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GERMANY › BUNDESLIGA
26.04.2026 13:30
MHPArena
Referee: Christian Dingert, Germany
VfB Stuttgart
Match Timeline
Werder Bremen
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
18'
J. Stage · Assist: Y. Sugawara
Werder Bremen
🔄
46'
D. Zagadou ↔ R. Hendriks
VfB Stuttgart
🔄
57'
T. Tomas ↔ E. Demirovic
VfB Stuttgart
🔄
57'
L. Assignon ↔ C. Fuhrich
VfB Stuttgart
⚽
61'
E. Demirovic · Assist: B. El Khannouss
VfB Stuttgart
🔄
65'
N. Stark ↔ M. Wober
Werder Bremen
🔄
65'
J. Milosevic ↔ J. Njinmah
Werder Bremen
🟨
78'
Mio Backhaus
Werder Bremen
🔄
78'
J. Leweling ↔ B. Bouanani
VfB Stuttgart
🔄
83'
J. Stage ↔ S. Mbangula
Werder Bremen
🔄
89'
C. Andres ↔ N. Nartey
VfB Stuttgart
🔄
90+4'
R. Schmid ↔ S. Musah
Werder Bremen

VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 84%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67.1%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
77.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
84%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
VfB Stuttgart Win 67.1%
Draw 4.6%
Werder Bremen Win 28.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
VfB Stuttgart1.87
Werder Bremen1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
WWDLW
83 GF / 59 GA
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
WLDWL
35 GF / 53 GA
Key Stats
1.93
Average Goals Scored
1.17
1.37
Average Goals Conceded
1.77
23
BTTS Yes
14
29
Over 2.5
17
6.16
Shots on Goal
4.27

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 43 matches
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 30 matches
VfB Stuttgart Statistic Werder Bremen
23 Wins 8
5 Draws 7
15 Losses 15
83 Goals For 35
59 Goals Against 53
1.93 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.37 Avg Goals Conceded 1.77
23 BTTS Yes 14
36 Over 1.5 24
29 Over 2.5 17
19 Over 3.5 11
13 Clean Sheets 6
8 Failed To Score 11
6.16 Shots On Goal 4.27
16.02 Total Shots 13.3
5.58 Corners 4.57
58.4% Ball Possession 52%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around VfB Stuttgart's more proactive style and Werder Bremen's more cautious structure. Werder Bremen seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. VfB Stuttgart arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 56 points compared to Werder Bremen in 15 on 31, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Werder Bremen arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Werder Bremen. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

VfB Stuttgart Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 56 points from 30 games, VfB Stuttgart bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 17 wins, 5 draws, and 8 defeats plus a goal balance of 60:38, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Deniz Undav (18 goals), Ermedin Demirović (9 goals), Jamie Leweling (7 goals), with creative support from Jamie Leweling (8 assists), C. Fuhrich (6 assists), Deniz Undav (5 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their record of 11 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with L. Jovanovic, F. Jeltsch unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Werder Bremen Analysis

With 31 points from 30 games and a place of 15, Werder Bremen still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 32:52, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. Stage (9 goals), J. Njinmah (5 goals), J. Milosevic (3 goals), with creative support from R. Schmid (8 assists), Y. Sugawara (5 assists), J. Stage (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with W. Adeh, V. Boniface, K. Hein, L. Bittencourt, M. Grull unavailable.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, VfB Stuttgart won 6 times, Werder Bremen won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:21 from VfB Stuttgart's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.5%)
Predicted formations: VfB Stuttgart 4-2-3-1 / Werder Bremen 4-2-3-1
Missing players: VfB Stuttgart 2, Werder Bremen 10
H2H summary: VfB Stuttgart wins 6, draws 4, Werder Bremen wins 5

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 5 1 122:36 86 89
W W D W W
2 34 22 7 5 70:34 36 73
W W L W L
3 34 20 5 9 66:47 19 65
L W L W W
4 34 18 8 8 71:49 22 62
D W D D L
5 34 18 7 9 65:52 13 61
L W D W W
6 34 17 8 9 68:47 21 59
D L W W L
7 34 13 8 13 51:57 -6 47
W L D L W
8 34 11 11 12 61:65 -4 44
D L L D L
9 34 12 7 15 45:61 -16 43
L W W D W
10 34 10 10 14 44:53 -9 40
W L W L D
11 34 10 9 15 44:58 -14 39
W W D L L
12 34 9 11 14 42:53 -11 38
W L W D D
13 34 9 11 14 40:54 -14 38
D W W L L
14 34 7 11 16 49:63 -14 32
L L D L D
15 34 8 8 18 37:60 -23 32
L L L D W
16 34 7 8 19 45:69 -24 29
L D W L D
17 34 6 8 20 41:72 -31 26
L W D W L
18 34 6 8 20 29:60 -31 26
L L L L D
Champions League
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation