GERMANY 3. LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Bremer Brücke
Referee: D. Bartnitzki
VfL Osnabrück
Match Timeline
SSV Ulm 1846
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
26'
D. Chessa · Assist: E. Loder
SSV Ulm 1846
🟨
31'
Dennis Chessa
SSV Ulm 1846
43'
L. Kehl
VfL Osnabrück
🔄
46'
M. Pepic ↔ M. Brandt
SSV Ulm 1846
🔄
46'
N. Vukancic ↔ L. Mazagg
SSV Ulm 1846
🔄
52'
R. Tesche ↔ B. Jacobsen
VfL Osnabrück
🔄
53'
B. Ajdini ↔ L. Ihorst
VfL Osnabrück
🔄
66'
K. Proger ↔ I. Badjie
VfL Osnabrück
🔄
67'
L. Kehl ↔ D. Kopacz
VfL Osnabrück
🔄
76'
A. El-Zein ↔ E. Aksakal
SSV Ulm 1846
🔄
76'
L. Roser ↔ E. Anderson Brown
SSV Ulm 1846
🔄
83'
F. Christensen ↔ K. Schumacher
VfL Osnabrück
🔄
87'
E. Loder ↔ M. Seegert
SSV Ulm 1846

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 83%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
83%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
73.9%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
VfL Osnabrück Win 83%
Draw 0%
SSV Ulm 1846 Win 17%
Expected Goals (xG)
VfL Osnabrück1.84
SSV Ulm 18461.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück
WWDLW
61 GF / 30 GA
SSV Ulm 1846 SSV Ulm 1846
WLDWL
46 GF / 74 GA
Key Stats
1.69
Average Goals Scored
1.28
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
2.06
14
BTTS Yes
26
16
Over 2.5
24
4.6
Shots on Goal
3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück 36 matches
SSV Ulm 1846 SSV Ulm 1846 36 matches
VfL Osnabrück Statistic SSV Ulm 1846
23 Wins 9
7 Draws 5
6 Losses 22
61 Goals For 46
30 Goals Against 74
1.69 Avg Goals Scored 1.28
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 2.06
14 BTTS Yes 26
24 Over 1.5 30
16 Over 2.5 24
11 Over 3.5 16
19 Clean Sheets 5
7 Failed To Score 5
4.6 Shots On Goal 3.5
11.8 Total Shots 10.47
5.13 Corners 4.93
42.5% Ball Possession 43%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by VfL Osnabrück's more proactive style and SSV Ulm 1846's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. VfL Osnabrück arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 76 points compared to SSV Ulm 1846 in 18 on 32, which underlines the gap in season consistency. VfL Osnabrück come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward SSV Ulm 1846.

VfL Osnabrück Analysis

VfL Osnabrück approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 76 points after 36 outings. They have recorded 23 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, with a 61:30 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on R. Meissner (13 goals), I. Badjie (8 goals), D. Kopacz (7 goals), with creative support from Lars Kehl (11 assists), R. Meissner (8 assists), F. Christensen (4 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 11 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

SSV Ulm 1846 Analysis

SSV Ulm 1846 sit 18 with 32 points after 36 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 22 losses, together with goals at 46:74, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through E. Loder (10 goals), Dennis Chessa (6 goals), Leon Dajaku (5 goals), with creative support from Leon Dajaku (7 assists), N. Kolle (4 assists), Dennis Chessa (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, VfL Osnabrück won 1 times, SSV Ulm 1846 won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:4 from VfL Osnabrück's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: VfL Osnabrück 3-4-2-1 / SSV Ulm 1846 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: VfL Osnabrück wins 1, draws 1, SSV Ulm 1846 wins 0
Stats
VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück
SSV Ulm 1846 SSV Ulm 1846
Shots on Goal
0
Shots on Goal
0
Shots off Goal
0
Shots off Goal
0
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
0
0 Corner Kicks 0
0 Fouls 0
0 Offsides 0
0 Ball Possession 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Goal 0
0 Shots off Goal 0
0 Blocked Shots 0
0 Shots insidebox 0
0 Shots outsidebox 0
0 Goalkeeper Saves 0
0 Total passes 0
0 Passes accurate 0
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

