JAPAN J1 LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Saitama Stadium
Referee: K. Nagamine
Urawa
Match Timeline
FC Tokyo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
Matheus Savio ↔ H. Abe
Urawa
🔄
46'
A. Onaiwu ↔ H. Komori
Urawa
🔄
62'
J. Hayakawa ↔ Y. Matsuo
Urawa
🔄
70'
K. Endo ↔ K. Tawaratsumida
FC Tokyo
🔄
70'
Marcelo Ryan ↔ T. Nakagawa
FC Tokyo
🔄
79'
T. Kaneko ↔ T. Sekine
Urawa
🔄
84'
K. Yasui ↔ S. Gustafson
Urawa
🔄
88'
K. Tokiwa ↔ T. Ko
FC Tokyo
🔄
88'
R. Sato ↔ F. Yamada
FC Tokyo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 67.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 69.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
67.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
69.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Urawa Win 32.1%
Draw 0%
FC Tokyo Win 67.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Urawa1.39
FC Tokyo1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
Urawa Urawa
WWDLW
29 GF / 19 GA
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo
WLDWL
32 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.61
Average Goals Scored
1.88
1.06
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
10
BTTS Yes
10
7
Over 2.5
10
4.44
Shots on Goal
5.56

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Urawa Urawa 18 matches
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 17 matches
Urawa Statistic FC Tokyo
9 Wins 10
3 Draws 5
6 Losses 2
29 Goals For 32
19 Goals Against 18
1.61 Avg Goals Scored 1.88
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
10 BTTS Yes 10
15 Over 1.5 15
7 Over 2.5 10
4 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 4
4.44 Shots On Goal 5.56
14.13 Total Shots 15.31
5.44 Corners 5
52.3% Ball Possession 53.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward FC Tokyo. FC Tokyo carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 35 points while Urawa sit 4 on 24, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Urawa expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and FC Tokyo in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Tokyo having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Urawa Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 24 points from 16 games, Urawa bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 7 wins, 0 draws, and 9 defeats plus a goal balance of 25:20, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by R. Hidano (4 goals), H. Komori (3 goals), R. Watanabe (3 goals), with creative support from Matheus Sávio (5 assists), J. Hayakawa (3 assists), I. Kiese (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

