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23.05.2026 20:00
Estadio Heroes de San Ramon
Referee: Edwin Ordonez, Peru
UTC Cajamarca
Match Timeline
Sport Boys
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
29'
Arquímedes Figuera
UTC Cajamarca
VAR
41'
David Camacho
UTC Cajamarca
🟥
43'
David Camacho
UTC Cajamarca
🔄
46'
D. Caro ↔ J. Huerto
UTC Cajamarca
🟨
53'
Emilio Saba
Sport Boys
🔄
64'
A. Arroyo ↔ M. de Jesus
UTC Cajamarca
🔄
64'
C. Zambrano ↔ J. Torres
Sport Boys
🔄
74'
L. Garro ↔ G. Paredes
UTC Cajamarca
🟨
79'
Miguel Trauco
Sport Boys
🔄
81'
M. Llontop ↔ J. Alarcon
Sport Boys
🔄
82'
M. Lliuya ↔ L. Arce
UTC Cajamarca
🔄
82'
P. Serra ↔ M. Rasmussen
UTC Cajamarca
🔄
89'
E. Saba ↔ E. Gonzales
Sport Boys
🔄
89'
L. Urruti ↔ R. Diaz
Sport Boys

UTC Cajamarca vs Sport Boys Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 76.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
76.3%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
UTC Cajamarca Win 32.8%
Draw 43.5%
Sport Boys Win 23.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
UTC Cajamarca1.26
Sport Boys1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca
WWDLW
21 GF / 25 GA
Sport Boys Sport Boys
WLDWL
17 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
1
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
10
BTTS Yes
7
8
Over 2.5
7
4.6
Shots on Goal
4.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 17 matches
Sport Boys Sport Boys 17 matches
UTC Cajamarca Statistic Sport Boys
5 Wins 5
5 Draws 4
7 Losses 8
21 Goals For 17
25 Goals Against 22
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
10 BTTS Yes 7
14 Over 1.5 9
8 Over 2.5 7
5 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 7
4 Failed To Score 5
4.6 Shots On Goal 4.2
12.27 Total Shots 13.4
4.47 Corners 4.6
49.9% Ball Possession 49.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Sport Boys. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. UTC Cajamarca have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

UTC Cajamarca Analysis

UTC Cajamarca sit 13 with 16 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 19:24 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Marlon de Jesús (4 goals), D. Camacho (3 goals), A. Arroyo (2 goals), with creative support from M. Rasmussen (3 assists), A. Munoz (2 assists), M. Lliuya (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sport Boys Analysis

Sport Boys approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 16 points from 15 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 14:19, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through L. Nequecaur (5 goals), L. Urruti (3 goals), O. Mora (2 goals), with creative support from J. Alarcon (4 assists), L. Nequecaur (2 assists), C. Lopez (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, UTC Cajamarca won 4 times, Sport Boys won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:22 from UTC Cajamarca's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.79 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (76.3%)
Predicted formations: UTC Cajamarca 4-2-3-1 / Sport Boys 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: UTC Cajamarca wins 4, draws 6, Sport Boys wins 4

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 18 8 3 49:20 29 62
W W W L D
2 29 15 8 6 49:34 15 53
W D L W D
3 29 14 8 7 51:33 18 50
W D D W W
4 29 14 6 9 41:29 12 48
L L W L W
5 29 14 5 10 49:40 9 47
W W D L W
6 29 13 7 9 38:46 -8 46
W D D L L
7 29 14 3 12 42:42 0 45
L L W L W
8 29 13 5 11 53:42 11 44
W W W W W
9 29 12 7 10 44:40 4 43
L W W L W
10 29 12 5 12 40:45 -5 41
W W W W W
11 29 10 8 11 30:31 -1 38
L L D W L
12 29 10 8 11 45:53 -8 38
W D W W D
13 29 9 6 14 27:34 -7 33
L D L W L
14 29 7 10 12 38:43 -5 31
L D L L D
15 29 7 7 15 41:53 -12 28
L D L W L
16 29 7 7 15 25:43 -18 28
W L L L L
17 29 6 8 15 30:44 -14 26
L D W L L
18 29 4 8 17 32:52 -20 15
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga 2