FINLAND › VEIKKAUSLIIGA
10.10.2026 14:00
Veritas Stadion

Turku PS vs FF Jaro Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 81.3%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
81.3%
- ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
80.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
68.4%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Turku PS Win 81.3%
Draw 9.4%
FF Jaro Win 9.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Turku PS1.39
FF Jaro0.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
Turku PS Turku PS
WWDLW
32 GF / 32 GA
FF Jaro FF Jaro
WLDWL
26 GF / 56 GA
Key Stats
1.07
Average Goals Scored
0.87
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
1.87
14
BTTS Yes
16
12
Over 2.5
15
2.12
Shots on Goal
1.92

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Turku PS Turku PS 30 matches
FF Jaro FF Jaro 30 matches
Turku PS Statistic FF Jaro
10 Wins 4
9 Draws 9
11 Losses 17
32 Goals For 26
32 Goals Against 56
1.07 Avg Goals Scored 0.87
1.07 Avg Goals Conceded 1.87
14 BTTS Yes 16
19 Over 1.5 25
12 Over 2.5 15
5 Over 3.5 7
10 Clean Sheets 4
9 Failed To Score 12
2.12 Shots On Goal 1.92
6.64 Total Shots 5.36
2.68 Corners 2.2
26.6% Ball Possession 23.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Turku PS's more proactive style and FF Jaro's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward FF Jaro. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Turku PS expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and FF Jaro in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FF Jaro having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. FF Jaro arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Turku PS arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 31 points compared to FF Jaro in 11 on 15, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Turku PS Analysis

Turku PS sit 8 with 31 points after 22 league matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 28:23 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by E. Turkki (1 assists), T. Karkulowski (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

FF Jaro Analysis

FF Jaro sit 11 with 15 points after 22 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 18:44, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through H. Sjögrell (4 goals), V. Vuorinen (1 goals), R. Vikström (1 goals), with creative support from F. Østigård Ness (3 assists), H. Sjögrell (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (90.6%)
Predicted formations: Turku PS 4-2-3-1 / FF Jaro 4-4-2

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 7 3 38:23 15 43
W D D L L
2 22 11 9 2 29:16 13 42
W W L W D
3 22 11 4 7 36:27 9 37
D D W W L
4 22 10 6 6 36:29 7 36
D W D D W
5 22 10 4 8 25:25 0 34
L L L D W
6 22 9 6 7 29:22 7 33
L L W L W
7 22 9 5 8 26:19 7 32
D L W W W
8 22 8 7 7 28:23 5 31
L L D D D
9 22 7 4 11 34:37 -3 25
W W W L L
10 22 4 7 11 25:33 -8 19
W D D D L
11 22 3 6 13 18:44 -26 15
D D L L L
12 22 3 5 14 17:43 -26 14
L W L W W
Play-offs
Relegation Play-offs