FC Tokyo Analysis

FC Tokyo come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 35 points after 16 matches. With 12 wins, 0 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 31:17, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by Kein Sato (5 goals), Marcelo Ryan (5 goals), Ryunosuke Sato (5 goals), with creative support from Kein Sato (4 assists), Marcelo Ryan (4 assists), K. Hashimoto (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Urawa won 3 times, FC Tokyo won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:19 from Urawa's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Urawa 4-2-3-1 / FC Tokyo 4-4-2
H2H summary: Urawa wins 3, draws 5, FC Tokyo wins 7
Stats
Urawa Urawa
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
11
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
3
6 Corner Kicks 7
6 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 1
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Goal 6
3 Shots off Goal 11
4 Blocked Shots 3
5 Shots insidebox 11
4 Shots outsidebox 9
6 Goalkeeper Saves 2
510 Total passes 410
423 Passes accurate 331
0.43 expected_goals 1.86
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Urawa
Formation
FC Tokyo
S. Nishikawa
S. Nishikawa
H. Ishihara
H. Ishihara
Y. Miyamoto
Y. Miyamoto
K. Nemoto
K. Nemoto
Y. Naganuma
Y. Naganuma
J. Hayakawa
J. Hayakawa
K. Yasui
K. Yasui
T. Kaneko
T. Kaneko
R. Watanabe
R. Watanabe
Matheus Savio
Matheus Savio
A. Onaiwu
A. Onaiwu
Kim Seung-Gyu
Kim Seung-Gyu
S. Muroya
S. Muroya
A. Scholz
A. Scholz
H. Inamura
H. Inamura
K. Hashimoto
K. Hashimoto
K. Sato
K. Sato
K. Hashimoto
K. Hashimoto
K. Tokiwa
K. Tokiwa
K. Endo
K. Endo
Marcelo Ryan
Marcelo Ryan
R. Sato
R. Sato
Urawa 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
S. Nishikawa
G
4
H. Ishihara
D
2
Y. Miyamoto
D
5
K. Nemoto
D
88
Y. Naganuma
D
39
J. Hayakawa
↓ 62'
M
25
K. Yasui
↓ 84'
M
77
T. Kaneko
↓ 79'
M
13
R. Watanabe
M
8
Matheus Savio
↓ 46'
M
45
A. Onaiwu
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
16
A. Niekawa
G
7
H. Abe
↑ 46'
F
3
Danilo Boza
D
24
Y. Matsuo
↑ 62'
M
17
H. Komori
↑ 46'
F
9
I. Kiese
F
11
S. Gustafson
↑ 84'
M
14
T. Sekine
↑ 79'
M
22
K. Shibato
M
FC Tokyo 4-4-2
Starting XI
81
Kim Seung-Gyu
G
2
S. Muroya
D
24
A. Scholz
D
17
H. Inamura
D
42
K. Hashimoto
D
16
K. Sato
M
18
K. Hashimoto
M
27
K. Tokiwa
↓ 88'
M
22
K. Endo
↓ 70'
M
9
Marcelo Ryan
↓ 70'
F
23
R. Sato
↓ 88'
F
Substitutes
1
H. Tanaka
G
5
Y. Nagatomo
D
3
M. Morishige
D
8
T. Ko
↑ 88'
M
71
F. Yamada
↑ 88'
M
33
K. Tawaratsumida
↑ 70'
M
39
T. Nakagawa
↑ 70'
F
15
R. Omori
D
28
L. Nozawa
F
Last matches: Urawa
06.06.26
J1
Urawa
Fagiano Okayama
0
2
L
31.05.26
J1
Urawa
Fagiano Okayama
1
1
D
22.05.26
J1
Urawa
Machida Zelvia
0
1
L
09.05.26
J1
Urawa
Mito Hollyhock
4
1
W
06.05.26
J1
Urawa
Kashiwa Reysol
1
0
W
02.05.26
J1
Urawa
JEF United Chiba
2
0
W
29.04.26
J1
Urawa
Kawasaki Frontale
2
0
W
25.04.26
J1
Urawa
Yokohama F. Marinos
2
3
L
18.04.26
J1
Urawa
Kashima
0
1
L
12.04.26
J1
Urawa
Tokyo Verdy
1
1
D
05.04.26
J1
Urawa
Kawasaki Frontale
2
3
L
22.03.26
J1
Urawa
Machida Zelvia
1
2
L
18.03.26
J1
Urawa
Kashiwa Reysol
1
1
D
14.03.26
J1
Urawa
Tokyo Verdy
0
1
L
07.03.26
J1
Urawa
Mito Hollyhock
2
0
W
28.02.26
J1
Urawa
Kashima
2
3
L
21.02.26
J1
Urawa
Yokohama F. Marinos
2
0
W
14.02.26
J1
Urawa
FC Tokyo
1
1
D
07.02.26
J1
Urawa
JEF United Chiba
2
0
W
20.01.26
Fri
Urawa
Kyoto Sanga
2
1
W
Last matches: FC Tokyo
06.06.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
1
3
L
30.05.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
2
2
D
23.05.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Kashima
0
1
L
10.05.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Tokyo Verdy
2
1
W
06.05.26
J1
FC Tokyo
JEF United Chiba
0
3
L
