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14.09.2026 23:30
Municipal Nicolas Chahuan
Referee: Juan Ignacio Lara Luco, Chile
Union La Calera
Match Timeline
Deportes Limache
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
16'
B. Ferreyra · Assist: K. Mendez
Union La Calera
🟨
19'
Tiago Galletto
Deportes Limache
🟨
29'
Christopher Díaz
Union La Calera
🟨
43'
Kevin Méndez
Union La Calera
🟨
58'
Misael Llantén
Deportes Limache
🔄
59'
M. Llanten ↔ H. Martinez
Deportes Limache
🔄
65'
M. Hiriart ↔ B. Oyarzo Munoz
Union La Calera
🟨
70'
Leonardo Valencia
Deportes Limache
🔄
71'
C. Moya ↔ Y. W. Andia Leon
Union La Calera
🔄
71'
B. Ferreyra ↔ M. Campos
Union La Calera
🔄
73'
M. Arturia ↔ G. Sosa
Deportes Limache
🔄
73'
T. Galletto ↔ V. Alvarez
Deportes Limache
🔄
88'
J. Rojas ↔ M. Flores
Deportes Limache
🔄
88'
L. Valencia Rossel ↔ V. Carcamo
Deportes Limache
🟨
90+3'
Daniel Castro
Deportes Limache
🟨
90+3'
Rodrigo Pérez
Union La Calera
🔄
90+4'
S. Saez ↔ J. Cruz
Union La Calera

Union La Calera vs Deportes Limache Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 54.2%
Odds 2.66
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.74
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
54.2%
2.66 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.57 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.74 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.19 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Union La Calera Win 28.3%
Draw 17.6%
Deportes Limache Win 54.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Union La Calera1.39
Deportes Limache1.74
Recent Form (Last 5)
Union La Calera Union La Calera
WWDLW
35 GF / 41 GA
Deportes Limache Deportes Limache
WLDWL
54 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.93
1.46
Average Goals Conceded
1.61
13
BTTS Yes
19
17
Over 2.5
21
3.64
Shots on Goal
5.14

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Union La Calera Union La Calera 28 matches
Deportes Limache Deportes Limache 28 matches
Union La Calera Statistic Deportes Limache
8 Wins 12
7 Draws 5
13 Losses 11
35 Goals For 54
41 Goals Against 45
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.93
1.46 Avg Goals Conceded 1.61
13 BTTS Yes 19
20 Over 1.5 26
17 Over 2.5 21
9 Over 3.5 16
8 Clean Sheets 5
9 Failed To Score 4
3.64 Shots On Goal 5.14
10.68 Total Shots 12.45
5.55 Corners 4.23
50.4% Ball Possession 45.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Deportes Limache's more proactive style and Union La Calera's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Union La Calera have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Deportes Limache. Deportes Limache carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 30 points while Union La Calera sit 16 on 14, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Union La Calera Analysis

With 14 points from 22 games and a place of 16, Union La Calera still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 14 losses, together with goals at 18:40, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through S. Sáez (4 goals), K. Méndez (3 goals), F. Pozzo (2 goals), with creative support from K. Méndez (5 assists), Christopher Díaz (3 assists), N. Avellaneda (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportes Limache Analysis

From their first 21 matches, Deportes Limache have collected 30 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Their overall return of 9 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 40:34 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by D. Castro (5 goals), G. Sosa (4 goals), J. Meneses (2 goals), with creative support from D. Castro (4 assists), J. Meneses (3 assists), C. Pinares (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Union La Calera won 1 times, Deportes Limache won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:5 from Union La Calera's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.4%)
Predicted formations: Union La Calera 4-1-4-1 / Deportes Limache 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Union La Calera wins 1, draws 0, Deportes Limache wins 2

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 17 3 3 48:22 26 54
D D W W D
2 23 13 3 7 50:33 17 42
W W W W L
3 23 12 6 5 35:19 16 42
W W L L W
4 23 10 6 7 37:25 12 36
W L W W D
5 23 11 3 9 36:33 3 36
L W L W W
6 23 10 3 10 43:35 8 33
L W W L W
7 23 8 8 7 28:31 -3 32
L L L L W
8 23 9 4 10 25:26 -1 31
D L W D W
9 23 7 9 7 34:38 -4 30
L W W D W
10 22 8 5 9 31:31 0 29
L L L W L
11 23 7 7 9 26:31 -5 28
W W L D D
12 22 8 4 10 31:39 -8 28
W W D L L
13 23 8 3 12 28:36 -8 27
L W L L D
14 23 7 3 13 34:44 -10 24
W L W D L
15 23 6 4 13 17:39 -22 22
L L L W L
16 23 4 5 14 19:40 -21 17
W L L D L