Valencia vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
59.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
83.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
91.5%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
Valencia
Atletico Madrid
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Valencia
38 matches
Atletico Madrid
54 matches
| Valencia | Statistic | Atletico Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wins | 29 |
| 9 | Draws | 10 |
| 15 | Losses | 15 |
| 49 | Goals For | 106 |
| 51 | Goals Against | 71 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.96 |
| 1.34 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.31 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 33 |
| 31 | Over 1.5 | 45 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 34 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 22 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 16 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 3.37 | Shots On Goal | 5.31 |
| 11.68 | Total Shots | 13.37 |
| 5.05 | Corners | 5.89 |
| 47.9% | Ball Possession | 52.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Atletico Madrid's more proactive style and Valencia's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Atletico Madrid carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 60 points while Valencia sit 12 on 39, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Atletico Madrid arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Atletico Madrid. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.
From their first 33 matches, Valencia have collected 39 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 9 draws, and 14 losses, while the 37:48 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on H. Duro (9 goals), L. Ramazani (6 goals), A. Danjuma (3 goals), with creative support from L. Rioja (5 assists), Javier Guerra (5 assists), F. Ugrinic (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 60 points from 33 games and a place of 4, Atletico Madrid still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 18 wins, 6 draws, and 9 defeats with a 56:37 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Sorloth (12 goals), J. Alvarez (8 goals), A. Griezmann (7 goals), with creative support from G. Simeone (6 assists), J. Alvarez (4 assists), Marcos Llorente (4 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Valencia won 1 times, Atletico Madrid won 11 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:32 from Valencia's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95:36 | 59 | 94 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 86 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72:46 | 26 | 72 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 |
Atletico Madrid
Away
|
38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62:44 | 18 | 69 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59:48 | 11 | 60 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53:48 | 5 | 54 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32:38 | -6 | 51 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41:44 | -3 | 50 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 |
Valencia
Home
|
38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | -9 | 49 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
| 10 | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59:61 | -2 | 46 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43:55 | -12 | 46 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43:58 | -15 | 45 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46:60 | -14 | 43 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 43 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49:57 | -8 | 43 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:61 | -14 | 42 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | -6 | 42 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:57 | -10 | 42 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39:55 | -16 | 41 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26:60 | -34 | 29 |
L
L
L
D
L
|