NORWAY ELITESERIEN
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Lyse Arena

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71%
-
BTTS Yes
88%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Viking Win 71%
Draw 3%
Aalesund Win 26%
Expected Goals (xG)
Viking2.29
Aalesund1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
Viking Viking
WWDLW
64 GF / 26 GA
Aalesund Aalesund
WLDWL
44 GF / 54 GA
Key Stats
2.37
Average Goals Scored
1.76
0.96
Average Goals Conceded
2.16
17
BTTS Yes
19
19
Over 2.5
16
5.41
Shots on Goal
4.76

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Viking Viking 27 matches
Aalesund Aalesund 25 matches
Viking Statistic Aalesund
19 Wins 6
5 Draws 9
3 Losses 10
64 Goals For 44
26 Goals Against 54
2.37 Avg Goals Scored 1.76
0.96 Avg Goals Conceded 2.16
17 BTTS Yes 19
25 Over 1.5 23
19 Over 2.5 16
9 Over 3.5 13
9 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 3
5.41 Shots On Goal 4.76
13.82 Total Shots 15.24
6.53 Corners 5.06
50.6% Ball Possession 43.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Viking's more proactive style and Aalesund's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Aalesund. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Viking expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Aalesund in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Aalesund having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Viking arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 40 points compared to Aalesund in 15 on 15, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Viking Analysis

Viking approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 40 points after 17 outings. The return of 13 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 40:17, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Peter Christiansen (8 goals), Zlatko Tripić (6 goals), Simen Kvia-Egeskog (5 goals), with creative support from Zlatko Tripić (11 assists), Peter Christiansen (3 assists), Henrik Heggheim (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 7 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Aalesund Analysis

