Login Register
16.08.2026 18:00
Genacio Salice Stadium
Villa San Carlos
Match Timeline
Defensores Unidos
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
8'
L. Olivera
Defensores Unidos
🟨
13'
F. Suarez
Defensores Unidos
⚽
30'
F. Mussis
Villa San Carlos
🟨
45+3'
T. Ferreyra
Defensores Unidos
🔄
46'
F. Mussis ↔ G. Areco
Villa San Carlos
🟨
50'
G. Areco
Villa San Carlos
🔄
63'
A. Sombra ↔ B. Carboni
Defensores Unidos
🟨
64'
J. Lopez
Defensores Unidos
🔄
71'
F. Farias ↔ S. Canete
Villa San Carlos
🔄
71'
A. Martinez ↔ F. Guallama
Villa San Carlos
🔄
76'
R. Salinas ↔ M. Almiron
Villa San Carlos
🟨
78'
A. Baigorria
Defensores Unidos
🟨
79'
A. Lloyaiy
Villa San Carlos
🔄
81'
A. Lugones ↔ A. Ponton
Villa San Carlos
🔄
81'
L. Montani ↔ D. Salvo
Defensores Unidos
🔄
81'
F. Suarez ↔ M. Lopez
Defensores Unidos
🟨
82'
E. Melillo
Villa San Carlos
🟨
90+3'
F. Ojeda
Villa San Carlos

Villa San Carlos vs Defensores Unidos Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 86.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
86.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Villa San Carlos Win 32.8%
Draw 54%
Defensores Unidos Win 13.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Villa San Carlos1.07
Defensores Unidos0.98
Recent Form (Last 5)
Villa San Carlos Villa San Carlos
WWDLW
28 GF / 35 GA
Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos
WLDWL
24 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
0.97
Average Goals Scored
0.83
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
1.21
13
BTTS Yes
15
9
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Villa San Carlos Villa San Carlos 29 matches
Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos 29 matches
Villa San Carlos Statistic Defensores Unidos
6 Wins 5
11 Draws 11
12 Losses 13
28 Goals For 24
35 Goals Against 35
0.97 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21
13 BTTS Yes 15
19 Over 1.5 20
9 Over 2.5 8
6 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 5
15 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Defensores Unidos arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Defensores Unidos having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Defensores Unidos.

Villa San Carlos Analysis

Villa San Carlos sit 19 with 26 points after 28 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 11 draws, and 12 defeats, and the 27:35 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Defensores Unidos Analysis

Defensores Unidos approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 26 points from 28 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 11 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 22:32, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Villa San Carlos won 5 times, Defensores Unidos won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:8 from Villa San Carlos's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (86.8%)
H2H summary: Villa San Carlos wins 5, draws 3, Defensores Unidos wins 2

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 22 8 8 59:30 29 74
L W W W W
2 38 19 12 7 50:25 25 69
L W L W W
3 38 19 10 9 40:23 17 67
L W D L W
4 38 18 11 9 45:28 17 65
W W D L W
5 38 17 13 8 38:23 15 64
L D W L L
6 38 17 12 9 43:29 14 63
L L L L W
7 38 17 10 11 42:38 4 61
W L W W L
8 38 17 9 12 42:38 4 60
W W W W D
9 38 14 13 11 39:34 5 55
D D W D W
10 38 13 12 13 46:50 -4 51
W L L D D
11 38 12 14 12 39:41 -2 50
W L W W D
12 38 11 14 13 40:42 -2 47
L W D L L
13 38 11 14 13 37:39 -2 47
W W D D D
14 38 11 11 16 33:39 -6 44
L L W L L
15 38 10 14 14 36:51 -15 44
D L W L D
16 38 9 16 13 30:37 -7 43
D D D W L
17 38 10 13 15 31:39 -8 43
W L L W D
18 38 9 14 15 33:39 -6 41
D W L W D
19 38 8 15 15 24:37 -13 39
D W D L D
20 38 10 9 19 34:48 -14 39
D L L W L
21 38 5 20 13 21:35 -14 35
W D L L W
22 38 1 12 25 25:62 -37 15
L L L D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)