Vila Nova vs Cuiaba Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
71.7%
|
2.19 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.3%
|
2.10 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
2.53 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.22 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.60 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
10.00 |
Vila Nova
Cuiaba
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Vila Nova
31 matches
Cuiaba
31 matches
| Vila Nova | Statistic | Cuiaba |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wins | 11 |
| 6 | Draws | 13 |
| 8 | Losses | 7 |
| 44 | Goals For | 32 |
| 31 | Goals Against | 25 |
| 1.42 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.03 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.81 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 12 | Clean Sheets | 13 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 12 |
| 4.16 | Shots On Goal | 4.23 |
| 13.26 | Total Shots | 13.45 |
| 4.81 | Corners | 5.23 |
| 51.2% | Ball Possession | 48.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Cuiaba. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Vila Nova arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 54 points compared to Cuiaba in 10 on 43, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Vila Nova expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Cuiaba in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cuiaba having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Operating from 1 place with 54 points from 30 games, Vila Nova bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 16 wins, 6 draws, and 8 defeats, together with goals at 43:31, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through André Luís (6 goals), João Vieira (3 goals), Ryan Lima (3 goals), with creative support from Marquinhos Gabriel (7 assists), Janderson (6 assists), João Vieira (4 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, they have managed 12 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Cuiaba are currently 10 in the standings with 43 points from 30 matches. The record of 10 wins, 13 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 30:25 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Kauan (4 goals), João Basso (2 goals), Fábio Gomes (2 goals), with creative support from Pepê (3 assists), Eliel (3 assists), Kauan (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Vila Nova won 4 times, Cuiaba won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:14 from Vila Nova's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.15 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Vila Nova
Home
|
31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 44:31 | 13 | 57 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
| 2 | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 35:19 | 16 | 56 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 52:27 | 25 | 54 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 53 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 31 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 36:27 | 9 | 53 |
D
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 39:27 | 12 | 52 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 46:44 | 2 | 48 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 43:41 | 2 | 48 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 42:33 | 9 | 47 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 |
Cuiaba
Away
|
31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 32:25 | 7 | 46 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
| 11 | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 43:32 | 11 | 45 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 30:39 | -9 | 42 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 39:38 | 1 | 42 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 37:35 | 2 | 42 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 34:39 | -5 | 39 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 34:37 | -3 | 35 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 30:42 | -12 | 30 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 39:45 | -6 | 28 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 | 31 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 21:52 | -31 | 17 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 20 | 31 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 17:66 | -49 | 13 |
L
L
W
L
L
|