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JAPAN › J1 LEAGUE
30.05.2026 05:00
Noevir Stadium
Referee: A. Ikeuchi
Vissel Kobe
Match Timeline
Kashima
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
7'
M. Thuler ↔ B. Nduka
Vissel Kobe
⚽
28'
Y. Osako
Vissel Kobe
🟨
45+2'
Gotoku Sakai
Vissel Kobe
🔄
46'
R. Araki ↔ Y. Matsumura
Kashima
⚽
50'
Y. Osako · Assist: Y. Muto
Vissel Kobe
🟨
55'
Gaku Shibasaki
Kashima
🔄
65'
G. Shibasaki ↔ K. Chinen
Kashima
🔄
65'
A. Cavric ↔ S. Morooka
Kashima
⚽
69'
Diego · Assist: Y. Ideguchi
Vissel Kobe
🔄
74'
Y. Goke ↔ Jean Patric
Vissel Kobe
🔄
74'
K. Nagato ↔ M. Hidaka
Vissel Kobe
🔄
75'
K. Anzai ↔ R. Koike
Kashima
🔄
83'
Y. Muto ↔ R. Komatsu
Vissel Kobe
🔄
83'
G. Sakai ↔ R. Hirose
Vissel Kobe
🔄
83'
Y. Suzuki ↔ H. Hayashu
Kashima
VAR
87'
Yosuke Ideguchi
Vissel Kobe
⚽
89'
R. Komatsu
Vissel Kobe
⚽
90'
Y. Osako · Assist: Jean Patric
Vissel Kobe

Vissel Kobe vs Kashima Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86.4%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
35.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
80.3%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Vissel Kobe Win 38.8%
Draw 13.6%
Kashima Win 47.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vissel Kobe1.14
Kashima1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe
WWDLW
27 GF / 21 GA
Kashima Kashima
WLDWL
33 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.65
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
0.6
9
BTTS Yes
8
9
Over 2.5
6
3.89
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 18 matches
Kashima Kashima 20 matches
Vissel Kobe Statistic Kashima
9 Wins 14
6 Draws 5
3 Losses 1
27 Goals For 33
21 Goals Against 12
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.65
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 0.6
9 BTTS Yes 8
14 Over 1.5 14
9 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 2
6 Clean Sheets 12
4 Failed To Score 0
3.89 Shots On Goal 4
13.5 Total Shots 12
5.06 Corners 4.94
55.1% Ball Possession 57.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This tie brings together two sides with a fairly similar football identity, with the knockout context adding extra pressure to every phase of the game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Kashima. Kashima look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Kashima carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 45 points while Vissel Kobe sit 1 on 35, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Vissel Kobe expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Kashima in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Kashima having the stronger overall control.

Vissel Kobe Analysis

Vissel Kobe enter this tie with a season profile built on 35 points from 18 matches, placing them 1 in their league. Their record of 11 wins, 0 draws, and 7 defeats with goals at 29:25 reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on R. Komatsu (4 goals), Y. Muto (4 goals), K. Nagato (3 goals), with creative support from D. Sasaki (3 assists), R. Komatsu (2 assists), Yosuke Ideguchi (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Kashima Analysis

Kashima enter this tie with a season profile built on 45 points from 18 matches, placing them 1 in their league. With 15 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses plus a goal ratio of 31:11, they bring very strong form and are on a winning streak into this tie. Going forward they rely on Leo Ceara (10 goals), Yuma Suzuki (6 goals), S. Morooka (3 goals), with creative support from Yuma Suzuki (5 assists), G. Shibasaki (3 assists), Leo Ceara (2 assists), while defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Vissel Kobe won 6 times, Kashima won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:15 from Vissel Kobe's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.4%)
Predicted formations: Vissel Kobe 3-4-2-1 / Kashima 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Vissel Kobe wins 6, draws 3, Kashima wins 6

Standings

West
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 11 0 7 29:25 4 35
?
2 18 11 0 7 30:21 9 31
?
3 18 10 0 8 33:31 2 31
?
4 18 10 0 8 31:23 8 30
?
5 18 10 0 8 31:25 6 28
?
6 18 8 0 10 26:29 -3 26
?
7 18 8 0 10 23:25 -2 24
?
8 18 8 0 10 22:28 -6 23
?
9 18 7 0 11 21:29 -8 21
?
10 18 7 0 11 21:31 -10 21
?
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)