WORLD WORLD CUP
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Lumen Field

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 85.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
85.5%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
USA Win 43.1%
Draw 14.5%
Belgium Win 42.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
USA1.55
Belgium2.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
USA USA
WWDLW
16 GF / 15 GA
Belgium Belgium
WLDWL
22 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
2.75
1.88
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
5
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
4
3.88
Shots on Goal
6.63

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

USA USA 8 matches
Belgium Belgium 8 matches
USA Statistic Belgium
4 Wins 5
0 Draws 3
4 Losses 0
16 Goals For 22
15 Goals Against 7
2 Avg Goals Scored 2.75
1.88 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
5 BTTS Yes 5
8 Over 1.5 7
5 Over 2.5 4
4 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 1
3.88 Shots On Goal 6.63
12.5 Total Shots 19.13
5.38 Corners 5.38
52% Ball Possession 54.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, USA won 0 times, Belgium won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:7 from USA's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.5%)
Predicted formations: USA 4-3-3 / Belgium 4-2-3-1
Missing players: USA 1, Belgium 0
H2H summary: USA wins 0, draws 0, Belgium wins 2
Last matches: USA
02.07.26
Wor
USA
Bosnia & Herzegovina
2
0
W
26.06.26
Wor
USA
Türkiye
2
3
L
19.06.26
Wor
USA
Australia
2
0
W
13.06.26
Wor
USA
Paraguay
4
1
W
06.06.26
Fri
USA
Germany
1
2
L
31.05.26
Fri
USA
Senegal
3
2
W
31.03.26
Fri
USA
Portugal
0
2
L
28.03.26
Fri
USA
Belgium
2
5
L
Last matches: Belgium
01.07.26
Wor
Belgium
Senegal
3
2
W
27.06.26
Wor
Belgium
New Zealand
5
1
W
21.06.26
Wor
Belgium
Iran
0
0
D
15.06.26
Wor
Belgium
Egypt
1
1
D
06.06.26
Fri
Belgium
Tunisia
5
0
W
02.06.26
Fri
Belgium
Croatia
2
0
W
01.04.26
Fri
Belgium
Mexico
1
1
D
28.03.26
Fri
Belgium
USA
5
2
W
18.11.25
Wor
Belgium
Liechtenstein
7
0
W
15.11.25
Wor
Belgium
Kazakhstan
1
1
D
13.10.25
Wor
Belgium
Wales
4
2
W
10.10.25
Wor
Belgium
FYR Macedonia
0
0
D
07.09.25
Wor
Belgium
Kazakhstan
6
0
W
04.09.25
Wor
Belgium
Liechtenstein
6
0
W
09.06.25
Wor
Belgium
Wales
4
3
W
06.06.25
Wor
Belgium
FYR Macedonia
1
1
D
23.03.25
UEF
Belgium
Ukraine
3
0
W
20.03.25
UEF
Belgium
Ukraine
1
3
L
17.11.24
UEF
Belgium
Israel
0
1
L
14.11.24
UEF
Belgium
Italy
0
1
L
H2H: USA vs Belgium
28.03.26
H2H
USA
Belgium
2
5
L
01.07.14
H2H
Belgium
USA
2
1
L
Last matches: USA
02.07.26
Wor
USA
Bosnia & Herzegovina
2
0
W
19.06.26
Wor
USA
Australia
2
0
W
13.06.26
Wor
USA
Paraguay
4
1
W
06.06.26
Fri
USA
Germany
1
2
L
31.05.26
Fri
USA
Senegal
3
2
W
31.03.26
Fri
USA
Portugal
0
2
L
28.03.26
Fri
USA
Belgium
2
5
L
H2H at home: USA
28.03.26
H2H
USA
Belgium
2
5
L
Last matches: Belgium
27.06.26
Wor
Belgium
New Zealand
5
1
W
02.06.26
Fri
Belgium
Croatia
2
0
W
01.04.26
Fri
Belgium
Mexico
1
1
D
28.03.26
Fri
Belgium
USA
5
2
W
15.11.25
Wor
Belgium
Kazakhstan
1
1
D
13.10.25
Wor
Belgium
Wales
4
2
W
04.09.25
Wor
Belgium
Liechtenstein
6
0
W
06.06.25
Wor
Belgium
FYR Macedonia
1
1
D
20.03.25
UEF
Belgium
Ukraine
1
3
L
17.11.24
UEF
Belgium
Israel
0
1
L
10.10.24
UEF
Belgium
Italy
2
2
D
09.09.24
UEF
Belgium
France
0
2
L
H2H away: Belgium
28.03.26
H2H
USA
Belgium
2
5
W

Standings

Group D
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
USA Home
3 2 0 1 8:4 4 6
W L W W
2 3 1 1 1 2:2 0 4
L D L W
3 3 1 1 1 2:4 -2 4
W D W L
4 3 1 0 2 3:5 -2 3
W L L
Round of 32

Missing Players

USA 1 missing
-
F. Balogun
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT
Belgium 0 missing
No missing players data