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02.05.2026 14:00
Referee: F. Zammit
Valletta FC
Match Timeline
Hamrun Spartans
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
45+1'
Emerson
Hamrun Spartans
🟨
45+4'
D. Tavares
Valletta FC
🔄
46'
Y. Yankam ↔ Thaylor
Valletta FC
🔄
46'
S. Meijer ↔ J. Mendoza
Valletta FC
🔄
46'
R. Camenzuli ↔ S. Xerri
Hamrun Spartans
⚽
54'
J. Mendoza
Valletta FC
⚽
58'
Rafael Compri
Hamrun Spartans
🔄
69'
Jonny ↔ S. Attard
Hamrun Spartans
🟨
72'
Thaylor
Valletta FC
🔄
77'
Yuri ↔ A. Adebayo
Valletta FC
🔄
77'
D. Ceter ↔ D. Bulevardi
Hamrun Spartans
⚽
83'
A. Adebayo
Valletta FC
🟨
86'
D. Bulevardi
Hamrun Spartans
🟨
90+7'
Maringa Adilson
Valletta FC
🟨
90+7'
B. Eleke
Hamrun Spartans
🔄
90+1'
D. Tavares ↔ A. Zammit
Valletta FC
🔄
90+5'
B. Paiber ↔ T. Melillo
Valletta FC
🔄
90+1'
M. Garcia ↔ B. Eleke
Hamrun Spartans

Valletta FC vs Hamrun Spartans Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 95.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
95.9%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
26%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Valletta FC Win 51.5%
Draw 4.1%
Hamrun Spartans Win 44.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Valletta FC1.16
Hamrun Spartans1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Valletta FC Valletta FC
WWDLW
39 GF / 23 GA
Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans
WLDWL
62 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.26
Average Goals Scored
1.38
0.74
Average Goals Conceded
1
13
BTTS Yes
16
8
Over 2.5
18
0
Shots on Goal
1.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Valletta FC Valletta FC 31 matches
Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 45 matches
Valletta FC Statistic Hamrun Spartans
13 Wins 21
11 Draws 9
7 Losses 15
39 Goals For 62
23 Goals Against 45
1.26 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
0.74 Avg Goals Conceded 1
13 BTTS Yes 16
19 Over 1.5 33
8 Over 2.5 18
5 Over 3.5 10
12 Clean Sheets 20
11 Failed To Score 13
0 Shots On Goal 1.75
0 Total Shots 5.33
0 Corners 2.25
0% Ball Possession 23.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Hamrun Spartans. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Hamrun Spartans arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Hamrun Spartans having the stronger overall control.

Valletta FC Analysis

Valletta FC come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 21 points from 15 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, while the 19:12 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Yuri (12 goals), A. Zammit (6 goals), A. Adebayo (4 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Hamrun Spartans Analysis

Hamrun Spartans sit 2 with 28 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 25:9, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. Mbong (14 goals), D. Ceter (5 goals), M. Garcia (4 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Valletta FC won 3 times, Hamrun Spartans won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:18 from Valletta FC's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.9%)
H2H summary: Valletta FC wins 3, draws 3, Hamrun Spartans wins 8

Standings

Premier League , Closing Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 7 4 0 20:7 13 25
W W W L W
2 11 6 4 1 16:4 12 22
W L L W W
3 11 5 4 2 12:12 0 19
L W W W W
4 11 5 3 3 20:18 2 18
L L D L D
5 11 4 5 2 16:7 9 17
L L W L L
6 11 5 2 4 14:12 2 17
L D L W L
7 11 4 4 3 10:11 -1 16
L D D W D
8 11 3 4 4 12:12 0 13
D D D L W
9 11 3 2 6 11:17 -6 11
L W D L D
10 11 2 4 5 13:15 -2 10
W L W D D
11 11 1 3 7 9:21 -12 6
L W W D D
12 11 1 1 9 7:24 -17 4
W D L D W
Championship round
Relegation Round