WORLD › FRIENDLIES
05.10.2026 13:00
Uganda
Match Timeline
Congo DR
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
64'
N. Mbuku
Congo DR
🟨
80'
Uganda
Uganda
⚽
90'
J. Bogere
Uganda

Uganda vs Congo DR Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 83.9%
Odds 1.20
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds 1.60
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
83.9%
1.20 ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
2.10 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
1.60 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
81.5%
1.48 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
4.75 ▥
Correct Score 1-1
-
7.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Uganda Win 16.1%
Draw 54.8%
Congo DR Win 29.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Uganda1.6
Congo DR0.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Uganda Uganda
WWDLW
2 GF / 0 GA
Congo DR Congo DR
WLDWL
9 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1
0
Average Goals Conceded
1
0
BTTS Yes
4
0
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
1.78

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Uganda Uganda 1 matches
Congo DR Congo DR 9 matches
Uganda Statistic Congo DR
1 Wins 3
0 Draws 2
0 Losses 4
2 Goals For 9
0 Goals Against 9
2 Avg Goals Scored 1
0 Avg Goals Conceded 1
0 BTTS Yes 4
1 Over 1.5 6
0 Over 2.5 3
0 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 3
0 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 1.78
0 Total Shots 7.78
0 Corners 2.78
0% Ball Possession 28.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Uganda won 2 times, Congo DR won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:1 from Uganda's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1.25 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (83.9%)
Predicted formations: Uganda 3-4-3 / Congo DR 4-4-2
H2H summary: Uganda wins 2, draws 1, Congo DR wins 1