BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Uberlandia
Match Timeline
CSA
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
80'
Tomas Bastos
Uberlandia

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 69.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
69.7%
-
BTTS Yes
58.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Uberlandia Win 30.3%
Draw 19.7%
CSA Win 50%
Expected Goals (xG)
Uberlandia1.06
CSA1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Uberlandia Uberlandia
WWDLW
21 GF / 13 GA
CSA CSA
WLDWL
34 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.31
Average Goals Scored
2.13
0.81
Average Goals Conceded
0.69
8
BTTS Yes
9
6
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Uberlandia Uberlandia 16 matches
CSA CSA 16 matches
Uberlandia Statistic CSA
8 Wins 9
5 Draws 5
3 Losses 2
21 Goals For 34
13 Goals Against 11
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 2.13
0.81 Avg Goals Conceded 0.69
8 BTTS Yes 9
11 Over 1.5 13
6 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This tie brings together two sides with a fairly similar football identity, with the knockout context adding extra pressure to every phase of the game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring CSA. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward CSA having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Uberlandia Analysis

Uberlandia enter this tie with a season profile built on 18 points from 10 matches, placing them 1 in their league. Their record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats with goals at 12:8 reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which supports a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.

CSA Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, CSA arrive from a league campaign that has them 1 with 21 points after 10 matches. Their record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats with goals at 25:8 reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which supports a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Uberlandia won 2 times, CSA won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:0 from Uberlandia's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.3%)
H2H summary: Uberlandia wins 2, draws 0, CSA wins 0
Last matches: Uberlandia
15.08.26
Ser
Uberlandia
CSA
2
0
W
25.07.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Portuguesa
0
1
L
18.07.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Portuguesa
2
0
W
12.07.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Serra Branca
2
2
D
04.07.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Serra Branca
1
0
W
27.06.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Rio Branco ES
2
2
D
21.06.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Rio Branco ES
2
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Uberlandia
ABECAT Ouvidorense
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Ivinhema
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Uberlandia
CRAC
0
0
D
18.05.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Ipatinga
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Operario Ferroviario
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Operario Ferroviario
2
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Ipatinga
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Uberlandia
CRAC
2
1
W
11.04.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Ivinhema
1
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Uberlandia
ABECAT Ouvidorense
1
0
W
26.07.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Cascavel
1
2
L
19.07.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Inter De Limeira
0
3
L
12.07.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Operario Ferroviario
1
1
D
Last matches: CSA
15.08.26
Ser
CSA
Uberlandia
0
2
L
26.07.26
Ser
CSA
São Luiz
2
1
W
19.07.26
Ser
CSA
São Luiz
0
0
D
13.07.26
Ser
CSA
Ipatinga
4
0
W
04.07.26
Ser
CSA
Ipatinga
0
1
L
27.06.26
Ser
CSA
Lagarto
2
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
CSA
Lagarto
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ser
CSA
Atlético Alagoinhas
7
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
CSA
Jacuipense
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
CSA
ASA
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
CSA
CSE
5
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
CSA
Juazeirense
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
CSA
Juazeirense
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
CSA
CSE
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
CSA
ASA
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
CSA
Jacuipense
3
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
CSA
Atlético Alagoinhas
3
0
W
H2H: Uberlandia vs CSA
15.08.26
H2H
CSA
Uberlandia
0
2
W
08.08.26
H2H
Uberlandia
CSA
1
0
W
Last matches: Uberlandia
18.07.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Portuguesa
2
0
W
12.07.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Serra Branca
2
2
D
27.06.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Rio Branco ES
2
2
D
14.06.26
Ser
Uberlandia
ABECAT Ouvidorense
0
1
L
18.05.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Ipatinga
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Operario Ferroviario
2
1
W
18.04.26
Ser
Uberlandia
CRAC
2
1
W
11.04.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Ivinhema
1
2
L
19.07.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Inter De Limeira
0
3
L
28.06.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Itabirito
4
0
W
07.06.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Monte Azul
2
0
W
24.05.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Cianorte
1
1
D
10.05.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Goiatuba EC
2
1
W
03.05.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Operario Ferroviario
2
3
L
19.04.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Cascavel
1
1
D
H2H at home: Uberlandia
08.08.26
H2H
Uberlandia
CSA
1
0
W
Last matches: CSA
19.07.26
Ser
CSA
São Luiz
0
0
D
04.07.26
Ser
CSA
Ipatinga
0
1
L
21.06.26
Ser
CSA
Lagarto
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ser
CSA
Atlético Alagoinhas
7
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
CSA
CSE
5
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
CSA
Juazeirense
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
CSA
ASA
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
CSA
Jacuipense
3
1
W
H2H away: CSA
08.08.26
H2H
Uberlandia
CSA
1
0
L

Standings

Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1
CSA Away
10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)