Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
77.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
26%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico Paranaense
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Vasco DA Gama
14 matches
Atletico Paranaense
14 matches
| Vasco DA Gama | Statistic | Atletico Paranaense |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 7 |
| 5 | Draws | 2 |
| 5 | Losses | 5 |
| 20 | Goals For | 20 |
| 21 | Goals Against | 15 |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.43 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.07 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 5.43 | Shots On Goal | 4.86 |
| 17.86 | Total Shots | 11.71 |
| 5.64 | Corners | 4.64 |
| 53.4% | Ball Possession | 48.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Atletico Paranaense's more proactive style and Vasco DA Gama's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Vasco DA Gama expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Atletico Paranaense in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atletico Paranaense having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Atletico Paranaense. Atletico Paranaense carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 23 points while Vasco DA Gama sit 13 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
From their first 14 matches, Vasco DA Gama have collected 17 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. The record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 20:21 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Cauan Barros (3 goals), Thiago Mendes (3 goals), Andres Gomez (2 goals), with creative support from Cuiabano (4 assists), J. Rodriguez (3 assists), Paulo Henrique (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Placed 5 with 23 points from 14 outings, Atletico Paranaense continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, while the 20:15 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on K. Viveros (8 goals), S. Mendoza (4 goals), Julimar (3 goals), with creative support from G. Benavidez (4 assists), L. Esquivel (3 assists), Joao Cruz (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Vasco DA Gama won 4 times, Atletico Paranaense won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:21 from Vasco DA Gama's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.
Vasco DA Gama
6
3
6
4
4
2
Lineups
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
RB Bragantino
Vasco DA Gama
Internacional
Vasco DA Gama
Flamengo
Vasco DA Gama
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
Remo
Vasco DA Gama
Botafogo
Vasco DA Gama
Coritiba
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
Fluminense
Vasco DA Gama
Cruzeiro
Vasco DA Gama
Palmeiras
Vasco DA Gama
Santos
Vasco DA Gama
Bahia
Vasco DA Gama
Chapecoense-sc
Vasco DA Gama
Mirassol
Atletico Paranaense
Mirassol
Atletico Paranaense
Remo
Atletico Paranaense
Flamengo
Atletico Paranaense
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
Atletico Paranaense
Palmeiras
Atletico Paranaense
Chapecoense-sc
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico-MG
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
Coritiba
Atletico Paranaense
Cruzeiro
Atletico Paranaense
Fluminense
Atletico Paranaense
RB Bragantino
Atletico Paranaense
Corinthians
Atletico Paranaense
Santos
Atletico Paranaense
Internacional
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
RB Bragantino
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
Botafogo
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
Fluminense
Vasco DA Gama
Palmeiras
Vasco DA Gama
Bahia
Vasco DA Gama
Chapecoense-sc
Atletico Paranaense
Remo
Atletico Paranaense
Palmeiras
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico-MG
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
Fluminense
Atletico Paranaense
RB Bragantino
Atletico Paranaense
Internacional
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
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|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
?
|
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| 3 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 31 |
?
|
|
| 4 |
Atletico Paranaense
Away
|
18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
?
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 22 |
?
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
?
|
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| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
?
|
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| 15 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 26:29 | -3 | 21 |
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| 16 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 17 |
Vasco DA Gama
Home
|
18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22:29 | -7 | 20 |
?
|
| 18 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
?
|
|
| 19 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
?
|
|
| 20 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17:33 | -16 | 9 |
?
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