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02.10.2026 23:00
Municipal de Collao
Referee: Matias Assadi, Chile
Universidad de Concepcion
Match Timeline
Huachipato
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
18'
Harold Antiñirre
Huachipato
⚽
28'
S. Nunez
Huachipato
🟨
46'
Cristhofer Mesías
Universidad de Concepcion
🟥
46'
Cristhofer Mesías
Universidad de Concepcion
🟨
53'
Tomás Roco
Universidad de Concepcion
🔄
58'
T. Roco ↔ H. Salgado
Universidad de Concepcion
🔄
58'
M. Gonzalez ↔ D. Retamal
Universidad de Concepcion
🔄
67'
S. Nunez ↔ L. Altamirano
Huachipato
🔄
67'
K. Altez ↔ E. Canete
Huachipato
🟨
68'
Yerco Oyanedel
Universidad de Concepcion
🔄
72'
B. Ogaz ↔ F. Mater
Universidad de Concepcion
🔄
72'
R. Funes Mori ↔ I. Gonzalez
Universidad de Concepcion
🟨
76'
Harold Antiñirre
Huachipato
🔄
79'
L. Rojas ↔ D. Sabando
Universidad de Concepcion
🔄
79'
M. Rodriguez ↔ C. Martinez
Huachipato
🔄
79'
M. A. Leon Munoz ↔ J. Carcamo
Huachipato
🟥
87'
Osvaldo González
Universidad de Concepcion
⚽
90'
L. Altamirano · Assist: M. Briceno
Huachipato
🔄
90+2'
H. Antinirre ↔ C. G. Torres Gaete
Huachipato
🟨
90'
Facundo Mater
Universidad de Concepcion

Universidad de Concepcion vs Huachipato Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 70.5%
Odds 1.28
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.84
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
70.5%
1.28 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.84 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
67.8%
1.41 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.25 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Universidad de Concepcion Win 47.7%
Draw 22.8%
Huachipato Win 29.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Universidad de Concepcion1.19
Huachipato1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
Universidad de Concepcion Universidad de Concepcion
WWDLW
25 GF / 49 GA
Huachipato Huachipato
WLDWL
38 GF / 51 GA
Key Stats
0.89
Average Goals Scored
1.23
1.75
Average Goals Conceded
1.65
14
BTTS Yes
15
15
Over 2.5
18
3.95
Shots on Goal
4.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Universidad de Concepcion Universidad de Concepcion 28 matches
Huachipato Huachipato 31 matches
Universidad de Concepcion Statistic Huachipato
7 Wins 10
5 Draws 5
16 Losses 16
25 Goals For 38
49 Goals Against 51
0.89 Avg Goals Scored 1.23
1.75 Avg Goals Conceded 1.65
14 BTTS Yes 15
19 Over 1.5 24
15 Over 2.5 18
7 Over 3.5 10
6 Clean Sheets 8
9 Failed To Score 11
3.95 Shots On Goal 4.17
12.14 Total Shots 11.25
4.95 Corners 3.63
48.5% Ball Possession 44.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Huachipato. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Universidad de Concepcion expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Huachipato in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Huachipato having the stronger overall control.

Universidad de Concepcion Analysis

Universidad de Concepcion sit 14 with 22 points after 21 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 4 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 16:35 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on C. Waterman (4 goals), J. Fuentealba (2 goals), L. Rojas (2 goals), with creative support from Y. Oyanedel (2 assists), Agustín Urzi (2 assists), B. Ogaz (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Huachipato Analysis

Huachipato approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 24 points from 20 matches. The overall return of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 10 defeats with a 29:39 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Lionel Altamirano (6 goals), Maximiliano Gutiérrez (3 goals), Mario Briceño (2 goals), with creative support from Mario Briceño (3 assists), Nelson Guillermo Guaiquil (2 assists), Maximiliano Rodríguez (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Universidad de Concepcion won 1 times, Huachipato won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:12 from Universidad de Concepcion's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.2%)
Predicted formations: Universidad de Concepcion 5-3-2 / Huachipato 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Universidad de Concepcion wins 1, draws 2, Huachipato wins 4

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 17 3 3 48:22 26 54
D D W W D
2 23 13 3 7 50:33 17 42
W W W W L
3 23 12 6 5 35:19 16 42
W W L L W
4 23 10 6 7 37:25 12 36
W L W W D
5 23 11 3 9 36:33 3 36
L W L W W
6 23 10 3 10 43:35 8 33
L W W L W
7 23 8 8 7 28:31 -3 32
L L L L W
8 23 9 4 10 25:26 -1 31
D L W D W
9 23 7 9 7 34:38 -4 30
L W W D W
10 22 8 5 9 31:31 0 29
L L L W L
11 23 7 7 9 26:31 -5 28
W W L D D
12 22 8 4 10 31:39 -8 28
W W D L L
13 23 8 3 12 28:36 -8 27
L W L L D
14 23 7 3 13 34:44 -10 24
W L W D L
15 23 6 4 13 17:39 -22 22
L L L W L
16 23 4 5 14 19:40 -21 17
W L L D L