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03.10.2026 18:00
Genacio Salice Stadium
Villa San Carlos
Match Timeline
Arsenal Sarandi
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
34'
I. Kestler ↔ L. Franco
Arsenal Sarandi
🟨
39'
S. Canete
Villa San Carlos
🔄
65'
A. Vega ↔ M. Lucero
Arsenal Sarandi
🟨
65'
N. Brienzo
Arsenal Sarandi
🔄
66'
N. Brienzo ↔ D. Cabral
Arsenal Sarandi
🔄
72'
F. Mussis ↔ F. Cairo
Villa San Carlos
🔄
75'
A. Lloyaiy ↔ L. Machin
Villa San Carlos
🔄
79'
N. Frascone ↔ E. Wrubel
Arsenal Sarandi
🔄
82'
A. Ponton ↔ A. Acosta
Villa San Carlos
🔄
82'
R. Salinas ↔ M. Plastino
Villa San Carlos
🟨
83'
A. Lugones
Villa San Carlos
🟨
87'
M. Del Col
Arsenal Sarandi
⚽
90'
L. Machin
Villa San Carlos

Villa San Carlos vs Arsenal Sarandi Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 55%
Odds 2.17
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds 1.38
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
55%
2.17 ▥
BTTS No
60.3%
1.53 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
1.38 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.00 ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
5.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Villa San Carlos Win 40.7%
Draw 4.4%
Arsenal Sarandi Win 55%
Expected Goals (xG)
Villa San Carlos0.84
Arsenal Sarandi1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Villa San Carlos Villa San Carlos
WWDLW
36 GF / 39 GA
Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi
WLDWL
50 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
0.97
Average Goals Scored
1.35
1.05
Average Goals Conceded
0.65
15
BTTS Yes
14
10
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Villa San Carlos Villa San Carlos 37 matches
Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi 37 matches
Villa San Carlos Statistic Arsenal Sarandi
10 Wins 19
14 Draws 12
13 Losses 6
36 Goals For 50
39 Goals Against 24
0.97 Avg Goals Scored 1.35
1.05 Avg Goals Conceded 0.65
15 BTTS Yes 14
22 Over 1.5 23
10 Over 2.5 13
7 Over 3.5 5
10 Clean Sheets 19
18 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Arsenal Sarandi's more proactive style and Villa San Carlos's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Arsenal Sarandi carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 66 points while Villa San Carlos sit 15 on 41, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Arsenal Sarandi. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Arsenal Sarandi having the stronger overall control. Arsenal Sarandi look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Villa San Carlos Analysis

With 41 points from 36 games and a place of 15, Villa San Carlos still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 9 wins, 14 draws, and 13 defeats with a 35:39 goal balance points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Arsenal Sarandi Analysis

Arsenal Sarandi come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 66 points after 36 matches. They have recorded 18 wins, 12 draws, and 6 losses, with a 48:24 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 7 wins, 8 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Villa San Carlos won 0 times, Arsenal Sarandi won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:2 from Villa San Carlos's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.6%)
H2H summary: Villa San Carlos wins 0, draws 1, Arsenal Sarandi wins 0

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 22 8 8 59:30 29 74
L W W W W
2 38 19 12 7 50:25 25 69
L W L W W
3 38 19 10 9 40:23 17 67
L W D L W
4 38 18 11 9 45:28 17 65
W W D L W
5 38 17 13 8 38:23 15 64
L D W L L
6 38 17 12 9 43:29 14 63
L L L L W
7 38 17 10 11 42:38 4 61
W L W W L
8 38 17 9 12 42:38 4 60
W W W W D
9 38 14 13 11 39:34 5 55
D D W D W
10 38 13 12 13 46:50 -4 51
W L L D D
11 38 12 14 12 39:41 -2 50
W L W W D
12 38 11 14 13 40:42 -2 47
L W D L L
13 38 11 14 13 37:39 -2 47
W W D D D
14 38 11 11 16 33:39 -6 44
L L W L L
15 38 10 14 14 36:51 -15 44
D L W L D
16 38 9 16 13 30:37 -7 43
D D D W L
17 38 10 13 15 31:39 -8 43
W L L W D
18 38 9 14 15 33:39 -6 41
D W L W D
19 38 8 15 15 24:37 -13 39
D W D L D
20 38 10 9 19 34:48 -14 39
D L L W L
21 38 5 20 13 21:35 -14 35
W D L L W
22 38 1 12 25 25:62 -37 15
L L L D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)