02.05.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Kawasaki Frontale
2
0
W
29.04.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Kashiwa Reysol
3
1
W
24.04.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Mito Hollyhock
5
2
W
11.04.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Yokohama F. Marinos
3
1
W
05.04.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Machida Zelvia
0
0
D
01.04.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Machida Zelvia
3
0
W
22.03.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Tokyo Verdy
0
0
D
18.03.26
J1
FC Tokyo
JEF United Chiba
2
1
W
14.03.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Mito Hollyhock
1
1
D
07.03.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Yokohama F. Marinos
3
0
W
28.02.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Kashiwa Reysol
0
2
L
21.02.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Kawasaki Frontale
2
1
W
14.02.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Urawa
1
1
D
07.02.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Kashima
1
1
D
18.01.26
Fri
FC Tokyo
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4
3
W
H2H: Urawa vs FC Tokyo
16.05.26
H2H
Urawa
FC Tokyo
0
0
D
14.02.26
H2H
FC Tokyo
Urawa
1
1
D
27.08.25
H2H
FC Tokyo
Urawa
2
1
L
19.07.25
H2H
FC Tokyo
Urawa
3
2
L
17.05.25
H2H
Urawa
FC Tokyo
3
2
W
21.09.24
H2H
Urawa
FC Tokyo
0
2
L
03.04.24
H2H
FC Tokyo
Urawa
2
1
L
08.07.23
H2H
Urawa
FC Tokyo
0
0
D
18.02.23
H2H
FC Tokyo
Urawa
2
0
L
10.07.22
H2H
Urawa
FC Tokyo
3
0
W
10.04.22
H2H
FC Tokyo
Urawa
0
0
D
25.09.21
H2H
FC Tokyo
Urawa
1
2
W
27.02.21
H2H
Urawa
FC Tokyo
1
1
D
30.09.20
H2H
Urawa
FC Tokyo
0
1
L
18.07.20
H2H
FC Tokyo
Urawa
2
0
L
Last matches: Urawa
06.06.26
J1
Urawa
Fagiano Okayama
0
2
L
02.05.26
J1
Urawa
JEF United Chiba
2
0
W
29.04.26
J1
Urawa
Kawasaki Frontale
2
0
W
25.04.26
J1
Urawa
Yokohama F. Marinos
2
3
L
12.04.26
J1
Urawa
Tokyo Verdy
1
1
D
22.03.26
J1
Urawa
Machida Zelvia
1
2
L
18.03.26
J1
Urawa
Kashiwa Reysol
1
1
D
07.03.26
J1
Urawa
Mito Hollyhock
2
0
W
28.02.26
J1
Urawa
Kashima
2
3
L
20.01.26
Fri
Urawa
Kyoto Sanga
2
1
W
16.01.26
Fri
Urawa
Consadole Sapporo
2
1
W
H2H at home: Urawa
16.05.26
H2H
Urawa
FC Tokyo
0
0
D
17.05.25
H2H
Urawa
FC Tokyo
3
2
W
21.09.24
H2H
Urawa
FC Tokyo
0
2
L
08.07.23
H2H
Urawa
FC Tokyo
0
0
D
10.07.22
H2H
Urawa
FC Tokyo
3
0
W
27.02.21
H2H
Urawa
FC Tokyo
1
1
D
30.09.20
H2H
Urawa
FC Tokyo
0
1
L
Last matches: FC Tokyo
30.05.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
2
2
D
23.05.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Kashima
0
1
L
29.04.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Kashiwa Reysol
3
1
W
11.04.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Yokohama F. Marinos
3
1
W
01.04.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Machida Zelvia
3
0
W
22.03.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Tokyo Verdy
0
0
D
18.03.26
J1
FC Tokyo
JEF United Chiba
2
1
W
14.03.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Mito Hollyhock
1
1
D
21.02.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Kawasaki Frontale
2
1
W
H2H away: FC Tokyo
16.05.26
H2H
Urawa
FC Tokyo
0
0
D
17.05.25
H2H
Urawa
FC Tokyo
3
2
L
21.09.24
H2H
Urawa
FC Tokyo
0
2
W
08.07.23
H2H
Urawa
FC Tokyo
0
0
D
10.07.22
H2H
Urawa
FC Tokyo
3
0
L
27.02.21
H2H
Urawa
FC Tokyo
1
1
D
30.09.20
H2H
Urawa
FC Tokyo
0
1
W

Standings

East
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 15 0 3 31:11 20 45
?
2 18 13 0 5 32:18 14 37
?
3 18 13 0 5 28:22 6 37
?
4 18 10 0 8 26:28 -2 28
?
5 18 10 0 8 22:26 -4 28
?
6
Urawa Home
18 7 0 11 25:22 3 25
?
7 18 6 0 12 28:31 -3 20
?
8 18 7 0 11 22:24 -2 20
?
9 18 6 0 12 23:39 -16 18
?
10 18 3 0 15 18:34 -16 12
?
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)