BRAZIL SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio São Januário
Referee: F. Mendes
Vasco DA Gama
Match Timeline
RB Bragantino
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
32'
Rodriguinho
RB Bragantino
45'
Rodriguinho · Assist: I. Pitta
RB Bragantino
🔄
52'
Lucas Piton ↔ Cuiabano
Vasco DA Gama
🔄
52'
J. Rojas ↔ Brenner
Vasco DA Gama
🟨
57'
Henry Mosquera
RB Bragantino
60'
I. Pitta · Assist: H. Mosquera
RB Bragantino
🔄
71'
Rodriguinho ↔ Gustavo Neves
RB Bragantino
🔄
72'
I. Pitta ↔ Eduardo Sasha
RB Bragantino
🔄
72'
H. Mosquera ↔ Fernando Santos
RB Bragantino
🔄
75'
Joao Vitor ↔ Hugo Moura
Vasco DA Gama
77'
Fernando Santos
RB Bragantino
🟨
85'
Andrés Gómez
Vasco DA Gama
VAR
85'
Eric Ramires
RB Bragantino
🔄
87'
Andres Gomez ↔ David
Vasco DA Gama
🔄
87'
Eric Ramires ↔ I. Sosa
RB Bragantino
🔄
87'
A. Sant'Anna ↔ Breno
RB Bragantino
🟨
90+1'
Juninho Capixaba
RB Bragantino

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 78.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 69.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.1%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
78.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
69.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Vasco DA Gama Win 62.1%
Draw 0%
RB Bragantino Win 37.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vasco DA Gama1.28
RB Bragantino1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
WWDLW
22 GF / 25 GA
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
WLDWL
19 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.19
1.56
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
13
BTTS Yes
7
10
Over 2.5
6
5.31
Shots on Goal
4.94

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 16 matches
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 16 matches
Vasco DA Gama Statistic RB Bragantino
5 Wins 7
5 Draws 2
6 Losses 7
22 Goals For 19
25 Goals Against 18
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.19
1.56 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
13 BTTS Yes 7
13 Over 1.5 12
10 Over 2.5 6
4 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 4
5.31 Shots On Goal 4.94
17.5 Total Shots 15.94
5.44 Corners 5.5
53.8% Ball Possession 51.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features RB Bragantino's more proactive style and Vasco DA Gama's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring RB Bragantino. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Vasco DA Gama Analysis

Vasco DA Gama are currently 12 in the standings with 20 points from 16 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, while the 22:25 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Thiago Mendes (4 goals), Andres Gomez (3 goals), Cauan Barros (3 goals), with creative support from J. Rodriguez (4 assists), Cuiabano (4 assists), Paulo Henrique (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

