Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
54.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
45.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Valencia
Rayo Vallecano
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Valencia
40 matches
Rayo Vallecano
53 matches
| Valencia | Statistic | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wins | 23 |
| 9 | Draws | 14 |
| 16 | Losses | 16 |
| 50 | Goals For | 74 |
| 53 | Goals Against | 59 |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.4 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.11 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 24 |
| 32 | Over 1.5 | 38 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 25 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 12 | Clean Sheets | 18 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 14 |
| 3.28 | Shots On Goal | 4.87 |
| 11.58 | Total Shots | 14.58 |
| 4.95 | Corners | 6.13 |
| 48% | Ball Possession | 53.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Rayo Vallecano. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Valencia expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Rayo Vallecano in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Rayo Vallecano having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Valencia sit 12 with 42 points after 35 league matches. The record of 11 wins, 9 draws, and 15 defeats, together with a 38:50 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through H. Duro (9 goals), L. Ramazani (6 goals), A. Danjuma (3 goals), with creative support from L. Rioja (6 assists), Javier Guerra (5 assists), F. Ugrinic (3 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with J. Copete, M. Diakhaby, D. Foulquier unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
From their first 35 matches, Rayo Vallecano have collected 43 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Their overall return of 10 wins, 13 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 36:42 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. de Frutos (10 goals), A. Garcia (4 goals), Alemao (3 goals), with creative support from A. Garcia (5 assists), Unai López (4 assists), I. Palazon (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without I. Akhomach, D. Mendez, Luiz Felipe, I. Palazon, that could reduce some of their usual creative supply in attacking areas.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Valencia won 2 times, Rayo Vallecano won 3 times, while 10 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:14 from Valencia's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.
Valencia
3
3
4
1
5
2
Lineups
Valencia
Barcelona
Valencia
Real Sociedad
Valencia
Athletic Club
Valencia
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
Girona
Valencia
Mallorca
Valencia
Elche
Valencia
Celta Vigo
Valencia
Sevilla
Valencia
Oviedo
Valencia
Alaves
Valencia
Osasuna
Valencia
Villarreal
Valencia
Levante
Valencia
Real Madrid
Valencia
Athletic Club
Valencia
Real Betis
Valencia
Espanyol
Valencia
Getafe
Valencia
Burgos
Rayo Vallecano
Crystal Palace
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano
Girona
Rayo Vallecano
Strasbourg
Rayo Vallecano
Getafe
Rayo Vallecano
Strasbourg
Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
Espanyol
Rayo Vallecano
AEK Athens FC
Rayo Vallecano
Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano
AEK Athens FC
Rayo Vallecano
Elche
Rayo Vallecano
Barcelona
Rayo Vallecano
Samsunspor
Rayo Vallecano
Levante
Rayo Vallecano
Samsunspor
Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla
Rayo Vallecano
Oviedo
Rayo Vallecano
Athletic Club
Valencia
Barcelona
Valencia
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
Girona
Valencia
Celta Vigo
Valencia
Alaves
Valencia
Osasuna
Valencia
Real Madrid
Valencia
Athletic Club
Valencia
Espanyol
Valencia
Elche
Valencia
Mallorca
Valencia
Sevilla
Valencia
Levante
Valencia
Real Betis
Valencia
Villarreal
Valencia
Oviedo
Valencia
Athletic Club
Valencia
Getafe
Valencia
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
Crystal Palace
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
Strasbourg
Rayo Vallecano
Getafe
Rayo Vallecano
AEK Athens FC
Rayo Vallecano
Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano
Barcelona
Rayo Vallecano
Samsunspor
Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla
Rayo Vallecano
Real Betis
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
Celta Vigo
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
Granada CF
Rayo Vallecano
Elche
Rayo Vallecano
Jagiellonia
Rayo Vallecano
Espanyol
Rayo Vallecano
Real Ávila
Rayo Vallecano
Slovan Bratislava
Rayo Vallecano
Oviedo
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95:36 | 59 | 94 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 86 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72:46 | 26 | 72 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62:44 | 18 | 69 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59:48 | 11 | 60 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53:48 | 5 | 54 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32:38 | -6 | 51 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 |
Rayo Vallecano
Away
|
38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41:44 | -3 | 50 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
| 9 |
Valencia
Home
|
38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | -9 | 49 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
| 10 | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59:61 | -2 | 46 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43:55 | -12 | 46 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43:58 | -15 | 45 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46:60 | -14 | 43 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 43 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49:57 | -8 | 43 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:61 | -14 | 42 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | -6 | 42 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:57 | -10 | 42 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39:55 | -16 | 41 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26:60 | -34 | 29 |
L
L
L
D
L
|