Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Union La Calera Win 0%
Draw 0%
D. La Serena Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Union La Calera1.51
D. La Serena1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
Union La Calera
WWDLW
27 GF / 29 GA
D. La Serena
WLDWL
30 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.35
Average Goals Scored
1.43
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
1.76
9
BTTS Yes
12
12
Over 2.5
12
3.13
Shots on Goal
4
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Union La Calera
20 matches
D. La Serena
21 matches
| Union La Calera | Statistic | D. La Serena |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 6 |
| 5 | Draws | 7 |
| 8 | Losses | 8 |
| 27 | Goals For | 30 |
| 29 | Goals Against | 37 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.43 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.76 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 3.13 | Shots On Goal | 4 |
| 9.73 | Total Shots | 10.6 |
| 5.2 | Corners | 4.13 |
| 48.1% | Ball Possession | 48.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Union La Calera won 5 times, D. La Serena won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:13 from Union La Calera's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.55 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Union La Calera 4-3-1-2 / D. La Serena -
H2H summary: Union La Calera wins 5, draws 2, D. La Serena wins 4
Last matches: Union La Calera
04.07.26
Cop
Union La Calera
Union San Felipe
1
1
D
02.07.26
Cop
Union La Calera
Universidad de Chile
1
0
W
28.06.26
Cop
Union La Calera
Santiago Wanderers
4
0
W
24.06.26
Cop
Union La Calera
Universidad de Chile
3
3
D
21.06.26
Cop
Union La Calera
Union San Felipe
0
2
L
14.06.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Universidad de Chile
2
2
D
30.05.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Universidad de Concepcion
0
0
D
24.05.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Palestino
1
2
L
17.05.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Huachipato
1
3
L
24.04.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Coquimbo Unido
1
2
L
21.04.26
Pri
Union La Calera
U. Catolica
2
1
W
14.04.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Concepción
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Deportes Limache
0
4
L
16.03.26
Pri
Union La Calera
O'Higgins
3
3
D
06.03.26
Pri
Union La Calera
D. La Serena
0
3
L
27.02.26
Pri
Union La Calera
A. Italiano
3
0
W
20.02.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Nublense
0
1
L
15.02.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Colo Colo
0
1
L
09.02.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Cobresal
3
1
W
02.02.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Everton de Vina
1
0
W
Last matches: D. La Serena
05.07.26
Cop
D. La Serena
Antofagasta
2
4
L
01.07.26
Cop
D. La Serena
Cobresal
1
0
W
28.06.26
Cop
D. La Serena
Cobreloa
2
1
W
24.06.26
Cop
D. La Serena
Cobresal
0
0
D
21.06.26
Cop
D. La Serena
Antofagasta
2
4
L
13.06.26
Pri
D. La Serena
A. Italiano
1
1
D
30.05.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Colo Colo
2
4
L
24.05.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Deportes Limache
4
1
W
16.05.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Palestino
1
5
L
26.04.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Huachipato
0
0
D
19.04.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Concepción
3
3
D
11.04.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Everton de Vina
1
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Universidad de Chile
0
4
L
15.03.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Nublense
2
2
D
06.03.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Union La Calera
3
0
W
27.02.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Cobresal
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Universidad de Concepcion
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Coquimbo Unido
0
1
L
07.02.26
Pri
D. La Serena
O'Higgins
0
1
L
01.02.26
Pri
D. La Serena
U. Catolica
2
2
D
H2H: Union La Calera vs D. La Serena
07.06.26
H2H
D. La Serena
Union La Calera
0
2
W
28.03.26
H2H
Union La Calera
D. La Serena
2
1
W
06.03.26
H2H
D. La Serena
Union La Calera
3
0
L
16.08.25
H2H
Union La Calera
D. La Serena
1
1
D
16.03.25
H2H
D. La Serena
Union La Calera
1
0
L
30.10.22
H2H
D. La Serena
Union La Calera
2
1
L
22.05.22
H2H
Union La Calera
D. La Serena
1
1
D
28.11.21
H2H
Union La Calera
D. La Serena
1
2
L
14.08.21
H2H
D. La Serena
Union La Calera
1
2
W
15.01.21
H2H
D. La Serena
Union La Calera
0
3
W
14.02.20
H2H
Union La Calera
D. La Serena
2
1
W
Last matches: Union La Calera
28.06.26
Cop
Union La Calera
Santiago Wanderers
4
0
W
24.06.26
Cop
Union La Calera
Universidad de Chile
3
3
D
21.06.26
Cop
Union La Calera
Union San Felipe
0
2
L
14.06.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Universidad de Chile
2
2
D
24.05.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Palestino
1
2
L
24.04.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Coquimbo Unido
1
2
L
14.04.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Concepción
1
0
W
16.03.26
Pri
Union La Calera
O'Higgins
3
3
D
27.02.26
Pri
Union La Calera
A. Italiano
3
0
W
20.02.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Nublense
0
1
L
09.02.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Cobresal
3
1
W
H2H at home: Union La Calera
28.03.26
H2H
Union La Calera
D. La Serena
2
1
W
16.08.25
H2H
Union La Calera
D. La Serena
1
1
D
22.05.22
H2H
Union La Calera
D. La Serena
1
1
D
28.11.21
H2H
Union La Calera
D. La Serena
1
2
L
14.02.20
H2H
Union La Calera
D. La Serena
2
1
W
Last matches: D. La Serena
01.07.26
Cop
D. La Serena
Cobresal
1
0
W
21.06.26
Cop
D. La Serena
Antofagasta
2
4
L
13.06.26
Pri
D. La Serena
A. Italiano
1
1
D
16.05.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Palestino
1
5
L
19.04.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Concepción
3
3
D
05.04.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Universidad de Chile
0
4
L
15.03.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Nublense
2
2
D
27.02.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Cobresal
1
0
W
07.02.26
Pri
D. La Serena
O'Higgins
0
1
L
H2H away: D. La Serena
28.03.26
H2H
Union La Calera
D. La Serena
2
1
L
16.08.25
H2H
Union La Calera
D. La Serena
1
1
D
22.05.22
H2H
Union La Calera
D. La Serena
1
1
D
28.11.21
H2H
Union La Calera
D. La Serena
1
2
W
14.02.20
H2H
Union La Calera
D. La Serena
2
1
L
Standings
Primera
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 29:12 | 17 | 36 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 35:20 | 15 | 26 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 17:10 | 7 | 24 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 24 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23:21 | 2 | 24 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23:22 | 1 | 23 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19:15 | 4 | 22 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 30:23 | 7 | 21 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19:22 | -3 | 20 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 13:26 | -13 | 19 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 12 |
D. La Serena
Away
|
15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21:25 | -4 | 18 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
| 13 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18:21 | -3 | 16 |
D
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 14:23 | -9 | 14 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 19:29 | -10 | 13 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 |
Union La Calera
Home
|
15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 14:28 | -14 | 12 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga de Ascenso