VfL Osnabrück
Formation
SSV Ulm 1846
L. Jonsson
L. Jonsson
Y. Karademir
Y. Karademir
J. Muller
J. Muller
N. Wiemann
N. Wiemann
B. Ajdini
B. Ajdini
K. Wiethaup
K. Wiethaup
R. Tesche
R. Tesche
F. Christensen
F. Christensen
L. Kehl
L. Kehl
K. Proger
K. Proger
R. Meissner
R. Meissner
C. Ortag
C. Ortag
L. Bazzoli
L. Bazzoli
D. Dressel
D. Dressel
N. Vukancic
N. Vukancic
N. Kolle
N. Kolle
M. Pepic
M. Pepic
D. Chessa
D. Chessa
A. El-Zein
A. El-Zein
B. Westermeier
B. Westermeier
E. Loder
🎯
E. Loder
L. Roser
L. Roser
VfL Osnabrück 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
21
L. Jonsson
G
4
Y. Karademir
D
24
J. Muller
D
25
N. Wiemann
D
7
B. Ajdini
↓ 53'
D
19
K. Wiethaup
M
8
R. Tesche
↓ 52'
M
3
F. Christensen
↓ 83'
M
18
L. Kehl
⚽ 43' ↓ 67'
M
10
K. Proger
↓ 66'
M
11
R. Meissner
F
Substitutes
1
N. Sauter
G
6
B. Henning
M
9
J. Kania
F
13
K. Schumacher
↑ 83'
M
14
L. Ihorst
↑ 53'
F
15
B. Jacobsen
↑ 52'
M
20
T. Janotta
D
29
D. Kopacz
↑ 67'
M
37
I. Badjie
↑ 66'
M
SSV Ulm 1846 3-5-2
Starting XI
39
C. Ortag
G
18
L. Bazzoli
D
14
D. Dressel
M
3
N. Vukancic
↓ 46'
D
32
N. Kolle
D
20
M. Pepic
↓ 46'
M
11
D. Chessa
⚽ 26' 🟨 31'
M
26
A. El-Zein
↓ 76'
M
8
B. Westermeier
M
25
E. Loder
🎯 26' ↓ 87'
M
9
L. Roser
↓ 76'
F
Substitutes
12
M. Seybold
G
2
L. Gorlich
D
7
E. Aksakal
↑ 76'
F
21
M. Seegert
↑ 87'
D
23
M. Brandt
↑ 46'
M
27
L. Mazagg
↑ 46'
D
30
F. Vater
D
31
B. Ehe
M
33
E. Anderson Brown
↑ 76'
F
Last matches: VfL Osnabrück
16.05.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
Stuttgart II
4
3
W
03.05.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
SV Wehen
3
2
W
25.04.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
Verl
2
1
W
18.04.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
FC Ingolstadt 04
1
0
W
12.04.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
Energie Cottbus
1
0
W
07.04.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
MSV Duisburg
0
1
L
04.04.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
FC Schweinfurt 05
4
0
W
26.03.26
Fri
VfL Osnabrück
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2
2
D
25.03.26
Fri
VfL Osnabrück
Hannover 96
0
2
L
22.03.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
Hoffenheim II
1
0
W
14.03.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
Waldhof Mannheim
4
1
W
07.03.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
SSV Jahn Regensburg
2
0
W
03.03.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
FC Viktoria Köln
2
0
W
28.02.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
Erzgebirge Aue
3
1
W
21.02.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
Rot-Weiß Essen
3
0
W
14.02.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
Hansa Rostock
2
2
D
07.02.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
Havelse
2
0
W
31.01.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
FC Saarbrücken
1
0
W
25.01.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
TSV 1860 München
1
1
D
17.01.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
Alemannia Aachen
3
0
W
Last matches: SSV Ulm 1846
16.05.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
Rot-Weiß Essen
2
3
L
02.05.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
FC Viktoria Köln
0
2
L
25.04.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
TSV 1860 München
2
3
L
18.04.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
Havelse
2
1
W
11.04.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
Hansa Rostock
1
5
L
08.04.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
Stuttgart II
1
1
D
05.04.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
Verl
1
0
W
25.03.26
Fri
SSV Ulm 1846
FC Ingolstadt 04
2
1
W
21.03.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
Energie Cottbus
1
1
D
15.03.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
FC Ingolstadt 04
1
3
L
07.03.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
FC Schweinfurt 05
2
3
L
03.03.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
Hoffenheim II
1
3
L
28.02.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
SSV Jahn Regensburg
1
1
D
21.02.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
FC Saarbrücken
1
1
D
15.02.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
Alemannia Aachen
1
3
L
06.02.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
Waldhof Mannheim
