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--.--.---- --:--
V-varen Nagasaki
PEN
1 - 1
Gamba Osaka
Peace Stadium
Referee: R. Tanimoto
V-varen Nagasaki
Match Timeline
Gamba Osaka
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
13'
Welton ↔ R. Yamashita
Gamba Osaka
🔄
38'
I. Jebali ↔ T. Usami
Gamba Osaka
🔄
46'
S. Abe ↔ T. Yamamoto
Gamba Osaka
🔄
63'
Thiago ↔ Matheus Jesus
V-varen Nagasaki
🔄
63'
N. Campbell ↔ T. Matsumoto
V-varen Nagasaki
⚽
78'
Matheus Jesus
V-varen Nagasaki
⚽
80'
D. Hummet · Assist: R. Yamashita
Gamba Osaka
🔄
81'
R. Hatsuse ↔ S. Nakano
Gamba Osaka
🔄
81'
R. Meshino ↔ H. Minamino
Gamba Osaka
🟨
85'
Eduardo
V-varen Nagasaki
🔄
87'
M. Hasegawa ↔ R. Yamasaki
V-varen Nagasaki
🔄
87'
R. Yamada ↔ Y. Iwasaki
V-varen Nagasaki

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 82.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 66.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 74%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
82.1%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
66.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
74%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
V-varen Nagasaki Win 31.9%
Draw 17.9%
Gamba Osaka Win 50.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
V-varen Nagasaki1.13
Gamba Osaka1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki
WWDLW
12 GF / 17 GA
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka
WLDWL
24 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.6
1.42
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
4
BTTS Yes
10
5
Over 2.5
9
3
Shots on Goal
5.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 12 matches
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 15 matches
V-varen Nagasaki Statistic Gamba Osaka
5 Wins 5
0 Draws 7
7 Losses 3
12 Goals For 24
17 Goals Against 20
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
1.42 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
4 BTTS Yes 10
8 Over 1.5 12
5 Over 2.5 9
3 Over 3.5 7
4 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 4
3 Shots On Goal 5.83
10.18 Total Shots 13.92
3.18 Corners 4.5
47.5% Ball Possession 58.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, V-varen Nagasaki won 3 times, Gamba Osaka won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:19 from V-varen Nagasaki's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 4.11 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.1%)
Predicted formations: V-varen Nagasaki 4-2-3-1 / Gamba Osaka 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: V-varen Nagasaki wins 3, draws 2, Gamba Osaka wins 4
Stats
V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
5
7 Corner Kicks 8
11 Fouls 6
1 Offsides 1
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Goal 7
4 Shots off Goal 5
3 Blocked Shots 5
7 Shots insidebox 11
4 Shots outsidebox 6
6 Goalkeeper Saves 3
304 Total passes 392
206 Passes accurate 291
1.87 expected_goals 1.96
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

