COLOMBIA › PRIMERA B
11.10.2026 22:00
Estadio Sierra Nevada

Union Magdalena vs Leones FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Union Magdalena Win 53.5%
Draw 9.4%
Leones FC Win 37.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Union Magdalena1.49
Leones FC0.75
Recent Form (Last 5)
Union Magdalena Union Magdalena
WWDLW
45 GF / 31 GA
Leones FC Leones FC
WLDWL
15 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
1.41
Average Goals Scored
0.6
0.97
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
18
BTTS Yes
10
14
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 32 matches
Leones FC Leones FC 25 matches
Union Magdalena Statistic Leones FC
15 Wins 4
8 Draws 7
9 Losses 14
45 Goals For 15
31 Goals Against 40
1.41 Avg Goals Scored 0.6
0.97 Avg Goals Conceded 1.6
18 BTTS Yes 10
25 Over 1.5 16
14 Over 2.5 10
6 Over 3.5 3
9 Clean Sheets 6
8 Failed To Score 12
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Union Magdalena's more proactive style and Leones FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Leones FC. Leones FC arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Leones FC having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Union Magdalena arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 49 points compared to Leones FC in 16 on 19, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Union Magdalena Analysis

Union Magdalena arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 49 points after 30 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses, while the 41:29 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Leones FC Analysis

Leones FC sit 16 with 19 points after 25 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 14 defeats with a 15:40 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.6%)

Standings

Primera B: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 17 8 7 40:28 12 59
L W W W L
2 34 15 11 8 46:31 15 56
D D W D D
3 34 15 10 9 53:39 14 55
L D D L W
4 31 15 9 7 32:21 11 54
W L L D D
5 31 15 7 9 44:30 14 52
W D W L L
6 32 12 9 11 32:26 6 45
W D W D W
7 26 11 9 6 28:20 8 42
W W L W D
8 32 9 11 12 28:35 -7 38
D L W D L
9 26 9 9 8 33:29 4 36
W W W W W
10 26 9 7 10 30:34 -4 34
L L L W W
11 31 9 7 15 36:42 -6 34
L L L L W
12 25 7 9 9 32:33 -1 30
W W W W D
13 25 6 9 10 20:27 -7 27
D L D L L
14 26 5 8 13 25:40 -15 23
L L L W W
15 26 3 10 13 22:41 -19 19
L D D L D
16 25 4 7 14 15:40 -25 19
L L D L L
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)