1
2
L
01.02.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
MSV Duisburg
1
0
W
24.01.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
Erzgebirge Aue
3
0
W
17.01.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
SV Wehen
0
1
L
09.01.26
Fri
SSV Ulm 1846
1. FC Magdeburg
2
4
L
H2H: VfL Osnabrück vs SSV Ulm 1846
09.05.26
H2H
VfL Osnabrück
SSV Ulm 1846
1
1
D
12.12.25
H2H
SSV Ulm 1846
VfL Osnabrück
3
5
W
Last matches: VfL Osnabrück
25.04.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
Verl
2
1
W
12.04.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
Energie Cottbus
1
0
W
04.04.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
FC Schweinfurt 05
4
0
W
26.03.26
Fri
VfL Osnabrück
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2
2
D
14.03.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
Waldhof Mannheim
4
1
W
03.03.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
FC Viktoria Köln
2
0
W
21.02.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
Rot-Weiß Essen
3
0
W
07.02.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
Havelse
2
0
W
25.01.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
TSV 1860 München
1
1
D
10.01.26
Fri
VfL Osnabrück
FC Schalke 04
0
2
L
09.01.26
Fri
VfL Osnabrück
Rot-weiss Oberhausen
5
2
W
20.12.25
3.
VfL Osnabrück
Stuttgart II
1
2
L
06.12.25
3.
VfL Osnabrück
SV Wehen
0
1
L
22.11.25
3.
VfL Osnabrück
FC Ingolstadt 04
1
0
W
01.11.25
3.
VfL Osnabrück
MSV Duisburg
0
0
D
18.10.25
3.
VfL Osnabrück
Hoffenheim II
0
4
L
01.10.25
3.
VfL Osnabrück
SSV Jahn Regensburg
2
0
W
20.09.25
3.
VfL Osnabrück
Erzgebirge Aue
3
1
W
14.09.25
3.
VfL Osnabrück
Hansa Rostock
0
0
D
23.08.25
3.
VfL Osnabrück
FC Saarbrücken
2
0
W
H2H at home: VfL Osnabrück
09.05.26
H2H
VfL Osnabrück
SSV Ulm 1846
1
1
D
Last matches: SSV Ulm 1846
25.04.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
TSV 1860 München
2
3
L
11.04.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
Hansa Rostock
1
5
L
08.04.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
Stuttgart II
1
1
D
25.03.26
Fri
SSV Ulm 1846
FC Ingolstadt 04
2
1
W
21.03.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
Energie Cottbus
1
1
D
07.03.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
FC Schweinfurt 05
2
3
L
28.02.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
SSV Jahn Regensburg
1
1
D
06.02.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
Waldhof Mannheim
1
2
L
24.01.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
Erzgebirge Aue
3
0
W
09.01.26
Fri
SSV Ulm 1846
1. FC Magdeburg
2
4
L
20.12.25
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
Rot-Weiß Essen
2
3
L
06.12.25
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
FC Viktoria Köln
1
0
W
22.11.25
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
Havelse
1
2
L
25.10.25
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
Verl
0
5
L
04.10.25
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
FC Ingolstadt 04
1
4
L
28.09.25
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
Hoffenheim II
1
1
D
16.09.25
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
FC Saarbrücken
1
3
L
13.09.25
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
Alemannia Aachen
3
1
W
23.08.25
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
MSV Duisburg
1
2
L
03.08.25
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
SV Wehen
1
3
L
H2H away: SSV Ulm 1846
09.05.26
H2H
VfL Osnabrück
SSV Ulm 1846
1
1
D

Standings

3. Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 24 8 6 66:34 32 80
W D W W W
2 38 21 9 8 72:51 21 72
W W L W W
3 38 20 10 8 78:66 12 70
W W L L L
4 38 19 11 8 66:49 17 68
D D W L W
5 38 18 13 7 74:49 25 67
W W D L D
6 38 18 10 10 82:48 34 64
W L W L W
7 38 19 7 12 76:57 19 64
W W D W W
8 38 15 11 12 54:53 1 56
L L D W D
9 38 15 8 15 54:52 2 53
W L L D D
10 38 15 7 16 59:72 -13 52
L W L D D
11 38 15 6 17 51:53 -2 51
D L W L L
12 38 13 10 15 65:56 9 49
W W L W L
13 38 14 7 17 54:58 -4 49
L L W W L
14 38 13 7 18 57:69 -12 46
L L W L D
15 38 10 14 14 51:57 -6 44
L L W W D
16 38 12 7 19 65:71 -6 43
L W L L L
17 38 9 8 21 57:89 -32 35
L W L W L
18 38 7 13 18 51:70 -19 34
W D W D D
19 38 9 6 23 49:78 -29 33
L D L L W
20 38 5 6 27 38:87 -49 21
L L D D D
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Promotion)
Relegation