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SPAIN › LA LIGA
26.04.2026 19:00
Estadio de la Ceramica
Referee: A. Quintero
Villarreal
Match Timeline
Celta Vigo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
2'
G. Moreno
Villarreal
🟨
14'
Marcos Alonso
Celta Vigo
🟨
18'
Alfonso Pedraza
Villarreal
🟨
29'
Ionuț Radu
Celta Vigo
⚽
29'
N. Pepe · Assist: A. Pedraza
Villarreal
🟨
42'
Nicolas Pépé
Villarreal
🟨
45+3'
Pablo Durán
Celta Vigo
🔄
46'
P. Duran ↔ F. Jutgla
Celta Vigo
🟨
70'
Pape Gueye
Villarreal
⚽
73'
B. Iglesias
Celta Vigo
🟨
74'
Borja Iglesias
Celta Vigo
🔄
76'
M. Alonso ↔ I. Aspas
Celta Vigo
🔄
76'
H. Alvarez ↔ A. Nunez
Celta Vigo
🔄
76'
H. Sotelo ↔ F. Lopez
Celta Vigo
🔄
78'
P. Gueye ↔ D. Parejo
Villarreal
🔄
78'
A. Pedraza ↔ S. Cardona
Villarreal
🔄
78'
N. Pepe ↔ A. Gonzalez
Villarreal
🔄
83'
B. Iglesias ↔ H. Gonzalez
Celta Vigo
🔄
85'
G. Mikautadze ↔ A. Perez
Villarreal
🟨
90+5'
Iago Aspas
Celta Vigo
🟨
90+4'
Ilaix Moriba
Celta Vigo
🔄
90+2'
A. Moleiro ↔ T. Partey
Villarreal

Villarreal vs Celta Vigo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 73.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 78.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.9%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
73.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
78.7%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Villarreal Win 64.9%
Draw 4.6%
Celta Vigo Win 30.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Villarreal1.47
Celta Vigo1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Villarreal Villarreal
WWDLW
69 GF / 57 GA
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
WLDWL
70 GF / 62 GA
Key Stats
1.6
Average Goals Scored
1.43
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
23
BTTS Yes
31
25
Over 2.5
25
4.72
Shots on Goal
4.12

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Villarreal Villarreal 43 matches
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 49 matches
Villarreal Statistic Celta Vigo
20 Wins 19
7 Draws 15
16 Losses 15
69 Goals For 70
57 Goals Against 62
1.6 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
23 BTTS Yes 31
37 Over 1.5 41
25 Over 2.5 25
15 Over 3.5 11
10 Clean Sheets 13
11 Failed To Score 8
4.72 Shots On Goal 4.12
13.4 Total Shots 10.76
4.21 Corners 3.92
44.9% Ball Possession 49.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Villarreal won 7 times, Celta Vigo won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:26 from Villarreal's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
Predicted formations: Villarreal 4-4-2 / Celta Vigo 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Villarreal 5, Celta Vigo 4
H2H summary: Villarreal wins 7, draws 3, Celta Vigo wins 5

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 31 1 6 95:36 59 94
L W L W W
2 38 27 5 6 77:35 42 86
W W W L W
3 38 22 6 10 72:46 26 72
W L L D W
4 38 21 6 11 62:44 18 69
L W W L W
5 38 15 15 8 59:48 11 60
W L W D W
6 38 14 12 12 53:48 5 54
W D L W W
7 38 15 6 17 32:38 -6 51
W L W D L
8 38 12 14 12 41:44 -3 50
W W D D W
9 38 13 10 15 46:55 -9 49
W W D W L
10 38 11 13 14 59:61 -2 46
D L D D L
11 38 12 10 16 43:55 -12 46
D W W L L
12 38 13 6 19 43:58 -15 45
L D L L W
13 38 12 7 19 46:60 -14 43
L L W W W
14 38 11 10 17 44:56 -12 43
L W W D L
15 38 10 13 15 49:57 -8 43
D W L D L
16 38 11 9 18 47:61 -14 42
L W W W L
17 38 11 9 18 44:50 -6 42
L L L L L
18 38 11 9 18 47:57 -10 42
W L L D W
19 38 9 14 15 39:55 -16 41
D L D D L
20 38 6 11 21 26:60 -34 29
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2