RB Bragantino Analysis

RB Bragantino sit 6 with 23 points after 16 league matches. The record of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 19:18 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through I. Pitta (4 goals), Lucas Barbosa (4 goals), D. Tchamba (2 goals), with creative support from Juninho Capixaba (2 assists), Henry Mosquera (2 assists), I. Pitta (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Vasco DA Gama won 4 times, RB Bragantino won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:21 from Vasco DA Gama's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Vasco DA Gama 4-2-3-1 / RB Bragantino 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Vasco DA Gama 4, RB Bragantino 8
H2H summary: Vasco DA Gama wins 4, draws 5, RB Bragantino wins 4
Stats
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
9
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
5
6 Corner Kicks 6
13 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 0
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Goal 9
4 Shots off Goal 7
4 Blocked Shots 5
9 Shots insidebox 15
5 Shots outsidebox 6
7 Goalkeeper Saves 6
385 Total passes 259
316 Passes accurate 186
1.39 expected_goals 3.29
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Vasco DA Gama
Formation
RB Bragantino
Leo Jardim
Leo Jardim
Joao Vitor
Joao Vitor
A. Saldivia
A. Saldivia
Robert Renan
Robert Renan
Lucas Piton
Lucas Piton
Cauan Barros
Cauan Barros
Thiago Mendes
Thiago Mendes
Adson
Adson
J. Rojas
J. Rojas
Andres Gomez
Andres Gomez
C. Spinelli
C. Spinelli
Tiago Volpi
Tiago Volpi
A. Sant'Anna
A. Sant'Anna
Alix Vinicius
Alix Vinicius
Gustavo Marques
Gustavo Marques
Juninho Capixaba
Juninho Capixaba
Eric Ramires
Eric Ramires
Gabriel
Gabriel
J. Herrera
J. Herrera
Rodriguinho
Rodriguinho
H. Mosquera
🎯
H. Mosquera
I. Pitta
🎯
I. Pitta
Vasco DA Gama 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Leo Jardim
G
60
Joao Vitor
↓ 75'
4
A. Saldivia
D
30
Robert Renan
D
6
Lucas Piton
↓ 52'
D
88
Cauan Barros
M
23
Thiago Mendes
M
28
Adson
M
10
J. Rojas
↓ 52'
M
11
Andres Gomez
↓ 87' 🟨 85'
M
77
C. Spinelli
F
Substitutes
13
Daniel Fuzato
G
25
Hugo Moura
↑ 75'
M
66
Cuiabano
↑ 52'
D
86
Lukas Zuccarello
M
72
Bruno Lopes
F
43
Lucas Freitas
D
3
Tche Tche
M
7
David
↑ 87'
F
17
N. Moreira
M
20
Brenner
↑ 52'
F
82
Riquelme Avellar
D
64
Walace Fernandes
D
RB Bragantino 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
18
Tiago Volpi
G
23
A. Sant'Anna
↓ 87'
D
4
Alix Vinicius
D
16
Gustavo Marques
D
29
Juninho Capixaba
🟨 90+1'
D
7
Eric Ramires
↓ 87'
M
6
Gabriel
M
32
J. Herrera
M
20
Rodriguinho
⚽ 45' ↓ 71' 🟨 32'
M
30
H. Mosquera
🎯 60' ↓ 72' 🟨 57'
M
9
I. Pitta
⚽ 60' 🎯 45' ↓ 72'
F
Substitutes
1
Cleiton
G
8
Eduardo Sasha
↑ 72'
F
15
I. Sosa
↑ 87'
M
22
Gustavo Neves
↑ 71'
M
17
Vinicinho
F
28
Yuri Leles
M
46
Breno
↑ 87'
D
11
Fernando Santos
⚽ 77' ↑ 72'
F
12
Vanderlan
D
57
Marcelinho
M
59
Filipinho
F
54
W. Palacios
D
Last matches: Vasco DA Gama
31.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Internacional
1
4
L
10.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico Paranaense
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Flamengo
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Corinthians
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
2
1
W
11.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Remo
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Botafogo
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Coritiba
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
2
1
W
19.03.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Fluminense
3
2
W
15.03.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Cruzeiro
3
3
D
12.03.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Palmeiras
2
1
W
26.02.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Santos
1
2
L
12.02.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Bahia
0
1
L
05.02.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
29.01.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Mirassol
1
2
L
Last matches: RB Bragantino
31.05.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Internacional
3
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Vitoria
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Santos
0
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Chapecoense-sc
2
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Palmeiras
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Remo
4
2
W
12.04.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Cruzeiro
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Mirassol
1
0
W
03.04.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Flamengo
3
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Botafogo
1
2
L
18.03.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Bahia
0
2
L
15.03.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Sao Paulo
1
2
L
13.03.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Gremio
1
1
D
25.02.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Atletico Paranaense
1
1
D
12.02.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Corinthians
0
2
L
04.02.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Atletico-MG
1
0
W
28.01.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Coritiba
1
0
W
H2H: Vasco DA Gama vs RB Bragantino
24.05.26
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
RB Bragantino
0
3
L
26.10.25
H2H
RB Bragantino
Vasco DA Gama
0
3
W
01.06.25
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
RB Bragantino
0
2
L
03.08.24
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
RB Bragantino
2
2
D
17.04.24
H2H
RB Bragantino
Vasco DA Gama
2
1
L
07.12.23
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
15.08.23
H2H
RB Bragantino
Vasco DA Gama
1
1
D
21.01.21
H2H
Bragantino
Vasco DA Gama
4
1
L
27.09.20
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Bragantino
1
1
D
12.11.16
H2H
Bragantino
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
W
23.07.16
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Bragantino
2
1
W
04.10.14
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Bragantino
2
2
D
28.05.14
H2H
Bragantino
Vasco DA Gama
1
1
D
Last matches: Vasco DA Gama
31.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico Paranaense
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
2
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Botafogo
1
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
2
1
W
19.03.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Fluminense
3
2
W
12.03.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Palmeiras
2
1
W
12.02.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Bahia
0
1
L
05.02.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
H2H at home: Vasco DA Gama
24.05.26
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
RB Bragantino
0
3
L
01.06.25
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
RB Bragantino
0
2
L
03.08.24
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
RB Bragantino
2
2
D
07.12.23
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
27.09.20
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Bragantino
1
1
D
23.07.16
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Bragantino
2
1
W
04.10.14
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Bragantino
2
2
D
Last matches: RB Bragantino
10.05.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Santos
0
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Chapecoense-sc
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Cruzeiro
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Mirassol
1
0
W
18.03.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Bahia
0
2
L
13.03.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Gremio
1
1
D
12.02.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Corinthians
0
2
L
28.01.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Coritiba
1
0
W
H2H away: RB Bragantino
24.05.26
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
RB Bragantino
0
3
W
01.06.25
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
RB Bragantino
0
2
W
03.08.24
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
RB Bragantino
2
2
D
07.12.23
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
RB Bragantino
2
1
L

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 12 5 1 30:13 17 41
?
2 17 10 4 3 31:16 15 34
?
3 18 9 4 5 28:23 5 31
?
4 18 9 3 6 24:18 6 30
?
5 18 9 2 7 25:19 6 29
?
6 17 7 5 5 25:23 2 26
?
7 18 7 5 6 24:24 0 26
?
8 18 7 4 7 23:20 3 25
?
9 18 7 3 8 22:23 -1 24
?
10 18 6 6 6 18:19 -1 24
?
11 18 6 6 6 24:28 -4 24
?
12 17 6 4 7 31:31 0 22
?
13 17 6 4 7 21:25 -4 22
?
14 18 5 6 7 21:22 -1 21
?
15 18 5 6 7 26:29 -3 21
?
16 18 5 6 7 20:23 -3 21
?
17 18 5 5 8 22:29 -7 20
?
18 18 4 6 8 21:29 -8 18
?
19 17 4 4 9 18:24 -6 16
?
20 17 1 6 10 17:33 -16 9
?
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B

Missing Players

Vasco DA Gama 4 missing
-
Jair
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
Mateus Carvalho
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
Paulo Henrique
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
C. Cuesta
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT
RB Bragantino 8 missing
-
Fabricio
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
G. Rodriguez
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
Davi Gomes
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
Eduardo Santos
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
Pedro Henrique
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
R. Tavares
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
Fabinho
Missing Fixture Groin Injury
OUT
-
Matheus Fernandes
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT