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15.08.2026 16:00
Uruguay Montevideo
Match Timeline
Atenas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
45+3'
F. Vigo
Atenas
🟥
83'
Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Montevideo
⚽
90+3'
Atenas
Atenas
⚽
90+6'
Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Montevideo

Uruguay Montevideo vs Atenas Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 50.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
50.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Uruguay Montevideo Win 50.3%
Draw 15.7%
Atenas Win 34.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Uruguay Montevideo1.2
Atenas1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Montevideo
WWDLW
22 GF / 22 GA
Atenas Atenas
WLDWL
28 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.16
Average Goals Scored
1.47
1.16
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
11
BTTS Yes
11
6
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Montevideo 19 matches
Atenas Atenas 19 matches
Uruguay Montevideo Statistic Atenas
6 Wins 9
6 Draws 2
7 Losses 8
22 Goals For 28
22 Goals Against 24
1.16 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
1.16 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
11 BTTS Yes 11
14 Over 1.5 14
6 Over 2.5 10
4 Over 3.5 6
4 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Uruguay Montevideo's more proactive style and Atenas's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Atenas. Atenas arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Uruguay Montevideo arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 9 points compared to Atenas in 12 on 4, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Atenas having the stronger overall control.

Uruguay Montevideo Analysis

Uruguay Montevideo are currently 6 in the standings with 9 points from 6 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, while the 7:5 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Atenas Analysis

Atenas sit 12 with 4 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 5:11, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Uruguay Montevideo won 5 times, Atenas won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:12 from Uruguay Montevideo's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.4%)
H2H summary: Uruguay Montevideo wins 5, draws 4, Atenas wins 6

Standings

1st Phase
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 8:5 3 13
L W W W D
2 6 3 3 0 9:2 7 12
W D D W W
3 6 3 2 1 13:7 6 11
W L W W D
4 6 2 4 0 9:6 3 10
D W W D D
5 6 2 3 1 8:5 3 9
D W D L D
6 6 2 3 1 7:5 2 9
D W L W D
7 6 2 3 1 6:5 1 9
D L W W D
8 6 2 3 1 8:8 0 9
D D L W D
9 6 1 4 1 5:6 -1 7
D L W D D
10 6 1 2 3 3:7 -4 5
D D L W L
11 6 1 1 4 4:7 -3 4
L D L L W
12 6 1 1 4 5:11 -6 4
L W L L L
13 6 1 1 4 6:13 -7 4
W L L L D
14 6 0 3 3 5:9 -4 3
D L L L D