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FINLAND › VEIKKAUSLIIGA
11.07.2026 14:00
Veritas Stadion
Referee: O. Reitala
Turku PS
Match Timeline
AC Oulu
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
8'
M. Konkkola · Assist: A. Muzaci
Turku PS
⚽
16'
A. Muzaci · Assist: M. Konkkola
Turku PS
🟨
24'
Santeri Silander
AC Oulu
🔄
36'
E. Vauhkonen ↔ M. Kauppila
Turku PS
⚽
45'
M. Konkkola · Assist: K. Visser
Turku PS
🔄
46'
T. Karkulowski ↔ A. Sihvonen
Turku PS
🔄
46'
S. Silander ↔ M. Pitkanen
AC Oulu
🔄
46'
J. Makelainen ↔ K. Jatta
AC Oulu
🔄
63'
M. Konkkola ↔ S. Anini
Turku PS
🔄
63'
K. Visser ↔ N. Veinbergs
Turku PS
🟨
64'
Niklas Jokelainen
AC Oulu
🔄
71'
T. Kaukua ↔ A. Cassama
AC Oulu
🔄
79'
L. Ghezali ↔ E. Kallio
AC Oulu
🔄
79'
N. Jokelainen ↔ J. Omotayo
AC Oulu
🔄
80'
P. Juvanteny ↔ L. Ikonen
Turku PS

Turku PS vs AC Oulu Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Turku PS Win 61%
Draw 5.8%
AC Oulu Win 33.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Turku PS1.08
AC Oulu1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Turku PS Turku PS
WWDLW
20 GF / 21 GA
AC Oulu AC Oulu
WLDWL
24 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.05
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.11
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
10
BTTS Yes
9
7
Over 2.5
7
2.36
Shots on Goal
2.21

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Turku PS Turku PS 19 matches
AC Oulu AC Oulu 16 matches
Turku PS Statistic AC Oulu
7 Wins 9
5 Draws 3
7 Losses 4
20 Goals For 24
21 Goals Against 18
1.05 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.11 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
10 BTTS Yes 9
12 Over 1.5 10
7 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 6
4 Failed To Score 2
2.36 Shots On Goal 2.21
6.64 Total Shots 6
2.93 Corners 2.14
29.1% Ball Possession 23.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors AC Oulu.

Turku PS Analysis

Turku PS are currently 7 in the standings with 19 points from 13 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, while the 15:13 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on E. Turkki (1 assists), T. Karkulowski (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

AC Oulu Analysis

Placed 3 with 26 points from 14 outings, AC Oulu continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 20:15 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Turku PS won 9 times, AC Oulu won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:4 from Turku PS's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.2%)
Predicted formations: Turku PS 4-2-3-1 / AC Oulu 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Turku PS wins 9, draws 4, AC Oulu wins 2

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 7 3 38:23 15 43
W L L W D
2 22 11 9 2 29:16 13 42
L W D W W
3 22 11 4 7 36:27 9 37
W W W D D
4 22 10 6 6 36:29 7 36
L L D D W
5 22 10 4 8 25:25 0 34
W L W L L
6 22 9 6 7 29:22 7 33
L W L L L
7 22 9 5 8 26:19 7 32
W L D L W
8 22 8 7 7 28:23 5 31
L L L L D
9 22 7 4 11 34:37 -3 25
W D W W W
10 22 4 7 11 25:33 -8 19
L W W D D
11 22 3 6 13 18:44 -26 15
D W D D L
12 22 3 5 14 17:43 -26 14
D D L W L
Play-offs
Relegation Play-offs