Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
86.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
35.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
80.3%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Vissel Kobe
Kashima
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Vissel Kobe
18 matches
Kashima
20 matches
| Vissel Kobe | Statistic | Kashima |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 14 |
| 6 | Draws | 5 |
| 3 | Losses | 1 |
| 27 | Goals For | 33 |
| 21 | Goals Against | 12 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.65 |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.6 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 3.89 | Shots On Goal | 4 |
| 13.5 | Total Shots | 12 |
| 5.06 | Corners | 4.94 |
| 55.1% | Ball Possession | 57.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This tie brings together two sides with a fairly similar football identity, with the knockout context adding extra pressure to every phase of the game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Kashima. Kashima look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Kashima carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 45 points while Vissel Kobe sit 1 on 35, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Vissel Kobe expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Kashima in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Kashima having the stronger overall control.
Vissel Kobe enter this tie with a season profile built on 35 points from 18 matches, placing them 1 in their league. Their record of 11 wins, 0 draws, and 7 defeats with goals at 29:25 reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on R. Komatsu (4 goals), Y. Muto (4 goals), K. Nagato (3 goals), with creative support from D. Sasaki (3 assists), R. Komatsu (2 assists), Yosuke Ideguchi (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Kashima enter this tie with a season profile built on 45 points from 18 matches, placing them 1 in their league. With 15 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses plus a goal ratio of 31:11, they bring very strong form and are on a winning streak into this tie. Going forward they rely on Leo Ceara (10 goals), Yuma Suzuki (6 goals), S. Morooka (3 goals), with creative support from Yuma Suzuki (5 assists), G. Shibasaki (3 assists), Leo Ceara (2 assists), while defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Vissel Kobe won 6 times, Kashima won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:15 from Vissel Kobe's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.
Vissel Kobe
8
2
7
5
1
2
Lineups
Vissel Kobe
Kashima
Vissel Kobe
Avispa Fukuoka
Vissel Kobe
V-varen Nagasaki
Vissel Kobe
Kyoto Sanga
Vissel Kobe
Fagiano Okayama
Vissel Kobe
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Vissel Kobe
Gamba Osaka
Vissel Kobe
Cerezo Osaka
Vissel Kobe
Nagoya Grampus
Vissel Kobe
Fagiano Okayama
Vissel Kobe
Shimizu S-pulse
Vissel Kobe
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Vissel Kobe
Cerezo Osaka
Vissel Kobe
Gamba Osaka
Vissel Kobe
Nagoya Grampus
Vissel Kobe
Avispa Fukuoka
Vissel Kobe
Shimizu S-pulse
Vissel Kobe
V-varen Nagasaki
Vissel Kobe
Kyoto Sanga
Kashima
Vissel Kobe
Kashima
FC Tokyo
Kashima
JEF United Chiba
Kashima
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashima
Mito Hollyhock
Kashima
Machida Zelvia
Kashima
Tokyo Verdy
Kashima
Kashiwa Reysol
Kashima
Urawa
Kashima
Kawasaki Frontale
Kashima
Mito Hollyhock
Kashima
JEF United Chiba
Kashima
Machida Zelvia
Kashima
Kawasaki Frontale
Kashima
Tokyo Verdy
Kashima
Urawa
Kashima
Kashiwa Reysol
Kashima
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashima
FC Tokyo
Kashima
Avispa Fukuoka
Vissel Kobe
Kyoto Sanga
Vissel Kobe
Fagiano Okayama
Vissel Kobe
Cerezo Osaka
Vissel Kobe
Nagoya Grampus
Vissel Kobe
Shimizu S-pulse
Vissel Kobe
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Vissel Kobe
Gamba Osaka
Vissel Kobe
Avispa Fukuoka
Vissel Kobe
V-varen Nagasaki
Kashima
JEF United Chiba
Kashima
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashima
Tokyo Verdy
Kashima
Kashiwa Reysol
Kashima
Kawasaki Frontale
Kashima
Mito Hollyhock
Kashima
Machida Zelvia
Kashima
Urawa
Kashima
FC Tokyo
Kashima
Avispa Fukuoka
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Vissel Kobe
Home
|
18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 29:25 | 4 | 35 |
?
|
| 2 | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 30:21 | 9 | 31 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:31 | 2 | 31 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:23 | 8 | 30 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 28 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 23:25 | -2 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 22:28 | -6 | 23 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:29 | -8 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:31 | -10 | 21 |
?
|