SWEDEN › ETTAN - NORRA
04.10.2026 15:00
Umea Energi Arena
Umeå FC
Match Timeline
Hammarby Talang
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
35'
S. Forsman · Assist: M. Njie
Umeå FC
⚽
45+2'
N. Ek
Hammarby Talang
🟨
59'
Umeå FC
Umeå FC
🔄
64'
I. Johansson ↔ A. Sandstrom
Umeå FC
⚽
69'
A. Sandstrom · Assist: D. Ekman
Umeå FC
🔄
71'
J. Oreland ↔ L. Krasniqi
Hammarby Talang
🔄
75'
M. Njie ↔ H. Hassan
Umeå FC
🟨
77'
Hammarby Talang
Hammarby Talang
🔄
80'
I. Musa ↔ A. Camara
Hammarby Talang
🔄
80'
G. Elezaj ↔ W. Gibson
Hammarby Talang
🔄
90'
S. Forsman ↔ N. Hakansson
Umeå FC

Umeå FC vs Hammarby Talang Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 57.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
57.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Umeå FC Win 37.3%
Draw 5.5%
Hammarby Talang Win 57.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Umeå FC1.33
Hammarby Talang1.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Umeå FC Umeå FC
WWDLW
52 GF / 53 GA
Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang
WLDWL
58 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.49
Average Goals Scored
2
1.51
Average Goals Conceded
1.1
19
BTTS Yes
14
21
Over 2.5
17
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Umeå FC Umeå FC 35 matches
Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang 29 matches
Umeå FC Statistic Hammarby Talang
13 Wins 14
6 Draws 8
16 Losses 7
52 Goals For 58
53 Goals Against 32
1.49 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.51 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1
19 BTTS Yes 14
28 Over 1.5 24
21 Over 2.5 17
15 Over 3.5 11
8 Clean Sheets 11
9 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Hammarby Talang's more proactive style and Umeå FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Umeå FC come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Hammarby Talang carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 45 points while Umeå FC sit 10 on 29, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Hammarby Talang. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Hammarby Talang having the stronger overall control.

Umeå FC Analysis

From their first 23 matches, Umeå FC have collected 29 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Their overall return of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 31:37 reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Hammarby Talang Analysis

Placed 3 with 45 points from 24 outings, Hammarby Talang continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, while the 50:23 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 8 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Umeå FC won 4 times, Hammarby Talang won 5 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:13 from Umeå FC's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.89 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.5%)
H2H summary: Umeå FC wins 4, draws 0, Hammarby Talang wins 5

Standings

North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 18 3 4 60:20 40 57
W W W W W
2 25 14 6 5 46:28 18 48
W W W W L
3 25 14 5 6 47:34 13 47
D W L W W
4 25 13 6 6 51:25 26 45
L W L D W
5 25 12 7 6 41:35 6 43
D W D D W
6 25 13 3 9 38:40 -2 42
W L D W W
7 25 11 8 6 37:25 12 41
D D D D L
8 25 9 5 11 43:45 -2 32
L L W L L
9 25 9 5 11 34:41 -7 32
W L W W L
10 25 9 5 11 33:41 -8 32
W D L L W
11 25 9 3 13 29:43 -14 30
L L W L W
12 25 7 6 12 36:52 -16 27
L W L D L
13 25 5 9 11 24:36 -12 24
L L D L L
14 25 5 7 13 30:46 -16 22
D W W L L
15 25 5 4 16 33:55 -22 19
D L L W L
16 25 3 6 16 45:61 -16 15
D L L L W