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GERMANY › 2. BUNDESLIGA
26.04.2026 11:30
Vonovia Ruhrstadion
Referee: F. Willenborg
VfL Bochum
Match Timeline
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
1'
P. Hofmann · Assist: M. Wittek
VfL Bochum
⚽
56'
P. Hofmann · Assist: M. Wittek
VfL Bochum
🔄
57'
M. Dietz ↔ J. Green
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
🔄
57'
A. Keller ↔ S. Ltaief
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
🔄
58'
G. Holtmann ↔ F. Alfa-Ruprecht
VfL Bochum
🔄
65'
C. Lenz ↔ M. Pannewig
VfL Bochum
🔄
71'
J. Dehm ↔ L. Reich
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
🔄
71'
R. Munz ↔ F. Higl
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
🔄
76'
K. Miyoshi ↔ L. Morgalla
VfL Bochum
🔄
77'
F. Onyeka ↔ C. Marshall
VfL Bochum
🔄
82'
P. Will ↔ D. Arifi
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
⚽
88'
N. Futkeu · Assist: B. Hrgota
SpVgg Greuther Fürth

VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 65.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
65.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
VfL Bochum Win 82%
Draw 0%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth Win 18%
Expected Goals (xG)
VfL Bochum1.7
SpVgg Greuther Fürth1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
VfL Bochum VfL Bochum
WWDLW
43 GF / 43 GA
SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth
WLDWL
43 GF / 63 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
1.43
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
2.1
19
BTTS Yes
18
15
Over 2.5
20
4.77
Shots on Goal
3.97

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 30 matches
SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 30 matches
VfL Bochum Statistic SpVgg Greuther Fürth
9 Wins 9
9 Draws 6
12 Losses 15
43 Goals For 43
43 Goals Against 63
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
1.43 Avg Goals Conceded 2.1
19 BTTS Yes 18
25 Over 1.5 25
15 Over 2.5 20
9 Over 3.5 13
8 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 10
4.77 Shots On Goal 3.97
14.27 Total Shots 11.23
5.2 Corners 4.17
46.4% Ball Possession 46.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights VfL Bochum's more proactive style and SpVgg Greuther Fürth's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward SpVgg Greuther Fürth. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. VfL Bochum have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

VfL Bochum Analysis

With 36 points from 30 games and a place of 11, VfL Bochum still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 9 wins, 9 draws, and 12 defeats with a 43:41 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Philipp Hofmann (10 goals), F. Onyeka (8 goals), G. Holtmann (5 goals), with creative support from Philipp Hofmann (6 assists), Maximilian Wittek (5 assists), Koji Miyoshi (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth Analysis

SpVgg Greuther Fürth approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 33 points from 30 matches. The overall return of 9 wins, 6 draws, and 15 defeats with a 40:61 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on N. Futkeu (15 goals), F. Klaus (7 goals), B. Hrgota (4 goals), with creative support from B. Hrgota (8 assists), N. Futkeu (6 assists), F. Klaus (6 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, VfL Bochum won 8 times, SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:19 from VfL Bochum's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: VfL Bochum 4-2-3-1 / SpVgg Greuther Fürth 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: VfL Bochum wins 8, draws 4, SpVgg Greuther Fürth wins 3

Standings

2. Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 21 7 6 50:31 19 70
W L W W W
2 34 18 8 8 64:39 25 62
W L W D W
3 34 18 8 8 59:45 14 62
W D L L D
4 34 16 12 6 60:44 16 60
D D D W D
5 34 13 13 8 57:45 12 52
L D L D L
6 34 16 4 14 52:47 5 52
W W L L L
7 34 14 9 11 47:44 3 51
L W L L D
8 34 12 10 12 47:45 2 46
D W D W D
9 34 11 11 12 49:47 2 44
W D D W L
10 34 12 8 14 53:64 -11 44
L D W L L
11 34 11 8 15 54:53 1 41
W L W L W
12 34 11 8 15 44:48 -4 41
L L W W W
13 34 10 9 15 53:51 2 39
W L D W D
14 34 12 3 19 52:58 -6 39
L W W L W
15 34 10 7 17 36:54 -18 37
L W L W D
16 34 10 7 17 49:68 -19 37
W L D L W
17 34 11 4 19 33:53 -20 37
L W L W L
18 34 6 12 16 38:61 -23 30
L D D L L
Promotion - Bundesliga
Promotion - Bundesliga (Promotion)
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga