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ITALY › SERIE A
11.09.2026 18:45
Stadio Pierluigi Penzo
Referee: Francesco Fourneau, Italy
Venezia
Match Timeline
Fiorentina
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
22'
A. Adams · Assist: G. Busio
Venezia
⚽
29'
F. Mastantuono · Assist: A. Jimenez
Fiorentina
⚽
30'
F. Mastantuono · Assist: Beto
Fiorentina
🟨
38'
Joel Schingtienne
Venezia
🔄
44'
G. Busio ↔ T. J. Helgason
Venezia
🔄
60'
A. Atta ↔ W. Gnonto
Fiorentina
🔄
60'
Beto ↔ M. Pellegrino
Fiorentina
⚽
66'
M. Pellegrino · Assist: N. Fagioli
Fiorentina
🔄
69'
M. Moreno ↔ Juan Jesus
Venezia
🔄
69'
R. Sagrado ↔ T. Correia
Venezia
🟨
72'
Alieu Njie
Fiorentina
🟨
73'
Simon Sohm
Venezia
🔄
80'
S. Sohm ↔ L. Lauberbach
Venezia
🔄
80'
J. Yeboah ↔ T. Fernandez
Venezia
🔄
80'
A. Njie ↔ Pote
Fiorentina
⚽
84'
F. Mastantuono
Fiorentina
⚽
86'
A. Hainaut · Assist: R. Haps
Venezia
🔄
89'
L. Ranieri ↔ M. Pongracic
Fiorentina
🔄
89'
F. Mastantuono ↔ M. Brescianini
Fiorentina

Venezia vs Fiorentina Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.7%
Odds 2.88
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.79
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.7%
2.88 ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.57 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.79 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.62 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.33 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Venezia Win 61.7%
Draw 8.8%
Fiorentina Win 29.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Venezia2.24
Fiorentina1.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
Venezia Venezia
WWDLW
26 GF / 19 GA
Fiorentina Fiorentina
WLDWL
20 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
2.6
Average Goals Scored
2
1.9
Average Goals Conceded
1.7
6
BTTS Yes
6
8
Over 2.5
7
5.4
Shots on Goal
5.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Venezia Venezia 10 matches
Fiorentina Fiorentina 10 matches
Venezia Statistic Fiorentina
4 Wins 4
1 Draws 2
5 Losses 4
26 Goals For 20
19 Goals Against 17
2.6 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.9 Avg Goals Conceded 1.7
6 BTTS Yes 6
10 Over 1.5 8
8 Over 2.5 7
6 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 2
5.4 Shots On Goal 5.25
15.4 Total Shots 15.5
4.4 Corners 4.5
60.2% Ball Possession 44.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Venezia won 2 times, Fiorentina won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from Venezia's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.2%)
Predicted formations: Venezia 3-5-2 / Fiorentina 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Venezia 6, Fiorentina 2
H2H summary: Venezia wins 2, draws 1, Fiorentina wins 1

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 4 1 0 14:3 11 13
D W W W W
2 5 4 1 0 15:8 7 13
D W W W W
3 5 4 1 0 8:3 5 13
W D W W W
4 5 4 0 1 5:2 3 12
W W W L W
5 5 3 2 0 10:4 6 11
W D D W W
6 5 3 1 1 9:4 5 10
W D W W L
7 5 3 1 1 8:4 4 10
W L D W W
8 5 3 1 1 9:6 3 10
L W W W D
9 5 2 1 2 7:6 1 7
D W L L W
10 5 2 1 2 9:9 0 7
L W D W L
11 5 2 0 3 5:7 -2 6
L L L W W
12 5 2 0 3 5:10 -5 6
L W L L W
13 5 1 1 3 8:11 -3 4
L L L W D
14 5 1 1 3 5:8 -3 4
D L W L L
15 5 1 1 3 4:7 -3 4
W L D L L
16 5 1 1 3 8:12 -4 4
W L D L L
17 5 1 1 3 6:12 -6 4
D W L L L
18 5 0 2 3 3:6 -3 2
D L D L L
19 5 0 1 4 3:10 -7 1
L D L L L
20 5 0 0 5 4:13 -9 0
L L L L L
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