Valencia vs Real Sociedad Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
60.3%
|
2.63 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
1.70 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
2.00 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.83 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
6.00 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
9.00 |
Valencia
Real Sociedad
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Valencia
13 matches
Real Sociedad
14 matches
| Valencia | Statistic | Real Sociedad |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 4 |
| 2 | Draws | 2 |
| 8 | Losses | 8 |
| 11 | Goals For | 17 |
| 20 | Goals Against | 25 |
| 0.85 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 1.54 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.79 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 2.33 | Shots On Goal | 5 |
| 8.67 | Total Shots | 12.71 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 46.5% | Ball Possession | 50.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Real Sociedad. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Valencia have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Real Sociedad carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 11 with 7 points while Valencia sit 20 on 1, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Valencia expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Real Sociedad in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Real Sociedad having the stronger overall control.
With 1 points from 5 games and a place of 20, Valencia still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats with a 1:10 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Umar Sadiq (1 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, Real Sociedad have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 7 points from 5 matches. The record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 6:8 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through L. Sučić (2 goals), J. Ochieng (1 goals), Y. Herrera (1 goals), with creative support from J. Ochieng (2 assists), Mikel Oyarzabal (2 assists), Carlos Soler (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Valencia won 4 times, Real Sociedad won 4 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:16 from Valencia's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31:7 | 24 | 21 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:7 | 9 | 16 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 16 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18:8 | 10 | 15 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 13 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 11 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 10 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 |
Real Sociedad
Away
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
| 9 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 8 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 8 |
W
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:16 | -5 | 8 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:13 | -7 | 8 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 7 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 7 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:21 | -10 | 7 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 5 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:17 | -6 | 5 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 19 |
Valencia
Home
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:13 | -9 | 4 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
| 20 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:12 | -9 | 3 |
L
L
D
D
L
|