V-varen Nagasaki
Formation
Gamba Osaka
M. Goto
M. Goto
H. Onaga
H. Onaga
I. Arai
I. Arai
Dudu Giusti
Dudu Giusti
S. Yoneda
S. Yoneda
R. Yamada
↓
R. Yamada
H. Yamaguchi
H. Yamaguchi
M. Sekiguchi
M. Sekiguchi
M. Hasegawa
↓
M. Hasegawa
N. Campbell
↓
N. Campbell
Thiago
↓
Thiago
R. Araki
R. Araki
T. Kishimoto
T. Kishimoto
G. Ikegaya
G. Ikegaya
S. Nakatani
S. Nakatani
R. Hatsuse
↓
R. Hatsuse
S. Abe
↓
S. Abe
R. Mito
R. Mito
Welton
↓
Welton
I. Jebali
↓
I. Jebali
R. Meshino
↓
R. Meshino
D. Hummet
⚽
D. Hummet
V-varen Nagasaki 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
M. Goto
G
22
H. Onaga
D
29
I. Arai
D
4
Dudu Giusti
🟨 85'
D
23
S. Yoneda
D
24
R. Yamada
↓ 87'
M
5
H. Yamaguchi
M
3
M. Sekiguchi
M
41
M. Hasegawa
↓ 87'
M
11
N. Campbell
↓ 63'
M
9
Thiago
↓ 63'
F
Substitutes
13
G. Hatano
G
18
R. Yamasaki
↑ 87'
F
10
Matheus Jesus
⚽ 78' ↑ 63'
M
8
Y. Iwasaki
↑ 87'
F
17
K. Takahata
D
45
N. Hyeung-jun
D
19
T. Sawada
M
34
T. Matsumoto
↑ 63'
M
37
N. Sasaki
D
Gamba Osaka 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
18
R. Araki
G
15
T. Kishimoto
D
19
G. Ikegaya
D
4
S. Nakatani
D
21
R. Hatsuse
↓ 81'
D
13
S. Abe
↓ 46'
M
27
R. Mito
M
97
Welton
↓ 13'
M
11
I. Jebali
↓ 38'
M
8
R. Meshino
↓ 81'
M
23
D. Hummet
⚽ 80'
F
Substitutes
1
M. Higashiguchi
G
5
G. Miura
D
16
T. Suzuki
M
47
S. Nakano
↑ 81'
D
42
H. Minamino
↑ 81'
F
7
T. Usami
↑ 38'
F
44
K. Okunuki
M
17
R. Yamashita
🎯 80' ↑ 13'
F
36
T. Yamamoto
↑ 46'
M
Last matches: V-varen Nagasaki
06.06.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
1
0
W
30.05.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
1
0
W
23.05.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Kyoto Sanga
0
1
L
17.05.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Vissel Kobe
2
2
D
09.05.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
2
3
L
06.05.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
2
1
W
03.05.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Nagoya Grampus
1
2
L
29.04.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Shimizu S-pulse
2
1
W
18.04.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0
2
L
11.04.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
0
1
L
05.04.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Shimizu S-pulse
0
3
L
21.03.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
1
0
W
18.03.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Kyoto Sanga
1
2
L
15.03.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
1
0
W
08.03.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
2
3
L
28.02.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
1
0
W
21.02.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Nagoya Grampus
3
1
W
13.02.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Vissel Kobe
0
2
L
06.02.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
3
L
17.01.26
Fri
V-varen Nagasaki
Omiya Ardija
2
0
W
Last matches: Gamba Osaka
06.06.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Tokyo Verdy
4
2
W
30.05.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Tokyo Verdy
1
1
D
24.05.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
2
1
W
10.05.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0
1
L
06.05.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
1
2
L
02.05.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Vissel Kobe
5
0
W
29.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
1
1
D
22.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
1
2
L
19.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
2
2
D
11.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
0
1
L
04.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
2
0
W
21.03.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
2
2
D
18.03.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Vissel Kobe
2
2
D
14.03.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0
2
L
08.03.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
3
2
W
28.02.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
2
2
D
22.02.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
2
1
W
15.02.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
0
0
D
07.02.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
0
0
D
25.01.26
Fri
Gamba Osaka
Consadole Sapporo
4
1
W
H2H: V-varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka
25.04.26
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
1
1
D
08.03.26
H2H
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
3
2
L
01.02.25
H2H
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
5
5
D
26.06.19
H2H
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
0
2
W
19.06.19
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
1
4
L
24.11.18
H2H
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
2
1
L
14.04.18
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
3
0
W
01.09.13
H2H
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
1
2
W
10.03.13
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
1
3
L
Last matches: V-varen Nagasaki
30.05.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
1
0
W
17.05.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Vissel Kobe
2
2
D
06.05.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
2
1
W
03.05.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Nagoya Grampus
1
2
L
05.04.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Shimizu S-pulse
0
3
L
18.03.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Kyoto Sanga
1
2
L
15.03.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
1
0
W
28.02.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
1
0
W
06.02.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
3
L
H2H at home: V-varen Nagasaki
25.04.26
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
1
1
D
19.06.19
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
1
4
L
14.04.18
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
3
0
W
10.03.13
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
1
3
L
Last matches: Gamba Osaka
06.06.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Tokyo Verdy
4
2
W
24.05.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
2
1
W
06.05.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
1
2
L
29.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
1
1
D
21.03.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
2
2
D
18.03.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Vissel Kobe
2
2
D
14.03.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0
2
L
22.02.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
2
1
W
07.02.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
0
0
D
H2H away: Gamba Osaka
25.04.26
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
1
1
D
19.06.19
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
1
4
W
14.04.18
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
3
0
L
10.03.13
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
1
3
W

Standings

West
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Vissel Kobe
18 11 0 7 29:25 4 35
?
2
Cerezo Osaka
18 11 0 7 30:21 9 31
?
3
Nagoya Grampus
18 10 0 8 33:31 2 31
?
4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
18 10 0 8 31:23 8 30
?
5
Gamba Osaka Away
18 10 0 8 31:25 6 28
?
6
Fagiano Okayama
18 8 0 10 26:29 -3 26
?
7
Shimizu S-pulse
18 8 0 10 23:25 -2 24
?
8
Kyoto Sanga
18 8 0 10 22:28 -6 23
?
9
V-varen Nagasaki Home
18 7 0 11 21:29 -8 21
?
10
Avispa Fukuoka
18 7 0 11 21:31 -10 21
?
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)