2
H2H summary: Vitesse wins 8, draws 3, NAC Breda wins 3

Standings

Eerste Divisie: Period 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
3 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
4 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
5 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
6 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
7 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
8 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
9 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
11 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
12 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
13 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
14 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
15 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
16 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
18 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
19 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
Promotion - Eredivisie (Promotion)