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WORLD › FRIENDLIES
27.09.2026 04:00
HFC Bank Stadium
Vanuatu
Match Timeline
New Caledonia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
14'
C. Decoire
New Caledonia
⚽
24'
T. Kaltack
Vanuatu
⚽
79'
Vanuatu
Vanuatu
⚽
85'
Vanuatu
Vanuatu
⚽
90+3'
Vanuatu
Vanuatu

Vanuatu vs New Caledonia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 75.6%
Odds 2.55
BTTS
Yes
Probability 53.4%
Odds 1.56
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 41.9%
Odds 1.72
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
75.6%
2.55 ▥
BTTS Yes
53.4%
1.56 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
41.9%
1.72 ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.33 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Vanuatu Win 75.6%
Draw 12.2%
New Caledonia Win 12.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vanuatu1.61
New Caledonia1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vanuatu Vanuatu
WWDLW
9 GF / 8 GA
New Caledonia New Caledonia
WLDWL
2 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.8
Average Goals Scored
0.67
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
4
BTTS Yes
1
4
Over 2.5
1
4
Shots on Goal
2.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vanuatu Vanuatu 5 matches
New Caledonia New Caledonia 3 matches
Vanuatu Statistic New Caledonia
2 Wins 1
2 Draws 0
1 Losses 2
9 Goals For 2
8 Goals Against 4
1.8 Avg Goals Scored 0.67
1.6 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
4 BTTS Yes 1
4 Over 1.5 2
4 Over 2.5 1
2 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 2
4 Shots On Goal 2.5
5.33 Total Shots 5.5
1.33 Corners 3.5
13.7% Ball Possession 27%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Vanuatu won 0 times, New Caledonia won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:7 from Vanuatu's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (87.8%)
H2H summary: Vanuatu wins 0, draws 1, New Caledonia wins 2