Aalesund sit 15 with 15 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 2 wins, 9 draws, and 6 defeats with a 27:41 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Mathias Christensen (6 goals), Endre Hjertager Osenbroch (5 goals), Kristian Lonebu (3 goals), with creative support from Endre Hjertager Osenbroch (3 assists), Uba Charles (3 assists), Mathias Christensen (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Viking won 6 times, Aalesund won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:20 from Viking's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (97%)
Predicted formations: Viking 4-3-3 / Aalesund 5-3-2
H2H summary: Viking wins 6, draws 4, Aalesund wins 5
Last matches: Viking
18.08.26
UEF
Viking
Dinamo Zagreb
2
2
D
14.08.26
Eli
Viking
Rosenborg
1
2
L
08.08.26
Eli
Viking
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
1
W
01.08.26
Eli
Viking
Start
3
0
W
26.07.26
Eli
Viking
Aalesund
1
1
D
22.07.26
Eli
Viking
Lillestrom
2
1
W
18.07.26
Eli
Viking
Sandefjord
2
1
W
12.07.26
Eli
Viking
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
1
L
03.07.26
Fri
Viking
Sonderjyske
1
1
D
24.05.26
Eli
Viking
Kristiansund BK
2
1
W
16.05.26
Eli
Viking
Start
6
3
W
10.05.26
Eli
Viking
KFUM Oslo
2
0
W
01.05.26
Eli
Viking
Rosenborg
3
0
W
25.04.26
Eli
Viking
Fredrikstad
2
1
W
18.04.26
Eli
Viking
Brann
3
2
W
11.04.26
Eli
Viking
Bodo/Glimt
5
0
W
06.04.26
Eli
Viking
Valerenga
1
0
W
25.03.26
Fri
Viking
Haugesund
3
0
W
21.03.26
Eli
Viking
Molde
4
1
W
14.03.26
Eli
Viking
Ham-Kam
1
2
L
Last matches: Aalesund
16.08.26
Eli
Aalesund
Valerenga
5
5
D
09.08.26
Eli
Aalesund
Ham-Kam
1
1
D
02.08.26
Eli
Aalesund
Tromso
2
6
L
26.07.26
Eli
Aalesund
Viking
1
1
D
16.07.26
Eli
Aalesund
Valerenga
1
6
L
11.07.26
Eli
Aalesund
Molde
2
2
D
27.06.26
Fri
Aalesund
Kristiansund BK
3
0
W
29.05.26
Eli
Aalesund
Ham-Kam
2
2
D
25.05.26
Eli
Aalesund
Tromso
1
1
D
20.05.26
Eli
Aalesund
Brann
2
1
W
16.05.26
Eli
Aalesund
Rosenborg
3
2
W
03.05.26
Eli
Aalesund
Sandefjord
0
1
L
26.04.26
Eli
Aalesund
Kristiansund BK
1
1
D
18.04.26
Eli
Aalesund
Bodo/Glimt
0
3
L
12.04.26
Eli
Aalesund
KFUM Oslo
2
2
D
07.04.26
Eli
Aalesund
Fredrikstad
2
3
L
21.03.26
Eli
Aalesund
Start
1
1
D
15.03.26
Eli
Aalesund
Lillestrom
1
3
L
28.02.26
Fri
Aalesund
Brattvåg
6
1
W
27.02.26
Fri
Aalesund
Molde
1
4
L
H2H: Viking vs Aalesund
26.07.26
H2H
Aalesund
Viking
1
1
D
18.03.26
H2H
Viking
Aalesund
1
2
L
25.06.25
H2H
Aalesund
Viking
0
1
W
26.11.23
H2H
Aalesund
Viking
0
4
W
24.07.23
H2H
Viking
Aalesund
3
1
W
02.10.22
H2H
Aalesund
Viking
2
1
L
10.04.22
H2H
Viking
Aalesund
1
0
W
20.09.20
H2H
Viking
Aalesund
5
2
W
09.08.20
H2H
Aalesund
Viking
2
2
D
26.09.19
H2H
Aalesund
Viking
1
1
D
23.10.18
H2H
Aalesund
Viking
1
3
W
22.05.18
H2H
Viking
Aalesund
0
2
L
13.08.17
H2H
Aalesund
Viking
1
1
D
16.05.17
H2H
Viking
Aalesund
1
2
L
21.10.16
H2H
Viking
Aalesund
2
3
L
Last matches: Viking
08.08.26
Eli
Viking
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
1
W
18.07.26
Eli
Viking
Sandefjord
2
1
W
16.05.26
Eli
Viking
Start
6
3
W
01.05.26
Eli
Viking
Rosenborg
3
0
W
18.04.26
Eli
Viking
Brann
3
2
W
11.04.26
Eli
Viking
Bodo/Glimt
5
0
W
25.03.26
Fri
Viking
Haugesund
3
0
W
21.03.26
Eli
Viking
Molde
4
1
W
01.03.26
Fri
Viking
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
0
W
13.02.26
Fri
Viking
AIK Stockholm
4
1
W
06.02.26
Fri
Viking
Start
4
0
W
07.08.25
UEF
Viking
Başakşehir
1
3
L
24.07.25
UEF
Viking
Koper
7
0
W
H2H at home: Viking
18.03.26
H2H
Viking
Aalesund
1
2
L
24.07.23
H2H
Viking
Aalesund
3
1
W
10.04.22
H2H
Viking
Aalesund
1
0
W
20.09.20
H2H
Viking
Aalesund
5
2
W
22.05.18
H2H
Viking
Aalesund
0
2
L
16.05.17
H2H
Viking
Aalesund
1
2
L
21.10.16
H2H
Viking
Aalesund
2
3
L
Last matches: Aalesund
09.08.26
Eli
Aalesund
Ham-Kam
1
1
D
16.07.26
Eli
Aalesund
Valerenga
1
6
L
27.06.26
Fri
Aalesund
Kristiansund BK
3
0
W
25.05.26
Eli
Aalesund
Tromso
1
1
D
16.05.26
Eli
Aalesund
Rosenborg
3
2
W
03.05.26
Eli
Aalesund
Sandefjord
0
1
L
18.04.26
Eli
Aalesund
Bodo/Glimt
0
3
L
21.03.26
Eli
Aalesund
Start
1
1
D
27.02.26
Fri
Aalesund
Molde
1
4
L
15.02.26
Fri
Aalesund
Sirius
2
3
L
H2H away: Aalesund
18.03.26
H2H
Viking
Aalesund
1
2
W
24.07.23
H2H
Viking
Aalesund
3
1
L
10.04.22
H2H
Viking
Aalesund
1
0
L
20.09.20
H2H
Viking
Aalesund
5
2
L
22.05.18
H2H
Viking
Aalesund
0
2
W
16.05.17
H2H
Viking
Aalesund
1
2
W
21.10.16
H2H
Viking
Aalesund
2
3
W