ARGENTINA PRIMERA B METROPOLITANA
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Monumental de Villa Lynch

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 80.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 45.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
80.2%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
45.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
UAI Urquiza Win 14.8%
Draw 5.1%
Deportivo Laferrere Win 80.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
UAI Urquiza0.8
Deportivo Laferrere1.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
UAI Urquiza UAI Urquiza
WWDLW
14 GF / 25 GA
Deportivo Laferrere Deportivo Laferrere
WLDWL
36 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
0.47
Average Goals Scored
1.2
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
8
BTTS Yes
15
6
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

UAI Urquiza UAI Urquiza 30 matches
Deportivo Laferrere Deportivo Laferrere 30 matches
UAI Urquiza Statistic Deportivo Laferrere
3 Wins 11
18 Draws 9
9 Losses 10
14 Goals For 36
25 Goals Against 39
0.47 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
8 BTTS Yes 15
14 Over 1.5 23
6 Over 2.5 11
2 Over 3.5 6
15 Clean Sheets 8
20 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Deportivo Laferrere having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Deportivo Laferrere. Deportivo Laferrere carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 42 points while UAI Urquiza sit 20 on 27, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

UAI Urquiza Analysis

UAI Urquiza sit 20 with 27 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 18 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 14:25, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportivo Laferrere Analysis

Deportivo Laferrere are currently 9 in the standings with 42 points from 30 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 9 draws, and 10 losses, while the 36:39 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, UAI Urquiza won 2 times, Deportivo Laferrere won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:7 from UAI Urquiza's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.44 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)
H2H summary: UAI Urquiza wins 2, draws 5, Deportivo Laferrere wins 2
Last matches: UAI Urquiza
16.08.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Deportivo Armenio
0
1
L
08.08.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Flandria
1
1
D
01.08.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Argentino Quilmes
0
0
D
25.07.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Defensores Unidos
1
1
D
18.07.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Comunicaciones
0
2
L
14.07.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Dock Sud
0
0
D
10.07.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Deportivo Merlo
0
0
D
04.07.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Deportivo Camioneros
0
4
L
28.06.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Sportivo Italiano
0
0
D
20.06.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
San Martín Burzaco
0
0
D
13.06.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Villa San Carlos
0
0
D
08.06.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Liniers
2
1
W
30.05.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Real Pilar
1
2
L
26.05.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Comunicaciones
0
3
L
22.05.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Ituzaingó
1
1
D
16.05.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Villa Dalmine
0
0
D
08.05.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Excursionistas
0
0
D
02.05.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Arsenal Sarandi
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Argentino de Merlo
2
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Talleres Remedios
0
2
L
Last matches: Deportivo Laferrere
15.08.26
Pri
Deportivo Laferrere
Excursionistas
3
5
L
09.08.26
Pri
Deportivo Laferrere
Arsenal Sarandi
1
1
D
01.08.26
Pri
Deportivo Laferrere
Argentino de Merlo
3
1
W
26.07.26
Pri
Deportivo Laferrere
Talleres Remedios
0
2
L
18.07.26
Pri
Deportivo Laferrere
Ituzaingó
2
0
W
14.07.26
Pri
Deportivo Laferrere
Brown DE Adrogue
1
0
W
10.07.26
Pri
Deportivo Laferrere
Deportivo Armenio
1
1
D
04.07.26
Pri
Deportivo Laferrere
Flandria
2
1
W
28.06.26
Pri
Deportivo Laferrere
Argentino Quilmes
1
1
D
20.06.26
Pri
Deportivo Laferrere
Defensores Unidos
1
0
W
13.06.26
Pri
Deportivo Laferrere
Comunicaciones
3
3
D
07.06.26
Pri
Deportivo Laferrere
Dock Sud
2
1
W
02.06.26
Pri
Deportivo Laferrere
Deportivo Merlo
1
2
L
26.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Laferrere
Ituzaingó
2
0
W
22.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Laferrere
Deportivo Camioneros
0
2
L
18.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Laferrere
Sportivo Italiano
1
1
D
09.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Laferrere
San Martín Burzaco
0
2
L
02.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Laferrere
Villa San Carlos
2
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Laferrere
Liniers
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Laferrere
Real Pilar
0
1
L
H2H: UAI Urquiza vs Deportivo Laferrere
14.04.26
H2H
Deportivo Laferrere
UAI Urquiza
0
0
D
16.11.25
H2H
Deportivo Laferrere
UAI Urquiza
1
1
D
21.06.25
H2H
UAI Urquiza
Deportivo Laferrere
0
0
D
25.09.24
H2H
Deportivo Laferrere
UAI Urquiza
0
1
W
13.04.24
H2H
UAI Urquiza
Deportivo Laferrere
1
1
D
19.05.13
H2H
UAI Urquiza
Deportivo Laferrere
0
0
D
26.11.12
H2H
Deportivo Laferrere
UAI Urquiza
3
0
L
01.05.12
H2H
Deportivo Laferrere
UAI Urquiza
2
1
L
20.11.11
H2H
UAI Urquiza
Deportivo Laferrere
2
0
W
Last matches: UAI Urquiza
16.08.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Deportivo Armenio
0
1
L
01.08.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Argentino Quilmes
0
0
D
18.07.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Comunicaciones
0
2
L
10.07.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Deportivo Merlo
0
0
D
28.06.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Sportivo Italiano
0
0
D
20.06.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
San Martín Burzaco
0
0
D
08.06.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Liniers
2
1
W
16.05.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Villa Dalmine
0
0
D
02.05.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Arsenal Sarandi
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Talleres Remedios
0
2
L
10.04.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Brown DE Adrogue
0
1
L
28.03.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Flandria
2
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Defensores Unidos
2
2
D
04.03.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Dock Sud
0
0
D
23.02.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Deportivo Camioneros
0
0
D
09.11.25
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Liniers
0
1
L
19.10.25
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Deportivo Armenio
0
1
L
06.10.25
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Sacachispas
1
0
W
21.09.25
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Dock Sud
0
0
D
08.09.25
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Real Pilar
0
1
L
H2H at home: UAI Urquiza
21.06.25
H2H
UAI Urquiza
Deportivo Laferrere
0
0
D
13.04.24
H2H
UAI Urquiza
Deportivo Laferrere
1
1
D
19.05.13
H2H
UAI Urquiza
Deportivo Laferrere
0
0
D
20.11.11
H2H
UAI Urquiza
Deportivo Laferrere
2
0
W
Last matches: Deportivo Laferrere
15.08.26
Pri
Deportivo Laferrere
Excursionistas
3
5
L
01.08.26
Pri
Deportivo Laferrere
Argentino de Merlo
3
1
W
14.07.26
Pri
Deportivo Laferrere
Brown DE Adrogue
1
0
W
04.07.26
Pri
Deportivo Laferrere
Flandria
2
1
W
13.06.26
Pri
Deportivo Laferrere
Comunicaciones
3
3
D
02.06.26
Pri
Deportivo Laferrere
Deportivo Merlo
1
2
L
26.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Laferrere
Ituzaingó
2
0
W
18.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Laferrere
Sportivo Italiano
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Laferrere
Villa San Carlos
2
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Laferrere
Real Pilar
0
1
L
11.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Laferrere
Villa Dalmine
2
2
D
28.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Laferrere
Arsenal Sarandi
0
3
L
15.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Laferrere
Talleres Remedios
0
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Laferrere
Deportivo Armenio
2
1
W
15.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Laferrere
Argentino Quilmes
1
1
D
08.11.25
Pri
Deportivo Laferrere
Sportivo Italiano
0
1
L
21.10.25
Pri
Deportivo Laferrere
Excursionistas
2
1
W
04.10.25
Pri
Deportivo Laferrere
Brown DE Adrogue
1
1
D
19.09.25
Pri
Deportivo Laferrere
Argentino Quilmes
0
0
D
08.09.25
Pri
Deportivo Laferrere
Flandria
0
0
D
H2H away: Deportivo Laferrere
21.06.25
H2H
UAI Urquiza
Deportivo Laferrere
0
0
D
13.04.24
H2H
UAI Urquiza
Deportivo Laferrere
1
1
D
19.05.13
H2H
UAI Urquiza
Deportivo Laferrere
0
0
D
20.11.11
H2H
UAI Urquiza
Deportivo Laferrere
2
0
L

