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27.07.2026 23:00
Municipal Nicolas Chahuan
Referee: Matias Assadi, Chile
Union La Calera
Match Timeline
Everton de Vina
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
27'
Nicolás Montiel
Everton de Vina
🟨
35'
Hugo Magallanes
Everton de Vina
🟨
45+2'
Juan Salomoni
Union La Calera
⚽
52'
N. Montiel
Everton de Vina
🟨
54'
Nicolás Palma
Union La Calera
🔄
59'
N. Palma ↔ F. Pozzo
Union La Calera
🟨
63'
Carlo Villanueva
Union La Calera
🔄
68'
N. Montiel ↔ C. Palacios
Everton de Vina
🔄
69'
Y. W. Andia Leon ↔ Y. Leiva
Union La Calera
🔄
69'
J. Ovalle ↔ G. Charrupi
Everton de Vina
🔄
74'
B. Berrios ↔ A. Arroyo
Everton de Vina
🔄
74'
B. Martinez ↔ E. M. Ramos Aviles
Everton de Vina
🔄
84'
C. Villanueva ↔ J. Cruz
Union La Calera
🔄
84'
B. Oyarzo Munoz ↔ A. Encinas
Union La Calera
🔄
84'
C. Moya ↔ R. Perez
Union La Calera
🔄
89'
L. Soto ↔ R. Gonzalez
Everton de Vina
🟨
90'
Andrés Arroyo
Everton de Vina
⚽
90'
F. Pozzo · Assist: C. Diaz
Union La Calera

Union La Calera vs Everton de Vina Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 63.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
63.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Union La Calera Win 28.7%
Draw 7.7%
Everton de Vina Win 63.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Union La Calera1.3
Everton de Vina1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Union La Calera Union La Calera
WWDLW
27 GF / 29 GA
Everton de Vina Everton de Vina
WLDWL
29 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.35
Average Goals Scored
1.32
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
1.23
9
BTTS Yes
10
12
Over 2.5
12
3.53
Shots on Goal
4.13

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Union La Calera Union La Calera 20 matches
Everton de Vina Everton de Vina 22 matches
Union La Calera Statistic Everton de Vina
7 Wins 8
5 Draws 6
8 Losses 8
27 Goals For 29
29 Goals Against 27
1.35 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.23
9 BTTS Yes 10
14 Over 1.5 15
12 Over 2.5 12
7 Over 3.5 7
6 Clean Sheets 7
6 Failed To Score 7
3.53 Shots On Goal 4.13
10.73 Total Shots 11.67
5.53 Corners 4.87
51.3% Ball Possession 47.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Everton de Vina's more proactive style and Union La Calera's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Everton de Vina having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Everton de Vina. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Union La Calera have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Everton de Vina carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 22 points while Union La Calera sit 16 on 12, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Union La Calera Analysis

Union La Calera approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 12 points from 15 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 14:28 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on S. Saez (8 goals), K. Mendez (4 goals), M. Campos (2 goals), with creative support from K. Mendez (6 assists), S. Saez (1 assists), C. Diaz (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Everton de Vina Analysis

Everton de Vina are currently 7 in the standings with 22 points from 15 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, while the 19:15 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Alan Medina (3 goals), C. Palacios (3 goals), L. Soto (3 goals), with creative support from Braian Martínez (2 assists), Emiliano Ramos (2 assists), Alan Medina (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Union La Calera won 10 times, Everton de Vina won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:10 from Union La Calera's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.4%)
Predicted formations: Union La Calera 4-3-1-2 / Everton de Vina 4-4-2
H2H summary: Union La Calera wins 10, draws 3, Everton de Vina wins 2

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 17 3 3 48:22 26 54
D D W W D
2 23 13 3 7 50:33 17 42
W W W W L
3 23 12 6 5 35:19 16 42
W W L L W
4 23 10 6 7 37:25 12 36
W L W W D
5 23 11 3 9 36:33 3 36
L W L W W
6 23 10 3 10 43:35 8 33
L W W L W
7 23 8 8 7 28:31 -3 32
L L L L W
8 23 9 4 10 25:26 -1 31
D L W D W
9 23 9 4 10 33:39 -6 31
W W W D L
10 23 7 9 7 34:38 -4 30
L W W D W
11 22 8 5 9 31:31 0 29
L L L W L
12 23 7 7 9 26:31 -5 28
W W L D D
13 24 8 3 13 28:38 -10 27
L L W L L
14 24 7 4 13 35:45 -10 25
D W L W D
15 24 6 5 13 18:40 -22 23
D L L L W
16 23 4 5 14 19:40 -21 17
W L L D L