Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
71.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Universidad de Concepcion
D. La Serena
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Universidad de Concepcion
23 matches
D. La Serena
25 matches
| Universidad de Concepcion | Statistic | D. La Serena |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 6 |
| 5 | Draws | 9 |
| 12 | Losses | 10 |
| 21 | Goals For | 35 |
| 40 | Goals Against | 44 |
| 0.91 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.4 |
| 1.74 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.76 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 4.06 |
| 12.88 | Total Shots | 11 |
| 5.06 | Corners | 4.17 |
| 50.3% | Ball Possession | 47.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Universidad de Concepcion expected to line up in 4-3-3 and D. La Serena in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward D. La Serena having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors D. La Serena. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Universidad de Concepcion approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 19 points from 16 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 13:27, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Cecilio Waterman (3 goals), Jeison Fuentealba (1 goals), Osvaldo González (1 goals), with creative support from Yerco Oyanedel (2 assists), Agustín Urzi (2 assists), Bryan Ogaz (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, D. La Serena have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 19 points from 17 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, while the 25:30 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Jeisson Vargas (4 goals), Felipe Chamorro (2 goals), Diego Rubio (2 goals), with creative support from Jeisson Vargas (4 assists), Felipe Chamorro (1 assists), Bruno Gutiérrez (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Universidad de Concepcion won 4 times, D. La Serena won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:12 from Universidad de Concepcion's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.
Universidad de Concepcion
5
4
6
5
3
2
Lineups
Universidad de Concepcion
Concepción
Universidad de Concepcion
Curico Unido
Universidad de Concepcion
A. Italiano
Universidad de Concepcion
Rangers de Talca
Universidad de Concepcion
Nublense
Universidad de Concepcion
Curico Unido
Universidad de Concepcion
Nublense
Universidad de Concepcion
Rangers de Talca
Universidad de Concepcion
U. Catolica
Universidad de Concepcion
Union La Calera
Universidad de Concepcion
Nublense
Universidad de Concepcion
O'Higgins
Universidad de Concepcion
Colo Colo
Universidad de Concepcion
Deportes Limache
Universidad de Concepcion
Cobresal
Universidad de Concepcion
Huachipato
Universidad de Concepcion
Palestino
Universidad de Concepcion
Universidad de Chile
Universidad de Concepcion
Everton de Vina
Universidad de Concepcion
D. La Serena
D. La Serena
Coquimbo Unido
D. La Serena
O'Higgins
D. La Serena
U. Catolica
D. La Serena
Cobreloa
D. La Serena
Antofagasta
D. La Serena
Cobresal
D. La Serena
Cobreloa
D. La Serena
Cobresal
D. La Serena
Antofagasta
D. La Serena
A. Italiano
D. La Serena
Colo Colo
D. La Serena
Deportes Limache
D. La Serena
Palestino
D. La Serena
Huachipato
D. La Serena
Concepción
D. La Serena
Everton de Vina
D. La Serena
Universidad de Chile
D. La Serena
Nublense
D. La Serena
Union La Calera
D. La Serena
Cobresal
Universidad de Concepcion
Curico Unido
Universidad de Concepcion
A. Italiano
Universidad de Concepcion
Rangers de Talca
Universidad de Concepcion
Nublense
Universidad de Concepcion
Union La Calera
Universidad de Concepcion
Colo Colo
Universidad de Concepcion
Cobresal
Universidad de Concepcion
Palestino
Universidad de Concepcion
Everton de Vina
Universidad de Concepcion
Concepción
Universidad de Concepcion
Coquimbo Unido
Universidad de Concepcion
Deportes Santa Cruz
Universidad de Concepcion
Curico Unido
Universidad de Concepcion
Nublense
Universidad de Concepcion
Linares Unido
Universidad de Concepcion
Magallanes
Universidad de Concepcion
Deportes Temuco
Universidad de Concepcion
Rangers de Talca
Universidad de Concepcion
Fernández Vial
Universidad de Concepcion
Magallanes
D. La Serena
Coquimbo Unido
D. La Serena
U. Catolica
D. La Serena
Cobreloa
D. La Serena
Cobresal
D. La Serena
Antofagasta
D. La Serena
A. Italiano
D. La Serena
Palestino
D. La Serena
Concepción
D. La Serena
Universidad de Chile
D. La Serena
Nublense
D. La Serena
Cobresal
D. La Serena
O'Higgins
D. La Serena
Deportes Limache
D. La Serena
Santiago Wanderers
D. La Serena
San Luis
D. La Serena
San Marcos de Arica
D. La Serena
Coquimbo Unido
D. La Serena
Cobresal
D. La Serena
Trasandino
D. La Serena
Coquimbo Unido
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 40:19 | 21 | 46 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 26:13 | 13 | 36 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 26:23 | 3 | 32 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 41:28 | 13 | 30 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 31:27 | 4 | 30 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 38:31 | 7 | 27 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 28:22 | 6 | 27 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 22:23 | -1 | 26 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24:21 | 3 | 25 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 24 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29:39 | -10 | 24 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 12 |
D. La Serena
Away
|
19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 28:31 | -3 | 23 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
| 13 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 23:26 | -3 | 22 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 13:30 | -17 | 19 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 26:36 | -10 | 17 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17:37 | -20 | 14 |
D
L
L
L
D
|