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 16 8 6 45:23 22 56
W L W D D
2 30 16 8 6 33:15 18 56
W L D W W
3 30 15 10 5 35:18 17 55
D W D W W
4 30 15 10 5 33:16 17 55
W L W D D
5 30 14 11 5 39:22 17 53
L D D D W
6 30 14 10 6 36:22 14 52
W W D D W
7 30 12 9 9 33:31 2 45
D D W W L
8 30 12 8 10 33:33 0 44
W W L D D
9 30 11 9 10 36:39 -3 42
L D W L W
10 30 10 10 10 31:29 2 40
D L D L W
11 30 10 9 11 30:30 0 39
D W L L D
12 30 9 11 10 33:45 -12 38
D L D L D
13 30 8 13 9 28:30 -2 37
D L D L L
14 30 8 13 9 26:28 -2 37
W D D D D
15 30 8 12 10 32:31 1 36
L W D D W
16 30 7 11 12 29:35 -6 32
W W D W L
17 30 7 11 12 21:30 -9 32
L W D D D
18 30 7 10 13 19:31 -12 31
L W D W L
19 30 7 8 15 23:36 -13 29
D D L D L
20 30 3 18 9 14:25 -11 27
L D D D L
21 30 5 11 14 24:36 -12 26
L L L D D
22 30 1 10 19 19:47 -28 13
D L D D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)