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ICELAND › ÚRVALSDEILD
14.09.2026 19:15
Referee: P. Gudmundsson
Vikingur Reykjavik
Match Timeline
Keflavik
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
21'
D. Hafsteinsson · Assist: S. Hauksson
Vikingur Reykjavik
⚽
29'
R. Thorkelsson · Assist: H. Gudjonsson
Vikingur Reykjavik
⚽
31'
S. Thordarson · Assist: V. Ingimundarson
Vikingur Reykjavik
⚽
47'
S. Thordarson · Assist: V. Ingimundarson
Vikingur Reykjavik
⚽
58'
M. Al Ghoul
Keflavik
🔄
62'
S. Hauksson ↔ S. Gudjohnsen
Vikingur Reykjavik
🔄
62'
A. Finnbogason ↔ H. Magnusson
Vikingur Reykjavik
🔄
62'
A. Thrandarson ↔ V. Andrason
Vikingur Reykjavik
🔄
70'
E. Bwomono ↔ A. Johannesson
Keflavik
🔄
70'
S. Ljubicic ↔ M. Mudrazija
Keflavik
🔄
70'
M. Simicic ↔ E. Bjarnason
Keflavik
🔄
80'
A. Magnusson ↔ E. Karlsson
Keflavik
🔄
83'
K. Gunnarsson ↔ D. Atlason
Vikingur Reykjavik
🔄
83'
O. Ekroth ↔ S. Stefansson
Vikingur Reykjavik
🔄
83'
D. Valsson ↔ V. A. Traustason
Keflavik

Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76.3%
Odds 1.21
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.22
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76.3%
1.21 ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.62 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.22 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
85%
1.66 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.62 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Vikingur Reykjavik Win 76.3%
Draw 5.4%
Keflavik Win 18.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vikingur Reykjavik2.23
Keflavik1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vikingur Reykjavik Vikingur Reykjavik
WWDLW
77 GF / 37 GA
Keflavik Keflavik
WLDWL
33 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
2.57
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.23
Average Goals Conceded
1.73
19
BTTS Yes
16
22
Over 2.5
14
0.82
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vikingur Reykjavik Vikingur Reykjavik 30 matches
Keflavik Keflavik 22 matches
Vikingur Reykjavik Statistic Keflavik
19 Wins 8
6 Draws 4
5 Losses 10
77 Goals For 33
37 Goals Against 38
2.57 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.23 Avg Goals Conceded 1.73
19 BTTS Yes 16
29 Over 1.5 18
22 Over 2.5 14
19 Over 3.5 8
9 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 2
0.82 Shots On Goal 0
0.91 Total Shots 0
2.18 Corners 0
21.1% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Vikingur Reykjavik's more proactive style and Keflavik's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Keflavik having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Keflavik. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Keflavik arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Vikingur Reykjavik arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 53 points compared to Keflavik in 6 on 28, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Vikingur Reykjavik Analysis

Placed 1 with 53 points from 22 outings, Vikingur Reykjavik continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 16 wins, 5 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 67:21 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Keflavik Analysis

Keflavik approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 28 points from 22 matches. Their record of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 33:38, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Vikingur Reykjavik won 4 times, Keflavik won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:6 from Vikingur Reykjavik's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 4.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.6%)
Predicted formations: Vikingur Reykjavik 4-3-3 / Keflavik -
H2H summary: Vikingur Reykjavik wins 4, draws 1, Keflavik wins 0

Standings

Úrvalsdeild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 5 1 67:21 46 53
W W D D W
2 22 13 6 3 56:42 14 45
D L D D W
3 22 13 5 4 74:49 25 44
L W L D W
4 22 8 6 8 43:41 2 30
L W L L L
5 22 8 6 8 39:41 -2 30
W L W D D
6 22 8 4 10 33:38 -5 28
D L L L W
7 22 8 4 10 42:50 -8 28
L W D W W
8 22 8 3 11 39:45 -6 27
D W W D L
9 22 4 9 9 27:39 -12 21
W W L W D
10 22 6 3 13 22:50 -28 21
L L W W L
11 22 5 5 12 35:48 -13 20
W L W D L
12 22 4 6 12 32:45 -13 18
D L D L L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs