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11.10.2026 20:00

Universidad Catolica vs Macara Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
86.2%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Universidad Catolica Win 58.9%
Draw 7.9%
Macara Win 33.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Universidad Catolica1.47
Macara1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica
WWDLW
57 GF / 36 GA
Macara Macara
WLDWL
45 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.68
Average Goals Scored
1.36
1.06
Average Goals Conceded
1.15
19
BTTS Yes
18
17
Over 2.5
18
4.82
Shots on Goal
4.81

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica 34 matches
Macara Macara 33 matches
Universidad Catolica Statistic Macara
15 Wins 16
9 Draws 6
10 Losses 11
57 Goals For 45
36 Goals Against 38
1.68 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 1.15
19 BTTS Yes 18
25 Over 1.5 25
17 Over 2.5 18
10 Over 3.5 5
12 Clean Sheets 10
5 Failed To Score 7
4.82 Shots On Goal 4.81
14.36 Total Shots 13.19
4.58 Corners 4.55
58.3% Ball Possession 48%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Macara. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Universidad Catolica Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 51 points from 30 games, Universidad Catolica bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 14 wins, 9 draws, and 7 defeats, together with goals at 51:27, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through J. Fajardo (10 goals), D. Clavijo (5 goals), M. Alonso (5 goals), with creative support from M. Díaz (10 assists), J. Fajardo (3 assists), D. Clavijo (3 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, the split of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Macara Analysis

Macara approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 51 points after 30 outings. With 15 wins, 6 draws, and 9 defeats plus a goal balance of 41:33, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Franco Posse (10 goals), Agustin Campana (9 goals), Martin Tello (3 goals), with creative support from Franco Posse (5 assists), Matías Miranda (3 assists), Jose Klinger (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.1%)
Predicted formations: Universidad Catolica 4-2-3-1 / Macara 4-2-3-1

Standings

Liga Pro: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 24 2 4 73:33 40 74
W W L D W
2 30 14 9 7 51:27 24 51
W W D D W
3 30 15 6 9 41:33 8 51
W L W W L
4 30 14 8 8 33:28 5 50
D D D W W
5 30 13 7 10 31:24 7 46
D W D L W
6 30 11 11 8 32:25 7 44
D D W L W
7 30 11 8 11 33:34 -1 41
L W D L W
8 30 10 9 11 31:32 -1 39
L D W L L
9 30 10 9 11 33:36 -3 39
W L L W W
10 30 10 9 11 25:34 -9 39
L W D W L
11 30 9 11 10 35:38 -3 38
L D D W D
12 30 10 6 14 25:37 -12 36
D L W L D
13 30 9 6 15 36:47 -11 33
L W L L L
14 30 10 2 18 28:42 -14 32
W L L W L
15 30 7 7 16 19:31 -12 28
D L W L L
16 30 5 6 19 17:42 -25 21
D L L W L
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